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Cross-Media Models of the Chesapeake Bay Watershed and Airshed   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
A continuous, deterministic watershed model of the Chesapeake Bay watershed, linked to an atmospheric deposition model is used to examine nutrient loads to the Chesapeake Bay under different management scenarios. The Hydrologic Simulation Program - Fortran, Version 11 simulation code is used at an hourly time-step for ten years of simulation in the watershed. The Regional Acid Deposition Model simulates management options in reducing atmospheric deposition of nitrogen. Nutrient loads are summed over daily periods and used for loading a simulation of the Chesapeake estuary employing the Chesapeake Bay Estuary Model Package. Averaged over the ten-year simulation, loads are compared for scenarios under 1985 conditions, forecasted conditions in the year 2000, and estimated conditions under a limit of technology scenario. Limit of technology loads are a 50%, 64%, and 42% reduction from the 1985 loads in total nitrogen, total phosphorus, and total suspended solids, respectively. Urban loads, which include point source, on-site wastewater disposal systems, combined sewer overflows, and nonpoint source loads have the highest flux of nutrient loads to the Chesapeake, followed by crop land uses.on assignment from NOAA Air Resources Laboratory  相似文献   
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A continuously discharged dissolved conservative tracer was simulated with the Chesapeake Bay Estuary Model Package to study pollutant transport in the estuary in response to point source loads and the impact of the November, 1985 storm. A visualization technology is applied to show 3-dimensional concentration variations in a continuous daily time sequence. The differential responses of daily net transport during storms versus inter-storm periods can be observed from an MPEG movie. It may take 2–3 months for a tracer to travel from the fall-line to the mouth of a river during relatively dry seasons, only 2 weeks in some medium storms, and less than 5 days in a big storm. Plots of daily concentrations from eleven selected locations in the estuary provide quantitative information on the response of tracer concentration to flows. The magnitude and time of tracer peaks related with different weather events in these locations reflect the combined effects of flows from various directions to these locations. The lower tributaries (which are closer to the Bay mouth) are affected more than the upper tributaries by a source discharged at a mid-tributary. A storm can transport materials more effectively to the Bay and affect adjacent tributaries more severely.  相似文献   
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