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María Luisa Ávila-Jiménez Stephen J. Coulson Torstein Solhøy & Anna Sjöblom 《Polar research》2010,29(1):127-137
There are over 500 species of arthropods recorded from Svalbard. These animals overwinter either within the soil or on the ground surface, and have to tolerate an environment where the ground is frozen for over 9 months each year. Three cold-tolerance strategies have been described from Svalbard invertebrates: freeze avoidance, freeze tolerance and desiccation. Once in a cold-tolerant state the animals can be extremely cold tolerant in terms of both minimum exposure temperature and period of exposure. How the overwintering capabilities of these animals will be affected by climate changes during the next 100 years, as predicted by climate models, is not yet known. Four principle factors with an impact on overwintering of the terrestrial arthropod fauna are outlined here: (1) warmer winter temperatures, with an increased frequency of extreme events such as freeze–thaw cycles and surface icing; (2) changes in snow fall and snow lie; (3) pollutant load; and (4) dispersal of invertebrates to Svalbard. Finally, areas where further research is required are highlighted: including the development of controlled multi-season field experiments; effect of freeze–thaw cycles; changes in thickness and distribution of snow lie, with the subsequent effects on duration of the summer period; chill susceptibility of soil arthropods; assessing potential colonizing species and the likelihood of these species becoming established; assessing the effect of gene flow from surrounding populations; interactions between pollution and cold tolerance; anoxia stress; and the genetics of cold tolerance. 相似文献
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A Bayesian linear inversion methodology based on Gaussian mixture models and its application to geophysical inverse problems are presented in this paper. The proposed inverse method is based on a Bayesian approach under the assumptions of a Gaussian mixture random field for the prior model and a Gaussian linear likelihood function. The model for the latent discrete variable is defined to be a stationary first-order Markov chain. In this approach, a recursive exact solution to an approximation of the posterior distribution of the inverse problem is proposed. A Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm can be used to efficiently simulate realizations from the correct posterior model. Two inversion studies based on real well log data are presented, and the main results are the posterior distributions of the reservoir properties of interest, the corresponding predictions and prediction intervals, and a set of conditional realizations. The first application is a seismic inversion study for the prediction of lithological facies, P- and S-impedance, where an improvement of 30% in the root-mean-square error of the predictions compared to the traditional Gaussian inversion is obtained. The second application is a rock physics inversion study for the prediction of lithological facies, porosity, and clay volume, where predictions slightly improve compared to the Gaussian inversion approach. 相似文献
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Torstein K. Fannelop 《Applied Ocean Research》1983,5(2):80-92
The hydrodynamic basis for estimating the capacity of booms used as oil barriers is reviewed. Of crucial importance is the assumed interfacial shear stress, and best values of skin friction coefficients are recommended based on existing data. The fundamental hydrodynamic phenomena limiting barrier performance are discussed, and the existing information concerning loss mechanisms, the inception of loss and rate of loss as functions of current speed is presented. It is found that the available loss data from laboratory and field experiments are in reasonable agreement and of quality sufficient to justify a correlation useful in estimating barrier performance. Existing relations are found to be deficient, and a new empirical correlation is suggested which agrees with available data over the full range of current speeds. The new correlation for entrainment loss estimates is based primarily on information from recent research on headwave phenomena and on the full-scale loss data from the United States Coast Guard sea trials. 相似文献
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Arguitxu de la Riva-Caballero H. John B. Birks Anne E. Bjune Hilary H. Birks Torstein Solh?y 《Journal of Paleolimnology》2010,44(1):361-374
Little is known about the relationships between fossil oribatid mite assemblages in lake and mire sediments and the composition,
abundance, and richness of their living communities. Because oribatid mites are a relatively new area of palaeolimnological
study, there is a great lack of knowledge about the taphonomic processes that might affect fossil mite assemblages. The DOORMAT
(Direct Observation Of Recent Macrofossils Across Tree-line) project was designed to study the transport and deposition of
oribatid mites and plant remains in the tree-line area of western Norway. The present study also compares modern oribatid
assemblages with fossil oribatid assemblages in a Holocene lake-sediment sequence from the nearby Trettetj?rn, and considers
the optimal location for studying fossil oribatid mites within a lake basin. Seven novel terrestrial traps (50 × 80 cm Astroturf
doormats) were placed at major vegetational transitions along an altitudinal transect crossing the tree-line ecotone from
633 to 1,120 m a.s.l. at Upsete, west Norway. Three sediment traps were placed in Trettetj?rn (810 m a.sl.) at the inlet,
the middle, and near the outlet. In each terrestrial trap, the oribatid assemblage was found to be characteristic of the surrounding
habitat. The lake-trap analyses showed that aquatic or moist-habitat species had the highest chance of being incorporated
into the lake sediments; the number of terrestrial species decreased considerably from both outlet and inlet traps to the
central trap in the deepest water. The area adjacent to the inlet of Trettetj?rn would therefore be the optimal location for
a sediment core for oribatid analysis. However, this conclusion is not supported when the modern trap results are compared
with the Trettetj?rn sequence from the lake centre. 相似文献
