基于PSR-WSVM模型的边坡位移预测     

李建新  刘小生  肖钢  周文  刘仁志 《大地测量与地球动力学》2020,40(6):577-580

为建立高精度的边坡位移预测模型，采用相空间重构（PSR）将边坡位移时间序列数据转换为多维数据，同时构造小波核函数改进的支持向量机模型，建立PSR-WSVM模型并应用于边坡位移预测。将PSR-WSVM模型预测结果与传统支持向量机（SVM）模型、小波支持向量机（WSVM）模型和基于相空间重构的支持向量机（PSR-SVM）模型预测结果进行对比，通过平均绝对误差（MAE）、平均绝对误差百分比（MAPE）和均方根误差（RMSE）3个精度评价指标验证PSR-WSVM模型的可行性。工程实例结果表明，PSR-WSVM模型预测结果的3个精度评价指标都优于另外3种模型，边坡位移预测的精度明显提升。  相似文献   

建鲤基因组DNA的RAPD分析     

董在杰  朱健  袁新华  王建新  姜焱 《广东海洋大学学报》2002,22(1):3-6

用 1 5个随机引物对建鲤基因组DNA进行RAPD分析 ,结果显示 ,建鲤群体内的遗传相似系数为 0 91 81± 0 0 73 8,多态位点比例为 0 41 67,平均杂合度为 0 1 884。表明建鲤种质较纯 ,群体内的遗传变异程度较小。建鲤优良性状产生的分子学基础是等位基因的杂合程度较高  相似文献   

海岩小说的几种叙述模式及弊端     

姚国军  李霞 《广东海洋大学学报》2006,26(5):87-90

海岩的长篇小说《河流如血》再创出版高记录，但作家仍局限于特有的小说叙述模式，这部作品设能做到相应的创新。概言之，模式第一面是“刑侦＋恋爱”；模式第二面是“财子＋佳人”；模式第三面是“道德＋法制”。文学创作需要不断创新，创新的过程也是对创作模式的不断突破过程。作家应该警惕的是，不要让模式成为创作的桎梏。  相似文献   

伪随机码调制的CW半导体激光雷达试制报告     

肖弟权  何建新  邱万智 《成都信息工程学院学报》1993,(4)

本文报告一种用半导体激光器作光源,用子脉冲宽度100ns,长度为511的周期伪随机码对半导体激光器的输出作幅度调制;APD作光电检测器,高速数字信号处理器TMS320C25作信号处理的激光雷达组成方案和试作样机的实验结果。  相似文献   

Distinct climate change synchronous with Heinrich event one, recorded by stable oxygen and carbon isotopic compositions in stalagmites from China   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Houyun Zhou  Jianxin Zhao  Michael K. Gagan  Jun Yan 《Quaternary Research》2008,69(2):306-315

Uranium-series dating of oxygen and carbon isotope records for stalagmite SJ3 collected in Songjia Cave, central China, shows significant variation in past climate and environment during the period 20-10 ka. Stalagmite SJ3 is located more than 1000 km inland of the coastal Hulu Cave in East China and more than 700 km north of the Dongge Cave in Southwest China and, despite minor differences, displays a clear first-order similarity with the Hulu and Dongge records. The coldest climatic phase since the Last Glacial Maximum, which is associated with the Heinrich Event 1 in the North Atlantic region, was clearly recorded in SJ3 between 17.6 and 14.5 ka, in good agreement in timing, duration and extent with the records from Hulu and Dongge caves and the Greenland ice core. The results indicate that there have been synchronous and significant climatic changes across monsoonal China and strong teleconnections between the North Atlantic and East Asia regions during the period 20-10 ka. This is much different from the Holocene Optimum which shows a time shift of more than several thousands years from southeast coastal to inland China. It is likely that temperature change at northern high latitudes during glacial periods exerts stronger influence on the Asian summer monsoon relative to insolation and appears to be capable of perturbing large-scale atmospheric/oceanic circulation patterns in the Northern Hemisphere and thus monsoonal rainfall and paleovegetation in East Asia. Climatic signals in the North Atlantic region propagate rapidly to East Asia during glacial periods by influencing the winter land-sea temperature contrast in the East Asian monsoon region.  相似文献   

Decoupling of stalagmite-derived Asian summer monsoon records from North Atlantic temperature change during marine oxygen isotope stage 5d   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Houyun Zhou  Jianxin Zhao  Chuan-Chou Shen  Yuexing Feng  Huazheng Guan  Chen-Feng You 《Quaternary Research》2008,70(2):315-321

