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1.
Theoretical and Applied Climatology - While urban areas in India are rapidly expanding, the analysis of how the precipitation regimes are changing is very limited. In the present study, an attempt...  相似文献   
2.
Many current watershed modeling efforts now incorporate surface water and groundwater for managing water resources since the exchanges between groundwater and surface water need a special focus considering the changing climate. The influence of groundwater dynamics on water and energy balance components is investigated in the Snake River Basin (SRB) by coupling the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) and MODFLOW models (VIC‐MF) for the period of 1986 through 2042. A 4.4% increase in base flows and a 10.3% decrease in peak flows are estimated by VIC‐MF compared to the VIC model in SRB. The VIC‐MF model shows significant improvement in the streamflow simulation (Nash‐Sutcliffe efficiency [NSE] of 0.84) at King Hill, where the VIC model could not capture the effect of spring discharge in the streamflow simulation (NSE of ?0.30); however, the streamflow estimates show an overall decreasing trend. Two climate scenarios representing median and high radiative‐forcings such as representative concentration pathways 4.5 and 8.5 show an average increase in the water table elevations between 2.1 and 2.6 m (6.9 and 8.5 feet) through the year 2042. The spatial patterns of these exchanges show a higher groundwater elevation of 15 m (50 feet) in the downstream area and a lower elevation of up to 3 m (10 feet) in the upstream area. Broadly, this study supports results of previous work demonstrating that integrated assessment of groundwater‐surface water enables stakeholders to balance pumping, recharge and base flow needs and to manage the watersheds that are subjected to human pressures more sustainably.  相似文献   
3.
This study presents a multiscale framework for downscaling of the General Circulation Model (GCM) outputs to the mean monthly temperature at regional scale using a wavelet based Second order Voltera (SoV) model. The models are developed using the reanalysis climatic data from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) and are validated using the simulated climatic dataset from the Can CM4 GCM for five locations in the Krishna river basin, India. K-means clustering, based on the multiscale wavelet entropy of the predictors, is used for obtaining the clusters of the input climatic variables. Principal component analysis (PCA) is used to obtain the representative variables from each cluster. These input variables are then used to develop a wavelet based multiscale model using Second order Volterra approach to simulate observed mean monthly temperature for the selected locations in the basin. These models are called W-P-SoV models in this paper. For the purpose of comparison, linear multi-resolution models are developed using Multiple Linear regression (MLR) and are called W-P MLR models. The performance of the models is further compared with other Wavelet-PCA based models coupled with Multiple linear regression models (P-MLR) and Artificial Neural Networks (P-ANN), and, stand-alone MLR and ANN to establish the superiority of the proposed approach. The results indicate that the performance of the wavelet based models is superior in terms of downscaling accuracy when compared with the other models used.  相似文献   
4.
The high-grade Sargur schist belt in the southern part of Karnataka craton is characterised by two contrasting magmatic suites: an older suite of metavolcanics and basic granulites of tholeiitic chemistry and a differentiated metabasic-serpentinised ultramafic sequence of calc-alkaline chemistry. The metavolcanics have a distinctive chemistry of their own and are not comparable to modern mid-oceanic ridge basalts and island-arc tholeiites.The chemistry of the metasediments, which mostly comprise pelites, semipelites, minor Ca-rich marbles and quartzites, indicates a mixed source consisting mostly of basic rocks and minor granitic material.  相似文献   
5.
Dynamic response of tethers of tension-leg-platforms to current and horizontal earthquake excitations is investigated. The static deflected shape of tether under a steady current is firstly identified. Next dynamic analysis for earthquake input is carried out for this deflected tether. The fluid loading due to surrounding water is included in the analysis as an added mass term and a hydrodynamic damping term. The tether is discretized by lumping masses at selected nodes. The platform is represented by a mass at the top end of the tether. The effect of pretension in the tether is taken into account in the form of a geometric stiffness term. At each node three degrees of freedom corresponding to surge, heave and pitch motion are considered. As the vibration modes and hence the responses are likely to be affected by the foundation characteristics, the study is extended to include the dynamic soil–structure interaction. The dynamic equations of motion for the tether–pile–soil system are derived using the substructure method. The natural frequencies and the vibration mode shapes of the total system are determined by eigenvalue analysis. The input ground acceleration is represented by Tajimi–Kanai's power spectrum for stationary conditions. The response analysis is carried out using the frequency-domain random-vibration approach. The coupled axial and lateral responses are evaluated for horizontal ground excitations. Numerical results indicate that the horizontal displacements of the tether increase with the input ground acceleration, but are nearly equal for all the cases of current velocities considered in the study; the vertical displacements however increase rapidly with the increase in current velocity. For the model considered in the present study, the responses are reduced when soil–structure interaction is included in the analysis.  相似文献   
6.
