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根据水资源对厄尔尼诺事件的响应，得出了钱塘江流域水资源的统计预报模式：（１）在春季型厄尔尼诺事件的当年和夏季型厄尔尼诺事件的次年，金华站年径流量的距平一般都大于零：（２）厄尔尼诺事件的结束时间若超过５月１日，那么次年金华站年径流量的距平一般都大于零；（３）厄尔尼诺事件的强度越大。对钱塘江流域水资源的影响也越大。这对该流域长期及超长期的水资源预报具有重要的指示作用。 相似文献
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人类活动中温室气体的排放对气温影响综述 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
本文广泛参阅了国内外科学家的研究成果，综合论述分析了几种主要温室气体的源、汇及其浓度变化特征，研究分析了其增暖潜力，温室效应的强度和对人类社会各方面的影响，提出人类为保护自身的生存环境，必须严格控制温室气体的排放量。 相似文献
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城市屋面绿化对城市气候影响预评价 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
本文用移植法和数值模拟法分析了屋面绿化气候的影响过程，并用局地系统的热量平衡方程和水分平衡方程对城市屋面绿化后对温度、湿度及风、云、雾、降水等作了预评价。 相似文献
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近年来,有学者通过古DNA方法成功地重建了海洋沉积记录中古微生物群落变化,并借此反演了当地古环境-气候变化。然而,此种方法对于陆地湖泊沉积记录是否适用仍然有待研究。本文采用聚合酶链式反应（PCR, Polymerase Chain Reaction）、变性梯度凝胶电泳（DGGE,Denaturing Gradient Gel Electrophoresis）与实时荧光定量聚合酶链式反应（Q-PCR,Quantitative PCR）相结合的综合分析技术手段,系统研究青海湖5.8米（时间跨度为～18500年）沉积柱dinoflagellate真核藻类多样性和丰度变化。研究结果显示青海湖Dinoflagellate藻18S rRNA基因序列主要与海洋型藻类Woloszynskia halophila和Scrippsiella hangoei相近（～98%序列相似性）。定量Q-PCR结果显示,每克沉积物含有dinoflagellate藻类18S rRNA基因丰度范围为2.27×103～8.55×106拷贝。另外,Dinoflagellate藻类18S rRNA基因丰度与总有机碳含量成显著正相关（r = 0.408,p = 0.0001）。对比分析揭示较高的藻类丰度对应高总有机碳含量和较低的可溶解性盐电导率;反之,较低的藻类丰度对应较高的可溶解性盐电导率和较低的总有机碳含量。在青海湖区,总有机碳指示着季风降雨变化并间接地指示着外源输入和湖泊营养状况变化,然而可溶性盐电导率则指示着湖泊盐度变化。综上所诉,青海湖沉积柱Dinoflagellate藻类丰度可能响应着历史时期湖泊营养状况和盐度波动情况。 相似文献
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拉萨地体中部上白垩统达雄组的建立及构造隆升意义 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
拉萨地体中部措勤盆地内,呈东西向发育一套厚度巨大(~1800m)的晚白垩世陆相磨拉石沉积建造。通过对研究区内达雄村附近出露较好的虾格子剖面开展详细的测制工作,并将该套地层自底到顶分为5段,依次为中-粗粒砂岩层段、大套砾岩层段、中粒砂岩夹粉砂岩-泥岩层段、大套紫红色与绿色粉砂岩/泥页岩层段以及均质中粒砂岩层段。地层底部与下伏郎山组含圆笠虫灰岩呈沉积不整合关系,顶部被新生代沉积物覆盖。通过岩相组合与沉积结构构造分析研究,认为该套地层形成于冲积扇-辫状河沉积体系。通过地层顶部火山灰夹层和下伏郎山灰岩的圆笠虫化石显示其形成年龄约为98~91 Ma,这与获得的砂岩碎屑最年轻锆石年龄较为一致。砾岩砾石统计结果显示火山岩砾石为其主要成分。砂岩碎屑成分显示以大量火山岩岩屑为主。这些碎屑成分特征表明其主要来自岩浆弧的物源区。结合碎屑锆石U-Pb年代学和Hf同位素数据表明,中拉萨地体上广泛分布的则弄群火山岩可能为其主要的物源区。本文综合该套晚白垩世沉积的时空分布、岩性组合以及物源区特征,将其新命名为"达雄组",并将其与中拉萨地体北侧的竟柱山组对比表明,两者可能共同代表了中拉萨地体在晚白垩世早期(约98~91 Ma)所经历构造隆升,为青藏高原腹地在印度-亚洲大陆碰撞之前隆升提供了地质证据。 相似文献
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中国热带气旋的时间活动性研究 总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8
根据热带气旋的年内活动性,用新提出的等密图分析法来表示其年内出现机会最多的日期（频发期）和强度（频发值）;根据热带气旋的年际活动性,用描述自然现象状态转移规律的马尔可夫链预测模型来分析其活动趋势,结果是比较理想的,可以为热带气旋预测提供一定的理论依据。 相似文献
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ZHOU Xiaohu HU Xiumian JIANG Ren GAO Tianshan MA Xue XING Guangfu SUN Gaoyuan SHU Xujie ZHAO Xilin 《《地质学报》英文版》2020,94(4):1138-1158
The Neoproterozoic Jiangnan orogen plays an important role in the study of the Precambrian tectonic evolution of South China. The tectonic nature of the Neoproterozoic sedimentary basins is still controversial, due to poor understanding of the sedimentary sequences and the lack of geochronological data. Here, we present sedimentological, provenance and geochronological data from the Heshangzhen Group in the eastern Jiangnan orogen. Sedimentological analysis shows that the Luojiamen Formation was deposited in a submarine fan, and the overlying Hongchicun Formation was deposited in front of a fan delta. The youngest detrital zircons constrain the lower Luojiamen and Hongchicun formations with ages of 827.3 ± 8.4 Ma and 825 ± 12 Ma, respectively. The sandstones of the Luojiamen Formation are characterized by a large number of intermediate to felsic volcanic grains, suggesting a volcanic arc source. In contrast, quartz and sedimentary lithic grains increase in the Hongchicun Formation, showing a new input from a collisional orogenic source. Detrital zircon from six sandstone samples in the Luojiamen and Hongchicun formations yield similar age spectra of 930–820 Ma with a peak at ca. 845–860 Ma, with one main cluster at 930–820 Ma. Detrital zircons of 930–845 Ma show a positive value of εHf(t)(+2.4 to +11, mean +7.6), which is similar to the volcanic