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Observed changes of drought/wetness episodes in the Pearl River basin, China, using the standardized precipitation index and aridity index 总被引：9，自引：2，他引：7
Monthly precipitation data of 42 rain stations over the Pearl River basin for 1960–2005 were analyzed to classify anomalously wet and dry conditions by using the standardized precipitation index (SPI) and aridity index (I) for the rainy season (April–September) and winter (December–February). Trends of the number of wet and dry months decided by SPI were detected with Mann-Kendall technique. Furthermore, we also investigated possible causes behind wet and dry variations by analyzing NCAR/NCEP reanalysis dataset. The results indicate that: (1) the Pearl River basin tends to be dryer in the rainy season and comes to be wetter in winter. However, different wetting and drying properties can be identified across the basin: west parts of the basin tend to be dryer; and southeast parts tend to be wetter; (2) the Pearl River basin is dominated by dry tendency in the rainy season and is further substantiated by aridity index (I) variations; and (3) water vapor flux, moisture content changes in the rainy season and winter indicate different influences of moisture changes on wet and dry conditions across the Pearl River basin. Increasing moisture content gives rise to an increasing number of wet months in winter. However, no fixed relationships can be observed between moisture content changes and number of wet months in the rainy season, indicating that more than one factor can influence the dry or wet conditions of the study region. The results of this paper will be helpful for basin-scale water resource management under the changing climate. 相似文献
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Statistical properties of the temperature, relative humidity, and net solar radiation in the Blue Nile-eastern Sudan region 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
Chong-Yu Xu Qiang Zhang M. El Hag El Tahir Zengxin Zhang 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2010,101(3-4):397-409
This paper presents the results of the first stage of an ongoing project of evaluating the spatial and temporal variability of soil water as fundamental factors for vegetation regeneration in the arid ecosystems in the Blue Nile-eastern Sudan. The specific aim of the present study is to understand the temporal and spatial variations of the major climate variables in the region and discuss its relevance to regional climate variability and changes. In this case, we systematically analyze the major climate variables (maximum and minimum air temperature, relative humidity, and net solar radiation). To evaluate the different characteristics of the climate variables, Mann–Kendall method, two-phase regression scheme, and wavelet transform technique are used; each method has its own strength and weakness, and the results of the three methods complement each other. The results show that the annual and seasonal maximum temperatures are increasing significantly. The annual minimum temperature and minimum temperature in dry seasons are decreasing. The minimum temperature in rainy season is increasing with a smaller rate as compared with the increase of maximum temperature in the season. The difference between maximum and minimum temperature is increasing in all the seasons. Net solar radiation in the region shows a significant increasing trend in all seasons, which corresponds well with the changes of maximum temperature. Besides, significant decreasing trends can be identified for relative humidity in all the seasons. 相似文献
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Large dams and reservoirs alter not only the natural flow regimes of streams and rivers but also their flooding cycles and flood magnitudes. Although the effect of dams and reservoirs has been reported for some vulnerable locations, the understanding of the inner-basin variation with respect to the effects remains limited. In this study, we analyse the Three Gorges Dam (TGD) built on the Changjiang mainstream (Yangtze River) to investigate the dam effect variations in the system of interconnected water bodies located downstream. We investigated the effect of flow alterations along the downstream river network using discharge time series at different gauging stations. The river–lake interactions (referring to the interactions between the Changjiang mainstream and its tributary lakes i.e. the Dongting and Poyang lakes) and their roles in modifying the TGD effect intensity were also investigated in the large-scale river–lake system. The results show that the water storage of the tributary lakes decreased after the activation of the TGD. Severe droughts occurred in the lakes, weakening their ability to recharge the Changjiang mainstream. As a consequence, the effect of the TGD on the Changjiang flow increase during the dry season diminished quickly downstream of the dam, whereas its impact on the flow decrease during the wet season gradually exacerbated along the mainstream, especially at sites located downstream of the lake outlets. Therefore, when assessing dam-induced hydrological changes, special attention should be paid to the changes in the storage of tributary lakes and the associated effects in the mainstream. This is of high importance for managing the water resource trade-offs between different water bodies in dam-affected riverine systems. 相似文献
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As one of the fastest developing regions in China, the middle-lower Yangtze River(MLYR) is vulnerable to floods and droughts. With obtained time series of annual highest water level(HWL), annual lowest water level(LWL) and the corresponding river discharges from three gauging stations in MLYR that covering the period 1987–2011, the current study evaluated the change characteristics of annual extreme water levels and the correlation with river discharges by using the methods of trend test, Mann-Whitney-Pettitt(MWP) test and double mass analysis. Major result indicated a decreasing/increasing trend for annual HWL/LWL of all stations in MLYR during the study period. A change point in 1999 was identified for annual HWL at the Hankou and Datong stations. The year 2006 was found to be the critical year that the relationship between annual extreme water levels and river discharges changed in the MLYR. With contrast to annual LWL in MLYR, further investigation revealed that the change characteristics of annual HWL were highly consistent with regional precipitation in the Yangtze River Basin, while the linkage with Three Gorges Dam(TGD) operation is not strong. Our observation also pointed out that the effect of serious down cutting of the riverbed and the enlargement of the cross-section area during the initial period of TGD operation caused the downward trend of the relationship between annual LWL and river discharge. Whereas, the relatively raised river water level before the flood season due to TGD regulation since 2006 explained for the changing upward trend of the relationship between annual HWL and river discharge. 相似文献
