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Malcolm L. Spaulding Mark Reed Eric Anderson Tatsusaburo Isaji J.Craig Swanson Saul B. Saila Ernesto Lorda Henry Walker 《Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science》1985,20(1):41-53
An oil spill fishery impact assessment model system has been applied to the Georges Bank-Gulf of Maine region to assess the sensitivity of probable impact on several key fisheries to spill location and timing. Simulations of the impact on the fishery of tanker spills (20 million gallons released over 5 days), at two separate locations for each season of the year, and blowout spills (68 million gallons released over 30 days) at one location, with monthly releases and at six other locations with seasonal spills have been studied. Atlantic cod has been employed as the principal fish species throughout the simulations. Impacts on Atlantic herring and haddock have also been investigated for selected cases. All spill sites are located on Georges Bank with the majority in the general region of OCS leasing activity.The results of these simulations suggest a complex interaction among spill location and timing, the spatial and temporal distribution of spawning, the population dynamics of the species under study, and the hydrodynamics of the area. For the species studied, spills occurring during the winter and spring have the largest impact with cod being the most heavily impacted followed by haddock and herring. In all cases, the maximum cumulative loss to the fishery of a one time spill event never exceeded 25% of the annual catch with the exact value depending on the number of ichthyoplankton impacted by the spill and the compensatory dynamics of the population. 相似文献
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A field program was performed to determine the exchange of water between Ninigret Pond and Block Island Sound (BIS) at tidal and subtidal frequencies. Time series on sea level variations in BIS and Ninigret Pond, spatially integrated velocities across the breachway connecting the two (obtained by a GEK) and wind speed and direction were collected from April 21–June 3, 1980. A hybrid hydrodynamic model incorporating a simplified one-dimensional approximation for the breachway channel systems and a two-dimensional vertically-averaged finite element solution on triangular grids for the pond proper was used to model the ponds’ response to ocean forcing. Model predictions were in good agreement with the field data. Both indicated a factor of 5.5 reduction in the semidiurnal tidal amplitude, and a high water shift of 2.5 hr, relative to BIS. Model and field data also show that as the frequency of sea level forcing becomes lower the pond sea level response is in phase and of the same magnitude as that in BIS. 相似文献
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