Simulation of the hydrological impacts of climate change on a restored floodplain     

Julian R. Thompson  Honeyeh Iravani  Hannah M. Clilverd  Carl D. Sayer  Catherine M. Heppell  Jan C. Axmacher 《水文科学杂志》2017,62(15):2482-2510

Thirty UK Climate Projections 2009 (UKCP09) scenarios are simulated using a MIKE SHE/MIKE 11 model of a restored floodplain in eastern England. Annual precipitation exhibits uncertainty in direction of change. Extreme changes (10 and 90% probability) range between ?27 and +30%. The central probability projects small declines (相似文献