Udupi coast in Karnataka state, along the west coast of India, selected as a study area, is well known for sandy beaches, aquaculture ponds, lush greenery, temples and major and minor industries. It lies between 13°00′00″–13°45′00″ north latitudes and 74°47′30″–74°30′00″ east longitudes, the length of the coastline is 95 km, and is oriented along the NNW–SSE direction. It is vulnerable to accelerated sea level rise (SLR) due to its low topography and its high ecological and touristy value. The present study has been carried out with a view to calculate the coastal vulnerability index (CVI) to know the high and low vulnerable areas and area of inundation due to future SLR, and land loss due to coastal erosion. Both conventional and remotely sensed data were used and analysed through the modelling technique and by using ERDAS Imagine and geographical information system software. The rate of erosion was 0.6018 km2/yr during 2000–2006 and around 46 km of the total 95 km stretch is under critical erosion. Out of the 95 km stretch coastline, 59% is at very high risk, 7% high, 4% moderate and 30% in the low vulnerable category, due to SLR. Results of the inundation analysis indicate that 42.19 km2 and 372.08 km2 of the land area will be submerged by flooding at 1 m and 10 m inundation levels. The most severely affected sectors are expected to be the residential and recreational areas, agricultural land, and the natural ecosystem. As this coast is planned for future coastal developmental activities, measures such as building regulation, urban growth planning, development of an integrated coastal zone management, strict enforcement of the Coastal Regulation Zone (CRZ) Act 1991, monitoring of impacts and further research in this regard are recommended for the study area.  相似文献   
7.
In this study ascending and descending passes interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) techniques are used for glacier surface velocity estimation in the Himalaya. Single-track interferometric measurements are sensitive to only a single component of the three dimensional (3-D) velocity vectors. European Remote Sensing satellites (ERS-1/2) tandem mission data in ascending and descending tracks provide an opportunity to resolve the three velocity components under the assumption that glacier flow is parallel to its surface. Using the surface slope as an essential input in this technique the velocity pattern of Siachen glacier in Himalaya has been modelled. Glaciers in the Himalayan region maintain excellent coherence of SAR return signals in one-day temporal difference. As a result we could obtain spatially continuous surface velocity field with a precision of fraction of radar wavelength. The results covering the main course of glacier are analysed in terms of spatial and temporal variations. A maximum velocity of 43 cm/day has been observed in the upper middle portion of the glacier. This technique has been found accurate for monitoring the flow rates in this region, suggesting that routine monitoring of diurnal movement Himalayan glaciers would be immensely useful in the present day context of climate change.  相似文献   
8.
Climate change in the Pacific Northwest and in particular, the Salmon River Basin (SRB), is expected to bring about 3–5 °C rise in temperatures and an 8 % increase in precipitation. In order to assess the impacts due to these changes at the basin scale, this study employed an improved version of Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model, which includes a parallel version of VIC combined with a comprehensive parameter estimation technique, Shuffled Complex Evolution (SCE) to estimate the streamflow and other water balance components. Our calibration (1955–1975) and validation (1976–1999) of the model at the outlet of the basin, White Bird, resulted in an r2 value of 0.94 which was considered satisfactory. Subsequent center of timing analysis showed that a gradual advancement of snowmelt induced-peak flow advancing by about 10 days in the future. Historically, the flows have shown a general decline in the basin, and in the future while the magnitudes might not be greatly affected, decreasing runoff of about 3 % over the next 90 years could be expected and timing of peak flow would shift by approximately 10 days. Also, a significant reduction of snow water equivalent up to 25 %, increased evapotranspiration up to 14 %, and decreased soil moisture storages of about 2 % is predicted by the model. A steady decline in SWE/P from the majority of climate model projections for the basin was also evident. Thus, the earlier snowmelt, decreasing soil moisture and increased evapotranspiration collectively implied the potential to trigger drought in the basin and could affect the quality of aquatic habitats and their spawning and a detailed investigation on these impacts is warranted.  相似文献   
9.
A U–Pb zircon age of 91.2 ± 0.2 Myr from western India (St. Mary islands) confidently links India with the Late Cretaceous magmatic province in Madagascar (≈ 84–92 Ma), and the U–Pb age is within analytical error of the U–Pb age of the Analalava gabbro pluton (91.6 ± 0.3 Myr) in northeastern Madagascar. Palaeomagnetic data from India and Madagascar allow us to postulate a new India–Madagascar fit (Euler latitude = 14.24°, longitude = 38.8° and rotation angle = –69.2°). This fit is applicable to the Late Cretaceous, directly prior to and during the early phase of Madagascar–India separation. In our Late Cretaceous reconstruction, south-west India runs roughly subparallel with the first known break-up related magnetic anomaly (A34); it maintains a close connection between Mada-gascar and India, but places India slightly rotated compared to the eastern margin of Madagascar and more northerly compared with some reconstructions. St. Mary magmatism is linked to the initial break-up between India and Madagascar, and magmatism probably resulted from rift-related extensional processes initially induced by the Marion hotspot underlying southern Madagascar during the Late Cretaceous.  相似文献   
10.
The atmospheric boundary layer characteristics observed during the BOBMEX-Pilot experiment are reported. Surface meteorological data were acquired continuously through an automatic weather monitoring system and manually every three hours. High resolution radiosondes were launched to obtain the vertical thermal structure of the atmosphere. The study area was convectively active, the SSTs were high, surface air was warm and moist, and the surface air moist static energy was among the highest observed over the tropical oceans. The mean sea air temperature difference was about 1.25‡C and the sea skin temperature was cooler than bucket SST by 0.5‡C. The atmospheric mixed layer was shallow, fluctuated in response to synoptic conditions from 100 m to 900 m with a mean around 500 m.  相似文献   
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