Earthquake hazard assessment in the Zagros Orogenic Belt of Iran using a fuzzy rule-based model     

Sedigheh Farahi Ghasre Aboonasr  Ahmad Zamani  Fatemeh Razavipour  Reza Boostani 《Acta Geophysica》2017,65(4):589-605

Producing accurate seismic hazard map and predicting hazardous areas is necessary for risk mitigation strategies. In this paper, a fuzzy logic inference system is utilized to estimate the earthquake potential and seismic zoning of Zagros Orogenic Belt. In addition to the interpretability, fuzzy predictors can capture both nonlinearity and chaotic behavior of data, where the number of data is limited. In this paper, earthquake pattern in the Zagros has been assessed for the intervals of 10 and 50 years using fuzzy rule-based model. The Molchan statistical procedure has been used to show that our forecasting model is reliable. The earthquake hazard maps for this area reveal some remarkable features that cannot be observed on the conventional maps. Regarding our achievements, some areas in the southern (Bandar Abbas), southwestern (Bandar Kangan) and western (Kermanshah) parts of Iran display high earthquake severity even though they are geographically far apart.  相似文献   

Efficiency of employing fiber-based finite-length plastic hinges in simulating the cyclic and seismic behavior of steel hollow columns compared with other common modelling approaches     

Farahi  Mojtaba  Erfani  Saeed 《地震工程与工程振动(英文版)》2019,18(4):777-794

The accuracy and efficiency of the modelling techniques utilized to model the nonlinear behavior of structural components is a significant issue in earthquake engineering. In this study, the sufficiency of three different modelling techniques that can be employed to simulate the structural behavior of columns is investigated. A fiber-based finite length plastic hinge (FB-FLPH) model is calibrated in this study. In order to calibrate the FB-FLPH model, a novel database of the cyclic behavior of hollow steel columns under simultaneous axial and lateral loading cycles with varying amplitudes is used. By employing the FB-FLPH model calibrated in this study, the interaction of the axial force and the bending moment in columns is directly taken into account, and the deterioration in the cyclic behavior of these members is implicitly considered. The superiority of the calibrated FB-FLPH modelling approach is examined compared with the cases in which conventional fiber-based distributed plasticity and concentrated plasticity models are utilized. The efficiency of the enumerated modelling techniques is probed when they are implemented to model the columns of a typical special moment frame in order to prove the advantage of the FB-FLPH modelling approach.

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