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Japanese early-warning for debris flows and slope failures using rainfall indices with Radial Basis Function Network 总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2
Nobutomo Osanai Takeshi Shimizu Kazumasa Kuramoto Shinichi Kojima Tomoyuki Noro 《Landslides》2010,7(3):325-338
Early-warning systems for natural disasters are important tools for disaster risk reduction and for achieving sustainable
development and livelihoods. In 2005, the Japanese government initiated a new nationwide early-warning system for landslides
disasters. The main methodology of the system is to set a criterion for occurrences of debris flows and slope failures based
on several rainfall indices (60-min cumulative rainfall and soil–water index) in each 5-km grid mesh covering all of Japan.
Because many of the records of mass movements are lacking in scientific precision on timing and location, the system applies
Radial Basis Function Network methods to set the criterion based primarily on rainfall data recorded as not triggering disasters.
Since the end of March 2007, under torrential rainfall conditions, early-warning information has been disseminated as part
of weather news using TV, radio, and the Internet. Because of the increasing worldwide recognition of the importance of early-warning
systems for natural disaster reduction, the aim of this article is to introduce the new Japanese early-warning system to the
international landslide community. In this article, the method, the system, and the result of its application to landslide
disasters in 2009 are presented. 相似文献
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A new information criterion, the extended information criterion (EIC) was applied in order to determine an optimum solution in simultaneous iterative reconstruction technique (SIRT) P-wave velocity tomography. The EIC is derived from information theory and statistics, and it measures the goodness-of-fit between the true (unknown) data distribution and the observed data distribution: the former gives the probability of data realization from the true (unknown) model, whereas the latter gives a probability of data realization calculated from a particular model of which parameters are estimated. The EIC is calculated using bootstrap statistics, a numerical technique for calculating statistical estimators. Bootstrap statistics enables us to obtain the bias between the log likelihood and the expected log likelihood, and then to obtain the expected log likelihood from the log likelihood. Since the EIC is obtained numerically, we can use it for most problems of model parameter estimation without employing the maximum likelihood method. Taking weak anisotropy into account, we reconstructed the P-wave velocity structure of a rock sample during water infiltration under differential stress loading conditions. The results indicate that we can remove unrealistic solutions sometimes encountered when too many iterations are made. In spite of much computation time, the EIC is a promising technique for the near future, prompted by the rapid progress in current computer technology. 相似文献
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Halloysite A, which is a weathering product of feldspar in granitic rocks and of matrix clay minerals in sand, takes the shape of long tubes. Halloysite B which is a weathering product of pyroclastic materials takes the shape of balls, nodules, scrolls or short tubes. Stability of the interlayer water of halloysite varies from sample to sample, but does not show a simple relation to these genetical types. Chemical analysis and ESR show that halloysite B contains more structural Fe than halloysite A. 相似文献
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Baator Has Tomoyuki Noro Kiyoteru Maruyama Akira Nakamura Kiichiro Ogawa Satoshi Onoda 《Landslides》2012,9(4):539-546
The northern Nagano Prefecture earthquake, MJMA?6.7 (Mw?6.2), which is inferred to have been triggered by the huge (Mw?9.0) March 11, 2011 Tohoku earthquake, occurred on March 12, 2011, in northern Nagano Prefecture, an area in Japan famous for heavy snowfall. A large number of landslides were triggered by the 12 March earthquake, and it caused building damage in the area of the epicenter. To clarify characteristics of the distribution and dynamic behavior of these landslides, we analyzed aerial photographs and conducted field surveys in and around the epicentral area. Large-scale landslides with long distance run-outs are a remarkable characteristic of the landslides induced by this earthquake. The long travel distance is considered to be related to the thick snowpack at the time the earthquake occurred. Moderate scale deep-seated landslides and shallow landslides were also observed in the study area. Based on an analysis of landslides with the active fault on which the earthquake is believed to have occurred, most of these landslides were distributed on the hanging wall of the active fault, within a distance of 12?km from the fault. 相似文献
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Hisashi Hayakawa Harufumi Tamazawa Yurina Uchiyama Yusuke Ebihara Hiroko Miyahara Shunsuke Kosaka Kiyomi Iwahashi Hiroaki Isobe 《Solar physics》2017,292(1):12
A significant carbon-14 enhancement has recently been found in tree rings for the year 994, suggesting an extremely strong and brief cosmic ray flux event. The origin of this particular cosmic ray event has not been confirmed, but one possibility is that it might be of solar origin. Contemporary historical records of low-latitude auroras can be used as supporting evidence of intense solar activity around that time. We investigate previously reported as well as new records that have been found in contemporary observations from the 990s to determine potential auroras. Records of potential red auroras in late 992 and early 993 were found around the world, i.e. in the Korean Peninsula, Saxonian cities in modern Germany, and the Island of Ireland, suggesting the occurrence of an intense geomagnetic storm driven by solar activity. 相似文献
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