排序方式： 共有13条查询结果，搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
Ground-based observations of Venus were made with a 5-cm drive Michelson interferometer during December 1970 and December 1973. The thermal emission spectrum of the central portion of the apparent disk was recorded from 450–1250 cm?1 with an apodized spectral resolution of 0.25 cm?1. All statistically significant sharp line absorption features in the spectrum have been identified with gaseous CO2. Comparison between the observed spectrum and a synthetic spectrum computed from a model atmosphere, assuming gaseous CO2 and a sulfuric acid haze as opacity sources, indicates good agreement. A broad diffuse absorption feature associated with the sulfuric acid haze is evident in the 870- to 930 cm?1 region. With the exception of the rotational lines of the 927-cm?1 CO2 band, the above feature appears as a continuum down to 0.25 cm?1 resolution. In the 750- to 1250-cm?1 range, the spectrum exhibits moderate thermal contrast with maximum brightness temperatures of 234–238°K occurring near 825 cm?1. These temperatures are in general agreement with previous measurements. 相似文献
2.
Anthropogenic aerosols in the lower troposphere increase the absorption and scattering of solar radiation by air and clouds,
causing a warmer atmosphere and a cooler surface. It is suspected that these effects contribute to slow down the hydrological
cycle. We conducted a series of numerical experiments using a limited area atmospheric model to understand the impacts of
aerosol radiative forcing on the rainfall process. Experiments with different radiative conditions under an idealized setting
revealed that increasing atmospheric forcing and decreasing surface forcing of radiation causes reductions in rainfall. There
was no relationship of top of the atmosphere forcing to the rainfall yield. The model was then used to simulate a domain covering
southern part of Sri Lanka, over for the period from November 2002 to July 2003. For a given radiative forcing, instances
with lower rainfall yields showed larger fractional reductions in rainfall. The trends in seasonal rainfall observed over
the site in past 30 years in a different study confirms this finding. We conclude that the negative impact of increase of
anthropogenic aerosols on rainfall would be more severe on regions and seasons with lower rainfall yields. The consequences
of this problem on the industries that critically depend on well-distributed rainfall like non-irrigated agriculture and on
the general livelihood of societies in low-rain areas can be serious. 相似文献
3.
Herath Imali Kaushalya Ye Xuchun Wang Jianli Bouraima Abdel-Kabirou 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2018,131(3-4):1417-1428
Theoretical and Applied Climatology - Reference evapotranspiration (ETr) is one of the important parameters in the hydrological cycle. The spatio-temporal variation of ETr and other meteorological... 相似文献
4.
5.
Natural Hazards - The availability of several multi-model and ensemble sub-seasonal forecasts online has generated a growing interest in extreme rainfall prediction and early warning. Developing... 相似文献
6.
7.
An automated version of the weather type classification scheme was performed over Japan to characterize daily circulation conditions. A daily gridded field of mean sea-level pressure (MSLP) from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Re-Analysis dataset (ERA-interim) and the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) daily forecast dataset were used. The weather type is advantageous as it provides an opportunity to improve global rainfall prediction by refining statistical bias correction. We distinguished 11 weather types: anticyclone, cyclone, hybrid and eight purely wind directions. The results indicate that the main weather types contributing to the total volume of rainfall are cyclone, hybrid, purely westerly and northwest winds. A gamma-based bias correction decreases the global rainfall forecast root mean square by 10%, while specific weather type gamma bias correction accounts for 5–10% root mean square error reduction, with a total decrease of errors up to a maximum of 20%. Both global and weather type bias corrections improve the extreme dependency scores (EDS), but for different extreme rainfall thresholds. The study advocates the use of weather type bias-correction methods for extreme event rainfall intensity corrections higher than 100 mm/d.
EDITORA. CastellarinASSOCIATE EDITORA. Jain 相似文献
8.
Sujeewa Malwila Herath Priyantha Ranjan Sarukkalige Van Thanh Van Nguyen 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(11):2061-2070
ABSTRACTDownscaling of climate projections is the most adapted method to assess the impacts of climate change at regional and local scales. This study utilized both spatial and temporal downscaling approaches to develop intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) relations for sub-daily rainfall extremes in the Perth airport area. A multiple regression-based statistical downscaling model tool was used for spatial downscaling of daily rainfall using general circulation models (GCMs) (Hadley Centre’s GCM and Canadian Global Climate Model) climate variables. A simple scaling regime was identified for 30 minutes to 24 hours duration of observed annual maximum (AM) rainfall. Then, statistical properties of sub-daily AM rainfall were estimated by scaling an invariant model based on the generalized extreme value distribution. RMSE, Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient and percentage bias values were estimated to check the accuracy of downscaled sub-daily rainfall. This proved the capability of the proposed approach in developing a linkage between large-scale GCM daily variables and extreme sub-daily rainfall events at a given location. Finally IDF curves were developed for future periods, which show similar extreme rainfall decreasing trends for the 2020s, 2050s and 2080s for both GCMs.
Editor M.C. Acreman; Associate editor S. Kanae 相似文献
9.
This study evaluates the alternative conceptual models for groundwater modelling. A true model was created with a synthetic alluvial fan-plain hydrogeological framework. Various alternative conceptual models were evaluated for groundwater flow simulations. The first alternative model is a single aquifer layer model; the second alternative model is a 3-layer aquifer model; and the third model is a 5-layer model consisting of 3 aquifers separated by 2 aquitards. All models could fit very well to the observations with optimized values of hydraulic conductivities. However, the single aquifer layer model can only compute water balance components with good accuracy. The 3-layer aquifer model can be used for water balance computation and groundwater head simulation with small errors. The 5-layer model is capable of simulating water budget, groundwater head distribution and travel times with high accuracy. Multi-model analysis found only the 3rd alternative model superior. 相似文献
10.
P. B. Hunukumbura S.B. Weerakoon Srikantha Herath 《山地科学学报》2007,4(4):309-320
A model to derive direct runoff hydrograph for an ungauged basin using the physical properties of the basin is presented. The basin is divided into grid cells and canal elements. Overland flow is generated from each grid cell of the basin by application of continuous effective rainfall of 1 mm/hr to the basin. The flow generated is routed through downstream grid cells and the canal elements using the kinematic wave approach. The travel time for direct runoff from each grid cell to the basin outlet is calculated and the S-curve is derived for the basin. The S-curve is used to derive the unit hydrograph of a given duration for the basin. The model, referred as Cell-basin model was applied to the Upper Kotmale Basin in Sri Lanka and the model predictions of direct runoff hydrographs for rainfall events agreed with the observations to a reasonable accuracy. Comparison of the unit hydrographs obtained from the model and from the conventional Snyder’s synthetic unit hydrograph using regionalized parameters assuming the basin as an ungauged basin, with the unit hydrograph derived from the observations showed that the model predicted unit hydrograph was more suitable than that obtained by Snyder’s method for Sri Lankan up country basins. Thus, the present model is a useful tool to obtain direct runoff hydrograph for ungauged basins. 相似文献