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Yongqin David Chen Tao Yang Chong-Yu Xu Qiang Zhang Xi Chen Zhen-Chun Hao 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2010,24(1):9-18
This paper presents a visually enhanced evaluation of the spatio-temporal patterns of the dam-induced hydrologic alteration
in the middle and upper East River, south China over 1952–2002, using the range of variability approach (RVA) and visualization
package XmdvTool. The impacts of climate variability on hydrological processes have been removed for wet and dry periods,
respectively, so that we focus on the impacts of human activities (i.e., dam construction). The results indicate that: (1)
along the East River, dams have greatly altered the natural flow regime, range condition and spatial variability; (2) six
most remarkable indicators of hydrologic alteration induced by dam-construction are rise rate (1.16), 3-day maximum (0.91),
low pulse duration (0.88), January (0.80), July (0.80) and February (0.79) mean flow of the East River during 1952–2002; and
(3) spatiotemporal hydrologic alterations are different among three stations along Easter River. Under the influence of dam
construction in the upstream, the degree of hydrologic changes from Lingxia, Heyuan to Longchuan station increases. This study
reveals that visualization techniques for high-dimensional hydrological datasets together with RVA are beneficial for detecting
spatio-temporal hydrologic changes. 相似文献
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Scaling properties of the runoff variations in the arid and semi-arid regions of China: a case study of the Yellow River basin 总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0
Qiang Zhang Chong-Yu Xu Tao Yang 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2009,23(8):1103-1111
We analyzed long daily runoff series at six hydrological stations located along the mainstem Yellow River basin by using power
spectra analysis and multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA) technique with aim to deeply understand the scaling
properties of the hydrological series in the Yellow River basin. Research results indicate that: (1) the runoff fluctuations
of the Yellow River basin exhibit self-affine fractal behavior and different memory properties at different time scales. Different
crossover frequency (1/f) indicates that lower crossover frequency usually corresponds to larger basin area, and vice versa, showing the influences
of river size on higher frequency of runoff variations. This may be due to considerable regulations of river channel on the
runoff variations in river basin of larger basin size; (2) the runoff fluctuations in the Yellow River basin exhibit short-term
memory properties at smaller time scales. Crossover analysis by MF-DFA indicates unchanged annual cycle within the runoff
variations, implying dominant influences of climatic changes on changes of runoff amount at longer time scales, e.g. 1 year.
Human activities, such as human withdrawal of freshwater and construction of water reservoirs, in different reaches of the
Yellow River basin may be responsible for different scaling properties of runoff variations in the Yellow River basin. The
results of this study will be helpful for hydrological modeling in different time scales and also for water resource management
in the arid and semi-arid regions of China. 相似文献
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Qiang Zhang Chong-Yu Xu Zengxin Zhang Yongqin David Chen 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2009,23(6):721-735
The spatial and temporal patterns of the temperature extremes defined by 5th and 95th percentiles based on daily maximum/minimum
temperature dataset were analyzed using Mann–Kendall test and linear regression method. The research results indicate that:
(1) the seasonal minimum temperature is in stronger increasing trend than the seasonal maximum temperature; (2) in comparison
with the changes of the maximum temperature, more stations display significantly increasing trends of minimum temperature
in frequency and intensity; (3) comparatively, more stations have significantly decreasing trends in the intra-seasonal extreme
temperature anomaly in summer and winter than in spring and autumn. The areal mean minimum temperature is in stronger increasing
trend than areal mean maximum temperature; (4) the warming process in the Far-West (FW) China is characterized mainly by significantly
increasing minimum temperature. The research will be helpful for local human mitigation to alterations in water resource and
ecological environment in FW China due to changes of temperature extremes, as the ecologically fragile region of China. 相似文献
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Deliang CHEN Tinghai OU Lebing GONG Chong-Yu XU LI Weijing Chang-Hoi Ho QIAN Weihong 《大气科学进展》2010,27(6):1221-1232
Climate research relies heavily on good quality
instrumental data; for modeling efforts gridded data are needed. So
far, relatively little effort has been made to create gridded
climate data for China. This is especially true for high-resolution
daily data. This work, focuses on identifying an accurate method to
produce gridded daily precipitation in China based on the observed
data at 753 stations for the period 1951--2005. Five interpolation
methods, including ordinary nearest neighbor, local polynomial,
radial basis function, inverse distance weighting, and ordinary
kriging, have been used and compared. Cross-validation shows that
the ordinary kriging based on seasonal semi-variograms gives the
best performance, closely followed by the inverse distance weighting
with a power of 2. Finally the ordinary kriging is chosen to
interpolate the station data to a 18 km×18 km grid system
covering the whole country. Precipitation for each 0.5o×0.5o latitude-longitude block is then obtained by averaging
the values at the grid nodes within the block. Owing to the higher
station density in the eastern part of the country, the
interpolation errors are much smaller than those in the west (west
of 100oE). Excluding 145 stations in the western region, the
daily, monthly, and annual relative mean absolute errors of the
interpolation for the remaining 608 stations are 74%, 29%, and
16%, respectively. The interpolated daily precipitation has been
made available on the internet for the scientific community. 相似文献