The Asian monsoon is an important component of the global climate system. Seasonal variations in wind, rainfall, and temperature associated with the Asian monsoon systems affect a vast expanse of tropical and subtropical Asia. Speleothem-derived summer monsoon variation in East Asia was previously found to be closely associated with millennial-scale change in temperature in the North Atlantic region between 75 and 10 ka. New evidence recovered from East Asia, however, suggests that the teleconnection between summer monsoon in East Asia and temperature change in the North Atlantic region may have significantly reduced during 120 to ~ 110 ka, a period directly after the full last interglaciation and corresponding roughly to marine oxygen isotope stage 5d. This reduction may be due to the low ice volume in the North Hemisphere at that time, which makes the millennial-scale change in temperature in the North Atlantic region less effective in influencing the Asian summer monsoon. This is important for investigating the mechanisms controlling the Asian summer monsoon and the paleoclimatic teleconnection between East Asia and the North Atlantic region, and for predicting monsoon-associated precipitation in East Asia under a global-warming trend.  相似文献   

豫西前河构造蚀变岩型金矿成矿过程中的流体-岩石反应     

曹烨  李胜荣  申俊峰  要梅娟  李庆康  毛付龙 《矿床地质》2008,27(6):714-726

前河金矿区位于华北地台南缘,赋存在中元古界熊耳群安山岩和英安岩中,矿体受断裂破碎带控制。含矿热液在迁移过程中与围岩发生了广泛的流体-岩石反应而引起热液蚀变。本区石英中有4种类型的流体包裹体,均一温度范围为145～331℃,其中含CO2包裹体的完全均一温度主要分布在中-高温区。成矿流体的密度和压力变化范围分别是0.68～0.94g/cm3和(367.01～896.55)×105Pa。金大量沉淀成矿时的流体特征为:温度213～260℃、密度0.80～0.89g/cm3和压力(502.86～710.57)×105Pa。流体相为SO42->Na >Cl->K 型,CO2/H2O比值及N2、H2S、Ar、C2H6等挥发分的含量明显增高,f(CO2)、f(H2S)、f(CH4)和Eh值增大;f(O2)、f(H2O)和pH值减小。在青磐岩化安山岩的基础上发生的流体-岩石反应是造成本矿床金沉淀成矿的最主要原因。  相似文献   

贵州青岩剖面青岩阶上部牙形石的发现及其意义     

武桂春  姚建新  纪占胜  王立亭 《地质学报》2008,82(2):145-154

在贵州青岩剖面的青岩组之上,原被认为是拉丁期的垄头组下部的层段中发现了牙形石动物群,除少量的分枝分子外,都归属于Neogondolella属,可鉴定为4个种,即Neogondolella bifurcata,N.constricta,N.mombergensis和N.navicula.建立了2个牙形石带,自下而上是Neogondolella bifurcata带和N.cinstricta带.牙形石面貌证明这段地层在时代上非常接近但尚未进入拉丁阶,属于安尼期中晚期,进一步的牙形石工作将很有可能在目前发现的牙形石层段的上部寻找到安尼阶和拉丁阶之间的界限,从而为青岩阶顶界的限定提供可靠的牙形石证据.此外,牙形石的发现还初步实现了青岩阶2大主导门类化石--牙形石和菊石在同一剖面的直接对比关系.  相似文献   

中国滑坡预测预报研究综述   总被引：14，自引：1，他引：13  

王念秦  王永锋  罗东海  姚勇 《地质论评》2008,54(3):355-361

滑坡预测预报是有效预防滑坡灾害的重要途径之一,这方面的研究不仅受到广泛重视,且硕果累累。将中国滑坡预测预报的研究历史划分为四个阶段：① 经验判断——被动防灾避灾阶段;② 定性——半定量分析预测预报阶段;③ 理论方法探索——检验预测预报阶段;④ 理论方法深化——综合应用预测预报阶段。从监测（观测）方法、预测预报方法,以及研究特点等方面进行简要回顾,总结已有监测方法（手段）、预测预报理论、方法的研究现状,认为尚存在：① 监测方法（手段）,包括仪器、设备的精度不足;② 预测预报方法综合性、实用性不强;③ 预测预报专门理论尚待完善等问题。在分析的基础上,提出自己的观点,并进行了发展趋势展望。  相似文献   

藏北高原夏季边界层加热(冷却)特征初探     

谷良雷  胡泽勇  吕世华  姚济敏 《冰川冻土》2008,30(3):421-425

利用GAME-Tibet1998年加强观测期安多探空观测资料与CAMP-Tibet2004年加强观测期那曲探空资料, 分析了藏北高原夏季大气边界层加热(冷却)特征. 结果表明: 夏季, 藏北高原大气边界层的大气加热(冷却)率的逐日变化特征明显, 晴天时较大, 多云和降雨时较小. 白天大气加热率和夜晚大气冷却率的平均值都基本相当, 印证了大气能量守恒.  相似文献