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Conclusion There is no doubt that Northern Ireland's lignite deposits are of high quality and constitute a natural resource of considerable potential value in this small, peripheral part of the European Community. Whether or not one or more will be used commercially and, if so, when depends on an interacting complex of economic, social and political factors. In purely economic terms, use will be effectively determined by lignite's economic competitiveness as a fuel dor electricity generation and on the relationship between capital and fuel costs. The economics of other possibly viable products such as lignite briquettes will be heavily dependent on the use of by-products of electricity generation, most notably surplus heat.The availability of lignite offers an alternative fuel option to those charged with formulating the Province's energy policy. If, as now seems likely, it is no longer a serious competitor for the power station planned for the mid-1990's, it most certainly is a competitor for the early part of the next century. This is particularly so in view of its low sulphur content which is about half that of Scottish coal on an energy equivalent basis. Lignite also offers security of supply at predictable prices, an important advantage, and thus carries a premium over coal, oil and natural gas which are imported at prices determined wholly exogenously.As the Province has by far the highest rate of regional unemployment in the United Kingdom, one argument advanced for the use of indigenous lignite is that its use in electricity generation would create much needed additional employment — an estimated 400 jobs being associated with the mining operations needed to support a 450 MW power station. But the Coagh example shows that other considerations must be taken seriously. It is extremely unlikely that the lignite in this area will ever be worked unless local attitudes change dramatically or there is some national fuel crisis which would over-ride local opposition. It is difficult enough developing lignite without having to contend with such strong resistance at the local level.This study has shown that certainly in the Northern Irish context it is highly important for the policy makers not only to consider the economic factors involved in choice of an energy fuel but to work closely with local communities and the various environmental bodies, to take their perceptions, right or wrong, into consideration. 相似文献
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Immediately following the May 2011 tornado, the city of Joplin, Missouri, initiated recovery efforts to rebuild the part of the community devastated by this event. In doing so, city officials introduced two new safety measures and recommended several others. The main objective of this paper is to explore the tornado survivors' compliance with the safety features recommended by the Joplin city authorities. Face‐to‐face interviews, as well as other methods, were used to survey respondents who were living within the tornado path (damage zones) at the time of the tornado. Results showed that 43 percent of all respondents implemented at least one recommended tornado measure in rebuild or repair their destroyed/damaged homes. Further, it was found that three variables considered here— rebuild or repair, damage zone category, and perceived tornado risk—were all significant contributors to a homeowner's decision to implement recommended tornado safety measures. The paper concludes with a recommendation for expanding tornado safety education among the respondents. 相似文献
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L. Knopoff R. G. Mitchel E. G. Kausel † F. Schwab ‡ 《Geophysical Journal International》1979,56(1):211-218
Summary. The Lg phase has been shown previously to be a collection of higher-mode surface waves guided by the continental crust (Knopoff, Schwab & Kausel). A simple scaling between continental and oceanic crustal thicknesses suggests that a search for an oceanic Lg phase should be made in the period range from 1 to 2s. In a search for SH polarized Lg arrivals over oceanic paths, we found that in addition to the fundamental mode, seismo-grams at relatively short ranges in the Pacific showed the presence of only the first higher mode with group velocities on the steep portion of the dispersion curve rather than at the group velocity minimum as expected. Numerical model analysis indicates that, contrary to the continental case, there is no strong confluence of stationary phases of higher-mode crustal waves in the appropriate period range to produce Lg wave packets; this is due to small but significant differences in scaled crustal structures. Further, lateral variations in the thickness of oceanic sediments are sufficient to scatter most of the crustal surface-wave energy within a relatively short distance. Even were this thickness uniform, attenuation in the sediments would be strong enough to absorb the Lg stationary phases in a short distance. 相似文献
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Willard S. Moore Teh-Lung Ku J. Douglas Macdougall Virginia Mee Burns Roger Burns Jack Dymond Mitchel W. Lyle David Z. Piper 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》1981,52(1):151-171