arc of the nearby Shuangxiwu Group. There are a minor group of zircons with U-Pb ages ranging from 820 Ma to 845 Ma from the middle part of the Luojiamen Formation and Hongchicun Formation, with εHf(t) values between-20 to +2.4, which are consistent with the characteristics of the Shuangqiaoshan Group. within light of the bidirectional paleocurrents in the Luojiamen Formation, it is speculated that the zircons of 820–845 Ma were recycled from the Shuangqiaoshan Group, which is derived from a continental arc to the northwest. Our data suggests that the Luojiamen Formation was formed in an inter-arc basin, while the Hongchicun Formation was formed in an accretionary wedge-top basin. When juxtaposed with the conglomeratic characteristics at the bottom of the Luojiamen Formation, it is believed that the unconformity represented by the ‘Shen Gong Movement' reflects the rapid erosion and accumulation process of island arc volcanic material. The disconformity between the Luojiamen and Hongchicun formations is the imprint of transition from inter-arc basin to accretionary wedge-top basin,which represents the collision between the Shuangxiwu arc and the Yangtze Plate. 相似文献
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Meteorological phenomena evolve according to both external influences and their own internal physical processes. Nevertheless, multivariate analysis ignores the evolution of individual meteorological events overtime, while time series analysis does not make full use of the implicit information on influencing factors. Instead, the threshold autoregressive model considers not only the additive effects of influencing factors, but also the processes controlling the evolution of the meteorological phenomena. Meanwhile, this approach deals with the nonlinear problems of meteorological processes through piecewise linearization, yielding improved fit to observations and better forecasts. The pooled variance, mean square error, and maximum fitted error of TARSO(2, (1, 1), (1, 3)) are all smaller than those obtained using TAR(2, 1, 2). The errors of the landfall number associated with TARSO(2, (1, 1), (1, 3)) are smaller than those associated with TAR(2, 1, 2). At present, however, time series data for meteorological processes are generally short, such that the corresponding information system is incomplete. Therefore, extrapolation should not be too far-ranging. It is strongly suggested that the current information system should be supplemented by the addition of new information each year, in the hope of improving future model accuracy and forecast skill. 相似文献
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Gaoyuan Li Hongchen Jiang Weiguo Hou Shang Wang Liuqin Huang Huilei Ren Shicai Deng Hailiang Dong 《地学前缘(英文版)》2012,3(3):317-325
The microbial diversity in Wuli Area,Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau was investigated using 16S rRNA gene phylogenetic analyses.A total of 117 bacterial and 66 archaeal 16S rRNA gene clones were obtained from the Wuli cold springs.The bacterial clones could be classified into Pwteobacteria,Acidobacteria, Deinococci,Sphingobacteria,Flavobacteria.Nitrospirae,Actinobacteria,Gemmatimonadetes, and unclassified-bacteria;and the archaeal clones could be classified into Crenarchaeota and Thaumarchaeota.Among the major groups,Pwteobacteria and Crenarchaeota were dominant in the bacterial and archaeal 16S rRNA gene clone libraries,respectively.The clone sequences obtained in Wuli cold springs were closely related to those from cold habitats,such as snow/ice/soils on high mountains or at high latitude.Especially,the microbial community composition of Wuli Area was more similar to that in Tibetan glaciers than cold environments of other locations.The data presented in this study have implications for a better understanding of microbial diversity in cold springs on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. 相似文献