Reservoir timescales for anthropogenic CO2 in the atmosphere     

O'Neill BC  Gaffin SR  Tubiello FN  Oppenheimer M 《Tellus. Series B, Chemical and physical meteorology》1994,46(5):378-389

Non-steady state timescales are complicated and their application to specific geophysical systems requires a common theoretical foundation. We first extend reservoir theory by quantifying the difference between turnover time and transit time (or residence time) for time-dependent systems under any mixing conditions. We explicitly demonstrate the errors which result from assuming these timescales are equal, which is only true at steady state. We also derive a new response function which allows the calculation of age distributions and timescales for well-mixed reservoirs away from steady state, and differentiate between timescales based on gross and net fluxes. These theoretical results are particularly important to tracer-calibrated "box models" currently used to study the carbon cycle, which usually approximate reservoirs as well-mixed. We then apply the results to the important case of anthropogenic CO2 in the atmosphere, since timescales describing its behavior are commonly used but ambiguously defined. All relevant timescales, including lifetime, transit time, and adjustment time, are precisely defined and calculated from data and models. Apparent discrepancies between the current, empirically determined turnover time of 30-60 years and longer model-derived estimates of expected lifetime and adjustment time are explained within this theoretical framework. We also discuss the results in light of policy issues related to global warming, in particular since any comparisons of the "lifetimes" of different greenhouse gases (CO2, CH4, N2O, CFC's etc.) must use a consistent definition to be meaningful.  相似文献   

Thermodynamic data from redox reactions at high temperatures. II. The MnO-0Mn3O4 oxygen buffer,and implications for the thermodynamic properties of MnO and Mn3O4     

Hugh St. C. O'Neill  Mark I. Pownceby 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》1993,114(3):315-320

The \(\mu _{O_2 } \) defined by the reaction 6 MnO+O₂ =2 Mn₃O₄ has been determined from 917 to 1,433 K using electrochemical cells (with calcia-stabilized zirconta, CSZ) of the type: Steady emfs were achieved rapidly at all temperatures on both increasing and decreasing temperature, indicating that the MnO-Mn₃O₄ oxygen buffer equilibrates relatively easily. It therefore makes a useful alternative choice in experimental petrology to Fe₂O₃-Fe₃O₄ for buffering oxygen potentials at oxidized values. The results are (in J/mol, temperature in K, reference pressure 1 bar); \(\mu _{O_2 } \) (±200)=-563,241+1,761.758T-220.490T inT+0.101819T ² with an uncertainty of ±200 J/mol. Third law analysis of these data, including a correction for the deviations in stoichiometry of MnO, impliesS _298.15 for Mn₃O₄ of 166.6 J/K · mol, which is 2.5 J/K · mol higher than the calorimetric determination of Robie and Hemingway (1985). The low value of the calorimetric entropy may be due to incomplete ordering of the magnetic spins. The third law value of Δ _r H _298.15 ⁰ is-450.09 kJ/mol, which is significantly different from the calorimetric value of-457.5±3.4 kJ/mol, calculated from Δ _f H _298.15 ⁰ of MnO and Mn₃O₄, implying a small error in one or both of these latter.  相似文献   

Planning a Prosperous Sydney: The challenges of planning urban development in the new urban context     

Pauline McGuirk  Phillip O'Neill 《The Australian geographer》2002,33(3):301-316

Since their post-war inception, Sydney's metropolitan plans have tended to be overtaken by the social, economic and environmental conditions they have had to confront. The depth and scope of Sydney's recent urban transformation threatens again to overtake metropolitan planning capacity creating, in the context of competitive globalisation, a potentially significant market disadvantage for the city, not to mention poor urban development outcomes. This paper reviews Sydney's post-war metropolitan planning strategies, examining the social and economic contexts and the policy paradigms in which they have been framed, in order to draw out the lessons to be learned from their successes and failures. We argue that future success in planning urban development will rely on richly informed and fine-grained understanding of the complex spatial outcomes of Sydney's ever-deeper global integration. Only such fine-grained understanding can empower metropolitan planning to be responsive to the evolving challenges of managing development in the contemporary urban context.  相似文献   

Economics, Natural Science, and the Costs of Global Warming Potentials     

Brian C. O'Neill 《Climatic change》2003,58(3):251-260

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