VARIABILITY OF INTER-ANNUAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INDIAN OCEAN DIPOLE AND HUAXI REGION’S AUTUMN PRECIPITATION     

刘佳  赵鹏国  马振峰  葛菲  肖辉  王春学  徐沅鑫 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2019,25(4):498-518

The moving-window correlation analysis was applied to investigate the relationship between autumn Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) events and the synchronous autumn precipitation in Huaxi region, based on the daily precipitation, sea surface temperature (SST) and atmospheric circulation data from 1960 to 2012. The correlation curves of IOD and the early modulation of Huaxi region’s autumn precipitation indicated a mutational site appeared in the 1970s. During 1960 to 1979, when the IOD was in positive phase in autumn, the circulations changed from a “W” shape to an ”M” shape at 500 hPa in Asia middle-high latitude region. Cold flux got into the Sichuan province with Northwest flow, the positive anomaly of the water vapor flux transported from Western Pacific to Huaxi region strengthened, caused precipitation increase in east Huaxi region. During 1980 to 1999, when the IOD in autumn was positive phase, the atmospheric circulation presented a “W” shape at 500 hPa, the positive anomaly of the water vapor flux transported from Bay of Bengal to Huaxi region strengthened, caused precipitation ascend in west Huaxi region. In summary, the Indian Ocean changed from cold phase to warm phase since the 1970s, caused the instability of the inter-annual relationship between the IOD and the autumn rainfall in Huaxi region.  相似文献   

CAUSAL ANALYSIS AND NUMERICAL MODELING OF THE INSHORE INTENSIFICATION OF SUPER TYPHOON “HATO”     

于鑫  郑腾飞  万齐林  肖辉  刘显通  王婷 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2019,25(3):293-303

This paper comprehensively analyzes the characteristics and cause of the inshore intensification of super typhoon "Hato", the 13 th super typhoon in 2017. The aspects of typhoon structure, evolution of large-scale circulation and physical quantity field are analyzed using observation data from the Guangdong Automatic Station, Shenzhen Doppler Radar data, NCEP 1°×1° reanalysis data, NCEP 0.25°×0.25° sea surface temperature(SST) data, etc.Additionally, in order to investigate the influence of SST change on the intensity of "Hato", the WRF model and ECMWF 0.125°×0.125° reanalysis data are combined to conduct 3 sensitivity tests on"Hato". The results show that the favorable conditions for inshore intensification of "Hato"included the strengthening and westward extension of the subtropical high, continuous increase of low level moisture transport, an anomalous warm SST area north of 20°N in the South China Sea, an extreme divergence value in the northern South China Sea exceeding 6 ×10-5 s-1, and vertical environmental wind shear between 1.1 m/s-4.8 m/s. The intensity of"Hato"was very sensitive to changes in SST. When the SST rose or dropped by 2℃, the minimum central pressure of the typhoon changed by about 13 hPa or 11 hPa,respectively. SST indirectly influenced the intensity of the typhoon through affecting latent heat transport and sensible heat transport.  相似文献   

NUMERICAL PREDICTION OF AN EXTREME RAINSTORM OVER THE PEARL RIVER DELTA REGION ON 7 MAY 2017 BASED ON WRF-ENKF     

肖辉  万齐林  刘显通  郑腾飞  冯璐  夏丰  陈景华 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2019,25(3):312-323

An ensemble Kalman filter based on the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF-EnKF) is used to explore the effectiveness of the assimilation of surface observation data in an extreme local rainstorm over the Pearl River Delta region on 7 May 2017. Before the occurrence of rainstorm, the signals of weather forecasts in this case are too weak to be predicted by numerical weather model, but the surface temperature over the urban area are high. The results of this study show that the wind field, temperature, and water vapor are obviously adjusted by assimilating surface data of 10-m wind, 2-m temperature, and 2-m water vapor mixing ratio at 2300 BST 6 May, especially below the height of 2 km. The southerly wind over the Pearl River Delta region is enhanced, and the convergence of wind over the northern Guangzhou city is also enhanced. Additionally, temperature, water vapor mixing ratio and pseudoequivalent potential temperature are obviously increased over the urban region, providing favorable conditions for the occurrence of heavy precipitation. After assimilation, the predictions of 12-h rainfall amount, temperature, and relative humidity are significantly improved, and the rainfall intensity and distribution in this case can be successfully reproduced. Moreover, sensitivity tests suggest that the assimilation of 2-m temperature is the key to predict this extreme rainfall and just assimilating data of surface wind or water vapor is not workable, implying that urban heat island effect may be an important factor in this extreme rainstorm.  相似文献   

浅谈矿业活动对环境的影响     

肖辉江  张森 《黑龙江国土资源》2011,(4):76-76

随着社会经济的发展,环境问题越来越突出。据统计,人类对环境的破坏每15年左右翻一番。而自然也对人类进行了报复,水土流失、“沙尘暴”现象、水体污染、草场退化、地面变形、采矿废石占地效应等愈来愈严重,  相似文献   

气溶胶对冰雹云物理特性影响的数值模拟研究   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4       下载免费PDF全文

