关于在地震预报中遇到的几个问题的探讨     

杨佩琴  张年明 《福建地震》2004,(3)

地震台站工作人员 ,在进行观测资料分析、地震预报研究过程中 ,往往会遇到的几个问题 :1、手段单一 ,对于前兆现象无法全面表述。 2、如何识别异常与地震之间的关系。 3、如何兼顾点和面的关系。  相似文献   

植被作用下土壤抗剪强度和径流侵蚀力的耦合效应   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

肖培青  姚文艺  王国庆  杨春霞  申震洲 《水科学进展》2016,27(2):224-230

利用野外径流小区动态监测和人工模拟降雨试验,阐明了草被和灌木的减流减沙效应,从力学层面揭示了坡面侵蚀产沙的过程机理。结果表明,与裸地相比,野外坡面草地和灌木地径流量分别减少28.1%~56.5%和85.7%~100%、产沙量分别减少84.9%~90.7%和98.5%~100%;在人工模拟降雨强度下,草地和灌木地径流量分别减少51.9%~90.9%和61.7%~80.6%、产沙量分别减少93.6%~99.2%和95.5%~99.2%;植被具有明显的增强土壤抗剪强度的作用,不同植被坡面抗剪强度与剪切面上的法向压力成正比,且符合库仑定律;不同下垫面条件下土壤黏聚力与坡面径流量和侵蚀产沙量呈显著的负相关关系,随着黏聚力的增大,径流量和侵蚀产沙量呈下降趋势;草地和灌木地坡面侵蚀临界径流切应力分别为裸地的2.64~3.16倍和2.44~3.18倍,建立了不同被覆坡面临界径流切应力与土壤抗剪强度和黏聚力的关系。研究结果对定量评价植被减蚀作用和深化土壤侵蚀力学过程有一定的参考意义。  相似文献   

Analysis of the contribution of multiple factors to the recent decrease in discharge and sediment yield in the Yellow River Basin,China   总被引：5，自引：1，他引：4  

Wenyi Yao  Peiqing Xiao  Zhenzhou Shen  Jinhua Wang  Peng Jiao 《地理学报(英文版)》2016,26(9):1289-1304

The Yellow River basin is well known for its high sediment yield. However, this sediment yield has clearly decreased since the 1980s, especially after the year 2000. The annual average sediment yield was 1.2 billion tons before 2000, but has significantly decreased to 0.3 billion tons over the last 10 years. Changes in discharge and sediment yield for the Yellow River have attracted the attention of both the Central Government and local communities. This study aimed to identify the individual contributions of changes in precipitation and human activities (e.g. water conservancy projects, terracing, silt dams, socio-economic and needs, and soil and water conservation measures) to the decrease in discharge and sediment yield of the Yellow River. The study used both improved the hydrological method and the soil and water conservation method. The study focused on discharge analysis for the upper reaches and the investigation of sediments for the middle reaches of the river. The results showed that discharge and sediment yield have both presented significant decreasing trends over the past 50 years. Precipitation showed an insignificant decreasing trend over the same period. The annual average discharge decreased by 5.68 billion m³ above Lanzhou reach of the Yellow River from 2000 to 2012; human activities (e.g. socio-economic water use) contributed 43.4% of the total reduction, whereas natural factors (e.g. evaporation from lakes, wetlands and reservoirs) accounted for 56.6%. The decrease in annual discharge and sediment yield of the section between Hekouzhen station and Tongguan station were 12.4 billion m³ and 1.24 billion tons, respectively. Human activities contributed 76.5% and 72.2% of the total reduction in discharge and sediment yield, respectively, and were therefore the dominant factors in the changes in discharge and sediment yield of the Yellow River.  相似文献   

Geomorphic natural hazard on loess terrain: expansion on the gully sidewall     

Ma  Yulei  Xu  Xiangzhou  Xiao  Peiqing  Yan  Qiao  Zhao  Chao 《Natural Hazards》2021,109(3):2535-2555

Natural Hazards - Gully sidewall expansion is an important geomorphic natural hazard, and the expansion destroys a large extent of agricultural land in the loess regions every year. The main aim of...  相似文献   

“广义信息维”在首都圈地震中期预报中的应用     

陈绍绪  李淑莲 《地震》1996,16(3):249-254

给出了“广义信息维”的计算公式和计算方法，研究了首都圈和周期地区的广义时间分维和华北地区的广义空间分维。结果表明，在该地区Ｍｓ≥５．３地震前０．５－３ａ，时间分维都有一个较明显的降维过程；空间分维也有较好的对应效果，但是存在漏现象。  相似文献   

On the seismic regime network method     

Zegao Wang  Yan Guo  Shulian Li  Yinghua Dai  Peiqing Sun 《地震学报(英文版)》1992,5(2):245-255

In this paper, based on the previous study of practical use of seismic regime windows and seismic regime belts, the problem of establishing a “seismic regime network” consisting of “windows” and “belts” is further posed and discussed according to the observed fact that many “windows” and “belts” make responses to one earthquake. For the convenience of usage, the “seismic regime network” is divided into two classes, the first class and the second one. The former can be used in tendency prediction for long-term seismic activity in a large area, the latter used in short-term prediction in a small area. In this paper, after briefly discussing the physical significance of “seismic regime network”, it is pointed out that this simple and easily used method can be used to observe and extract seismic precursory information from a large area before a great earthquake, thus it can provide a reliable basis for the analysis and judgement of seismic regime tendency in time and space. No doult, this method is of certain practical significance. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,13, 161–169, 1991. The English version of this paper is improved by Prof. Shaoxie Xu.  相似文献   

中国大陆及邻区大震的远距离相关现象   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

王泽皋  孙佩卿  高景春 《地震工程学报》1993,(3)

本文根据中国大陆及边邻M_(?)≥7.0地震活动的时空特点,讨论了大地震活动的远程关联现象,划分了6个相关地带。根据本文所划分的诸相关地带,可以对所研究地区大地震的活动形势作出大致的估计。  相似文献   

中国大陆及邻区大震的远距离相关现象     

王泽皋  孙佩卿  高景春 《地震工程学报》1993,15(3):81-87

本文根据中国大陆及边邻M_S≥7.0地震活动的时空特点,讨论了大地震活动的远程关联现象,划分了6个相关地带。根据本文所划分的诸相关地带,可以对所研究地区大地震的活动形势作出大致的估计。  相似文献   

西南太平洋地区地震序列的特征     

刁桂苓  陈敬伟 《华南地震》1998,18(4):1-8

共搜集到１９８４￣１９９０年西南太平洋地区１２个板缘地震序列。多数地震序列的特征是：震中分布区域的长轴较长并且随主震震级和序列中强震次数而增加;震中分布区域的长、短轴长度的比值较高;地震序列的余震震源机制和主震的差异不大;震源深度下限超过地壳,可达７０ｋｍ以上。走滑型主震占的比例低,高倾角滑动面的走向既有与俯冲带走向平行的也有横切的,个别逆冲型地震的断层面走向横切俯冲带。它们显示出与板块俯冲带主体  相似文献   

张北6.2级地震序列显著余震现场灰色预测     

平建军  孙佩卿 《华北地震科学》1998,16(3):39-45

根据张家口地震台记录的１９９８年张北早期地震序列资料,对其显著余震（系指ＭＬ≥４．０,下同）建立了ＧＭ（１,１）动态灰色预测模型,并进而依此模型对张北震区主震后,短时内连续发生的５次显著余震进行了尝试性现场预测,结果与实事较吻合,表明灰色预测方法对于探讨如何简捷有效地预测地震序列早期强余震问题,可能具有一定的实际意义。  相似文献