Fluxes of metals to the top and bottom surfaces of a manganese nodule were determined by combining radiochemical (230Th,231Pa,232Th,238U,234U) and detailed chemical data. The top of the nodule had been growing in its collected orientation at 4.7 mm Myr?1 for at least 0.5 Myr and accreting Mn at 200 μg cm?2 kyr?1. The bottom of the nodule had been growing in its collected orientation at about 12 mm Myr?1 for at least 0.3 Myr and accreting Mn at about 700 μg cm?2 yr?1. Although the top of the nodule was enriched in iron relative to the bottom, the nodule had been accreting Fe 50% faster on the bottom.232Th was also accumulating more rapidly in the bottom despite a 20-fold enrichment of230Th on the top.The distribution of alpha-emitting nuclides calculated from detailed radiochemical measurements matched closely the pattern revealed by 109-day exposures of alpha-sensitive film to the nodule. However, the shape and slope of the total alpha profile with depth into the nodule was affected strongly by226Ra and222Rn migrations making the alpha-track technique alone an inadequate method of measuring nodule growth rates.Diffusion of radium in the nodule may have been affected by diagenetic reactions which produce barite, phillipsite and todorokite within 1 mm of the nodule surface; however, our sampling interval was too broad to document the effect. We have not been able to resolve the importance of nodule diagenesis on the gross chemistry of the nodule. 相似文献
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Exploring probable reasons for record fatalities: the case of 2011 Joplin, Missouri, Tornado 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
On the evening of 22 May 2011, an EF-5 tornado tore a path six miles long across Joplin, Missouri, USA, killing 162 people as it passed through the heart of the city. This tornado stands as the deadliest single tornado to hit the United States since modern recordkeeping began in 1950, surpassing the tornado of 8 June 1953 that claimed 116 lives in Flint, Michigan. The record number of deaths caused by the single tornado in Joplin was far higher than the average annual number of US tornado deaths over the last three decades. This study explores the reasons for the high number of fatalities caused by the 2011 Joplin tornado. Questionnaire surveys administered among tornado survivors and informal discussions with emergency management personnel and others suggest that five reasons are associated with the high number of tornado fatalities experienced in Joplin: (1) the sheer magnitude of this event; (2) its path through commercial and densely populated residential areas; (3) the relatively large size of damage area; (4) the physical characteristics of affected homes in Joplin; and (5) the fact that some residents ignored tornado warnings. Several recommendations are offered, the implementation of which should reduce future tornado fatalities not only in Joplin, but elsewhere in the United States. 相似文献
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Areal interpolation is the process by which data collected from one set of zonal units can be estimated for another zonal division of the same space that shares few or no boundaries with the first. In previous research, we outlined the use of dasymetric mapping for areal interpolation and showed it to be the most accurate method tested. There we used control information derived from classified satellite imagery to parameterize the dasymetric method, but because such data are rife with errors, here we extend the work to examine the sensitivity of the population estimates to error in the classified imagery. Results show the population estimates by dasymetric mapping to be largely insensitive to the errors of classification in the Landsat image when compared with the other methods tested. The dasymetric method deteriorates to the accuracy of the next worst estimate only when 40% error occurs in the classified image, a level of error that may easily be bettered within most remote sensing projects. 相似文献
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Climate spatial variability and data resolution in a semi-arid watershed, south-eastern Arizona 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
Susan M. Skirvin Stuart E. Marsh Mitchel P. McClaran David M. Meko 《Journal of Arid Environments》2003,54(4):667-686
In the 10,000 km2 San Pedro River watershed area in south-eastern Arizona, high-resolution spatial patterns of long-term precipitation and temperature were better reproduced by kriging climate data with elevation as external drift (KED) than by multiple linear regression on station location and elevation as judged by the spatial distribution of interpolation error. Mean errors were similar overall, and interpolation accuracy for both methods increased with increasing correlation between climate variables and elevation. Uncertainty in station locations had negligible effect on mean estimation error, although error for individual stations varied as much as 27%. Our future ability to examine spatial aspects of climate change at high spatial resolution will be severely limited by continuing closures of climate stations in this part of the United States. 相似文献
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Spatial accessibility measures are an important policy tool for managing healthcare provision and reducing health inequality. The two‐step floating catchment area technique, in common with many alternative methodologies, requires that demand‐side population be estimated using spatial interpolation techniques. This article studies the implications of adopting differing spatial representations of population on healthcare accessibility modeling outcomes. Results indicate that a dasymetric model yields lower accessibility scores than a standard pro rata model. More important, the difference is spatially disproportionate, suggesting that the degree of disadvantage experienced in rural areas may be greater than has previously been recognized. 相似文献
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