杨慧玲  肖辉  洪延超 《高原气象》2011,30(2):445-460

利用RAMS(Regional Atmospheric Modeling System)数值模式,研究了气溶胶数浓度的改变对半干旱地区春季出现的一次较大范围的降雹天气云微物理特性和降水过程的影响,模拟结果表明:(1)气溶胶对云中液态含水量垂直分布影响明显.气溶胶浓度改变使云中水成物的空间分布发生调整.(2)清洁大气环境...  相似文献   

Assimilation of Polarimetric Radar Data Using an Ensemble Kalman Filter for the Analysis and Forecast of Tropical Storm Ewiniar     

黎慧琦  刘显通  肖辉  万齐林 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2021,27(2):94-108

This study explores the potential for directly assimilating polarimetric radar data (including reflectivity Z and differential reflectivity ZDR) using an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) based on the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to improve analysis and forecast of Tropical Storm Ewiniar (2018). Ewiniar weakened but brought about heavy rainfall over Guangdong, China after its final landfall. Two experiments are performed, one assimilating only Z and the other assimilating both Z and ZDR. Assimilation of ZDR together with Z effectively modifies hydrometeor fields, and improves the intensity, shape and position of rainbands. Forecast of 24-hour extraordinary rainfall ≥250 mm is significantly improved. Improvement can also be seen in the wind fields because of cross-variable covariance. The current study shows the possibility of applying polarimetric radar data to improve forecasting of tropical cyclones, which deserves more researches in the future.  相似文献   

规则波在缓坡上变形与破碎数值分析     

李玉成  肖辉 《海洋工程》2007,25(1):27-34

通过在二维数值水槽内用边界元法直接求解Laplace方程,对规则波在缓坡上的变形及破碎进行了数值计算。分析了不同底坡及采用不同底摩阻系数时规则波的破碎特征,并对规则波破碎的极限坡度进行了研究。重点分析了规则波破碎时海底坡度、底摩阻系数及波形不对称性对破碎指标的影响。  相似文献   

浅论黑龙江省的土地盐碱化     

刘云峰郝永鸿  肖辉江 《黑龙江国土资源》2007,(6):64-64

一、分布概况 黑龙江省的盐碱地主要分布在松嫩平原西部低洼闭流地带，总面积1887300hm^。其中松嫩平原分布面积1744000hm：，约占松嫩平原的14％，耕地盐碱化面积为567000hm^2。其中以安达和大庆两市盐碱化最为严重。安达市有盐碱化面积153740hm^2，耕地盐碱化面积34535hm^2，草原122806hm^2。  相似文献   

强降水云物理过程的三维数值模拟研究   总被引：35，自引：9，他引：26  

肖辉  王孝波  周非非  洪延超  黄美元 《大气科学》2004,28(3):385-404

利用改进的三维完全弹性强对流云模式,模拟了1998年7月21日晨发生在武汉附近的特大暴雨个例,结果显示,该模式模拟得到的降雨量与实测接近,计算得到的雷达回波强度最大值也与实际观测相一致,说明该模式对实际对流性强降水具有较好的模拟能力.在此基础上,通过冷云和暖云两种不同情况的比较分析,研究了云微物理过程在强降水形成过程中的作用.模拟结果表明,详细云物理过程的考虑对深入理解武汉这次强降水的形成过程是有意义的.该个例雨水的形成主要是暖雨过程,冰相微物理过程对该对流性强降水过程的发展和演变有重要的促进作用.在形成雨水的冷相过程中,霰的融化及其在0 ℃层下碰并云水形成雨水的过程是主要的.模式云在0 ℃层附近存在明显的雷达回波亮带,亮带中间含有强回波核和及地下挂回波.分析表明,这种强回波核和下挂回波的产生主要是由于冰相粒子在0 ℃层融化形成的,融化的冰相粒子与云滴碰并又加速雨水的产生.在这些融化的冰相粒子中,贡献最大的是霰粒.文中还分析了该强降水暴雨云维持长时间强降水的云物理机制.在低层大气温暖高湿和环境风切变有利条件下,倾斜上升气流和下沉气流之间的准稳态结构可能是暴雨强降水得以长时间维持的重要原因.  相似文献   

云凝结核浓度对雷暴云电过程影响的数值模拟研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

邓美玲  银燕  赵鹏国  肖辉 《大气科学》2017,41(1):106-120

本文将非感应起电机制耦合到WRF中尺度模式中,选取Morrison双参数微物理方案,采用整体放电参数化方案,改变初始云凝结核（CCN）浓度（浓度变化从500 cm-3到4000 cm-3）,共模拟15组试验,讨论了CCN浓度（n_CCN）对雷暴云起电强度的影响。通过研究发现:随n_CCN增加,霰粒子数浓度减少,混合比增加,导致霰粒子平均尺度增加;冰晶粒子数浓度增加,混合比基本不变,导致冰晶粒子平均尺度减小。此外,霰粒子平均尺度增大,下落末速度增大,冰晶粒子平均尺度减小,下落末速度减小,二者末速度差值增加,导致单次碰撞电荷分离量增加。综上所述,气溶胶浓度增加使霰粒子与冰晶粒子碰撞分离过程增强,单次碰撞电荷分离量增加,正负电荷密度平均值增加,从而增强雷暴起电强度。  相似文献