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The Sørfjord, Norway, and the Gulf of St. Lawrence, Canada, are two sub-arctic ecosystems with similar trophic structure. However, in the Gulf of St. Lawrence, severe exploitation of groundfish stocks has lead to important shifts in the trophic structure. In the Sørfjord, the situation is different: fishing pressure is much lighter. Our hypothesis is that overexploitation leads to changes in the trophic structure and severely alters the resilience of ecosystems. Based on the same modelling approach (Ecopath with Ecosim) the food web structure was compared, using different ecosystem indicators. Patterns of food web structure and trophodynamics were contrasted. Cod was the keystone species in both ecosystems, and forage fish were also important. Even after similar environmental changes in both ecosystems, and after a reduction of fishing pressure in the Gulf of St. Lawrence, there is no recovery of cod stocks in this ecosystem. In the Sørfjord, after different perturbations (but not from the fishery), the ecosystem seems to return to its equilibrium. 相似文献
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An aim for conservation in Norway is preserving the Svalbard archipelago as one of the least disturbed areas in the Arctic. Information on local distribution, population sizes and ecology is summarized for 20 thermophilous vascular plant species. The need for conservation of northern, marginal populations in Svalbard is reviewed, using World Conservation Union categories and criteria at a regional scale. Thirteen species reach their northernmost distribution in Svalbard, the remaining seven in the western Arctic. Nine species have 1-8 populations in Svalbard and are assigned to Red List categories endangered or critically endangered: Campanula rotundifolia, Euphrasia frigida, Juncus castaneus, Kobresia simpliciuscula, Rubus chamaemorus, Alchemilla glomerulans, Ranunculus wilanderi, Salix lanata and Vaccinium uliginosum , the last four species needing immediate protective measures. Five species are classified as vulnerable: Betula nana, Carex marina ssp. pseudolagopina, Luzula wahlenbergii, Ranunculus arcticus and Ranunculus pallasii . Six species are considered at lower risk: Calamagrostis stricta, Empetrum nigrum ssp. hermaphroditum, Hippuris vulgaris (only occurring on Bjørnøya), Juncus triglumis, Ranunculus lapponicus and Rhodiola rosea . The warmer Inner Arctic Fjord Zone of Spitsbergen supports most of the 20 target species and is of particular importance for conservation. Endangered or vulnerable species were found in a variety of edaphic conditions; thus, several kinds of habitats need protection. 相似文献
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The fossil oribatid mite fauna (Acari: Oribatida) in late-glacial and early-Holocene sediments in Kråkenes Lake, western Norway 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
The oribatid mite assemblages found in late-glacial and early-Holocene sediments in Kråkenes Lake, western Norway, consist of 38 species within 24 genera. In accordance with known present habitat distribution we distinguish 4 true aquatic species, 6 species associated with wetland, 2 with mesic grassland, 12 with dry grassland and heathland, 3 with saxicolous and arboricolous lichens, 7 widely distributed species, and 4 with uncertainly known habitat preferences. The sediments from the pioneer phase (12,300-11,700 14C BP) contain 7 species, among them the 2 typical pioneer species Limnozetes ciliatus and Tectocepheus velatus.The sediments of the warmer Allerød interstadial (11,700-10,900 BP) contain 18 species, the cold Younger Dryas (10,900-10,000 BP) 9 species, and the early Holocene (10,000-9,000 BP) 36 species.The oribatid fossils of the pioneer phase indicate habitats and climate similar to the mid-alpine zone in western Norway today, the Allerod interstadial that of the low- to mid-alpine zone. L. ciliatus is the aquatic pioneer species in the Allerod. In the Younger Dryas the climate was more arctic, 60-70% of the species had presumably disappeared, and no aquatic species were found. In the early Holocene, 4 true aquatic species colonised the lake and showed a high productivity. The terrestrial oribatid fauna in this period contained a high diversity of more boreal species, while the alpine species declined or became extinct. 相似文献
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We consider a Bayesian model for inversion of observed amplitude variation with offset data into lithology/fluid classes, and study in particular how the choice of prior distribution for the lithology/fluid classes influences the inversion results. Two distinct prior distributions are considered, a simple manually specified Markov random field prior with a first-order neighbourhood and a Markov mesh model with a much larger neighbourhood estimated from a training image. They are chosen to model both horizontal connectivity and vertical thickness distribution of the lithology/fluid classes, and are compared on an offshore clastic oil reservoir in the North Sea. We combine both priors with the same linearized Gaussian likelihood function based on a convolved linearized Zoeppritz relation and estimate properties of the resulting two posterior distributions by simulating from these distributions with the Metropolis–Hastings algorithm. The influence of the prior on the marginal posterior probabilities for the lithology/fluid classes is clearly observable, but modest. The importance of the prior on the connectivity properties in the posterior realizations, however, is much stronger. The larger neighbourhood of the Markov mesh prior enables it to identify and model connectivity and curvature much better than what can be done by the first-order neighbourhood Markov random field prior. As a result, we conclude that the posterior realizations based on the Markov mesh prior appear with much higher lateral connectivity, which is geologically plausible. 相似文献
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We studied whether incorporation of terms for environmental factors (temperature, herring and 0-group cod) into the stock recruitment functions for the Barents Sea capelin ( Mallotus villosus ) would increase the ability to predict recruitment. We also investigated the effects of alternative estimates of the capelin spawning stock (SSB) and juvenile herring on model predictability. By using nonlinear regression, the modified Beverton–Holt and Ricker stock recruitment models were fitted to time series of capelin spawning stock, capelin recruitment, juvenile herring, 0-group cod and temperature from 1973 to 2000. The modified Beverton–Holt model with a term for juvenile herring fit capelin recruitment data well. Inclusion of terms for temperature and 0-group cod abundance did not significantly improve the model fit. The best model predicts an almost proportional relationship between the spawning stock and the capelin recruitment when the abundance of juvenile herring is high. 相似文献
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