排序方式： 共有7条查询结果，搜索用时 372 毫秒
1
1.
Eleazar Padrón Gladys Melián Rayco Marrero Dácil Nolasco José Barrancos Germán Padilla Pedro A. Hernández Nemesio M. Pérez 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2008,165(1):95-114
Significant changes in the diffuse emission of carbon dioxide were recorded in a geochemical station located at El Hierro,
Canary Islands, before the occurrence of several seismic events during 2004. Two precursory CO2 efflux increases started thirteen and nine days before two seismic events of magnitude 2.3 and 1.7, which took place near
El Hierro Island, Canary Islands, on March 23 and April 15, reaching a maximun value of 51.1 and 46.2 g m−2 d−1, respectively, five and eight days before the two seismic events. Other similar increases started thirteen and five days
before the occurrence of two seismic events of magnitude 1.3 and 1.5 which took place on October 15 and 21 respectively, reaching
the maximum values four and one day before the earthquakes. These changes were not related to variations in atmospheric or
soil parameters. The Material Failure Forecast Method (FFM), which analyzes the rate of precursory phenomena, was successfully
applied to forecast the first seismic event that took place in El Hierro Island in 2004. 相似文献
2.
3.
Nemesio M. Pérez Pedro A. Hernández Eleazar Padrón Gladys Melián Rayco Marrero Germán Padilla José Barrancos Dácil Nolasco 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2007,164(12):2431-2448
Precursory geochemical signatures of radon degassing in the subsurface of the Tenerife Island were observed several months
prior to the recent 2004 seismic-volcanic crisis. These premonitory signatures were detected by means of a continuous monitoring
of 222Rn and 220Rn activity from a bubbling CO2-rich gas spot located at 2.850 m depth inside a horizontal gallery for groundwater exploitation at Tenerife. Multivariate
Regression Analysis (MRA) on time series of the radon activity was applied to eliminate the radon activity fluctuation due
to external variables such as barometric pressure, temperature and relative humidity as well as power supply. Material Failure
Forecast Method (FFM) was successfully applied to forecast the anomalous seismicity registered in Tenerife Island in 2004.
The changes in the 222Rn/220Rn ratio observed after the period of anomalous seismicity might suggest a higher gas flow rate and/or changes in the vertical
permeability induced by seismic activity. 相似文献
4.
Eleazar Padrón Pedro A. Hernández Theofilos Toulkeridis Nemesio M. Pérez Rayco Marrero Gladys Melián Giorgio Virgili Kenji Notsu 《Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research》2008
We report herein the first results of two soil CO2 efflux surveys carried out at Cuicocha lake-filled and Pululahua caldera volcanic systems, Ecuador. A total of 172 and 217 soil CO2 efflux measurements were taken at the surface environment of Pululahua and Cuicocha calderas respectively, by means of the “accumulation chamber” method during the summer of 2006 to constrain the total CO2 output from the studied area. Soil CO2 efflux values ranged from non-detectable up to 48.5 and 141.7 g m− 2 d− 1 for Cuicocha and Pululahua calderas respectively. In addition, probability graphs were used to distinguish the existence of different geochemical populations. Sequential Gaussian Simulation was used to construct an average map for 100 simulations and to compute the total CO2 emission at each studied area: 106 and 270 t d− 1 (metric tons per day) for Cuicocha (13.3 km2) and Pululahua (27.6 km2) volcanoes respectively. 相似文献
5.
José Manuel Marrero Alicia García Angeles Llinares Servando De la Cruz-Reyna Silvia Ramos Ramón Ortiz 《Natural Hazards》2013,68(2):955-980
Decision making regarding massive evacuation of a population threatened by a probable volcanic eruption is a major problem in crisis management. Such a decision is general on the number of people to be evacuated, available resources and infrastructure, quantity and quality of the escape routes and shelters, and the economic, social and political costs involved in the operation, coupled with the updated information provided by scientists about the forecast of future activity and probable eruption scenarios. Knowing time-lapse between the evacuation decision-making time and the time in which the evacuation is completed is another critical issue that must be carefully considered in densely populated areas. In such areas, it is really important to estimate in advance this time-lapse, as the forecast must be released with enough time to complete all the evacuation process before the destructive manifestations of the eruption begin. In this context, evacuation planning is a crucial component of emergency management. It is common for Emergency Plans to include pre-established strategies. However, an evacuation procedure should be flexible, depending on the above-mentioned timing, and on the decisions, evacuation schemes, environmental characteristics and other factors. In this work, several hazard models such as a lava flow model based on a Monte Carlo algorithm, a pyroclastic density current based on energy cone model, a semi-empirical inversion model to estimate the thickness of ash deposits, and all available information about the El Chión volcano have been used to obtain the area that should be evacuated in case of an eruption. Then, multiple evacuation strategies at El Chichón volcano have been designed, considering not only the characteristics of the eruption forecast, but also environmental factors (e.g., weather conditions) and social factors (e.g., tourism and farming seasons). The variable scale evacuation model has been used to estimate the evacuation time. In the paper, those virtual tools are briefly described as well as the information obtained from the drill of 2009. In addition to the optimization of evacuation under variable conditions and situations, one of the main objectives of this work is to provide a reliable estimation of the mitigation action time, for an Emergency Plan. 相似文献
6.
Rayco Marrero Dina L. López Pedro A. Hernández Nemesio M. Pérez 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2008,165(1):147-172
Carbon dioxide is one of the first gases to escape the magmatic environment due to its low solubility in basaltic magmas at low pressures. The exsolved CO2 gas migrates towards the surface through rock fractures and high permeability paths. If an aquifer is located between the magmatic environment and the surface, a fraction of the CO2 emitted is dissolved in the aquifer. In this paper, an estimation of the water mass balance and the CO2 budget in Las Cañadas aquifer, Tenerife, Canary Islands, is presented. Magmatic CO2 is transported by groundwater and discharged through man-made sub-horizontal drains or galleries that exist in this island, and by the flow of groundwater discharged laterally towards other aquifers or to the ocean. In addition, the pCO2 at the gallery mouth (or entrance) and at the gallery bottom (internal and deepest discharge point where the gallery starts) are calculated and mapped. The total CO2 advectively transported by groundwater is estimated to range from 143 to 211 t CO2 d?1. Considering that the diffuse soil emission of CO2 for the same area is 437 t d?1, the diffuse/dissolved CO2 flux ratio varies between 2 and 3. The high dissolved inorganic carbon content of groundwater explains the ability of this low temperature hydrothermal water to dissolve and transfer magmatic CO2 at volcanoes, even during quiescence periods. 相似文献
7.
1