Extreme Climatic Events in the Altai-Sayan Region as an Indicator of Powerful Volcanic Eruptions     

Barinov  V. V.  Myglan  V. S.  Taynik  A. V.  Oidupaa  O. Ch.  Agatova  A. R.  Churakova  O. V. 《Izvestiya Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics》2018,54(10):1449-1459

Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics - Analytic data on anomalies of the tree-ring structure of Siberian larch on the transect, passing through the Russian part of the Altai-Sayan Mountain...  相似文献   

Data-based modelling approach for variable density flow and solute transport simulation in a coastal aquifer   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Basant Yadav  Shashi Mathur  Sudheer Ch  Brijesh Kumar Yadav 《水文科学杂志》2018,63(2):210-226

Data-based models, namely artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine (SVM), genetic programming (GP) and extreme learning machine (ELM), were developed to approximate three-dimensional, density-dependent flow and transport processes in a coastal aquifer. A simulation model, SEAWAT, was used to generate data required for the training and testing of the data-based models. Statistical analysis of the simulation results obtained by the four models show that the data-based models could simulate the complex salt water intrusion process successfully. The selected models were also compared based on their computational ability, and the results show that the ELM is the fastest technique, taking just 0.5 s to simulate the dataset; however, the SVM is the most accurate, with a Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) ≥ 0.95 and correlation coefficient R ≥ 0.92 for all the wells. The root mean square error (RMSE) for the SVM is also significantly less, ranging from 12.28 to 77.61 mg/L.  相似文献   

RETRACTED ARTICLE: Horizontal global solar radiation estimation using hybrid SVM-firefly and SVM-wavelet algorithms: a case study     

Mohammadi  Kasra  Shamshirband  Shahaboddin  Danesh  Amir Seyed  Zamani  Mazdak  Sudheer  Ch. 《Natural Hazards》2020,102(3):1613-1614

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Development of solar flares and features of the fine structure of solar radio emission     

G. P. Chernov  V. V. Fomichev  Y. Yan  B. Tan  Ch. Tan  Q. Fu 《Geomagnetism and Aeronomy》2017,57(6):738-751

The reason for the occurrence of different elements of the fine structure of solar radio bursts in the decimeter and centimeter wavelength ranges has been determined based on all available data from terrestrial and satellite observations. In some phenomena, fast pulsations, a zebra structre, fiber bursts, and spikes have been observed almost simultaneously. Two phenomena have been selected to show that the pulsations of radio emission are caused by particles accelerated in the magnetic reconnection region and that the zebra structure is excited in a source, such as a magnetic trap for fast particles. The complex combination of unusual fiber bursts, zebra structure, and spikes in the phenomenon on December 1, 2004, is associated with a single source, a magnetic island formed after a coronal mass ejection.  相似文献   

Crystalline complexes of the Tarbagatai block of the Early Caledonian superterrane of Central Asia     

I. K. Kozakov  A. M. Kozlovsky  V. V. Yarmolyuk  V. P. Kovach  E. V. Bibikova  T. I. Kirnozova  Yu. V. Plotkina  N. Yu. Zagornaya  M. M. Fugzan  Ch. Erdenejargal  V. I. Lebedev  G. Eenjin 《Petrology》2011,19(4):426-444

The oldest crystalline complexes of the Early Caledonian superterrane of Central Asia were formed in the Early Precambrian. They are exposed in the basement of microcontinents, which represent old cratonic fragments. Among the latters are the crystalline complexes of the Tarbagatai block previously ascribed to the Dzabkhan microcontinent. It was shown that the crystalline complexes of the Tarbagatai block have a heterogeneous structure, consisting of the Early Precambrian and later Riphean lithotectonic complexes. Structurally, the Early Precambrian complexes are made up of tectonic sheets of gneisses, migmatites, and gneiss granites of the Ider Complex that are cut by gabbroanorthosite massif. The Riphean Jargalant Complex comprises alternating hornblende crystalline schists and biotite (sometimes sillimanite-bearing) gneisses with marble horizons. The upper age boundary of the Riphean Complex is determined by the subautochthonous granitoids with age about 810 Ma. The presence of the Riphean high-grade rocks indicates that structures with newly formed crust were formed in the paleooceanic framing of the Early Precambrian blocks of the Rodinia supercontinent by the Mid-Late Riphean. Divergence that began at that time within old Rodinian cratons and caused rifting and subsequent break-up of the supercontinent was presumably changed by convergence in the paleooceanic area.  相似文献   

Climate change and infectious diseases: Can we meet the needs for better prediction?     

Xavier Rodó  Mercedes Pascual  Francisco J. Doblas-Reyes  Alexander Gershunov  Dáithí A. Stone  Filippo Giorgi  Peter J. Hudson  James Kinter  Miquel-Àngel Rodríguez-Arias  Nils Ch. Stenseth  David Alonso  Javier García-Serrano  Andrew P. Dobson 《Climatic change》2013,118(3-4):625-640

The next generation of climate-driven, disease prediction models will most likely require a mechanistically based, dynamical framework that parameterizes key processes at a variety of locations. Over the next two decades, consensus climate predictions make it possible to produce forecasts for a number of important infectious diseases that are largely independent of the uncertainty of longer-term emissions scenarios. In particular, the role of climate in the modulation of seasonal disease transmission needs to be unravelled from the complex dynamics resulting from the interaction of transmission with herd immunity and intervention measures that depend upon previous burdens of infection. Progress is also needed to solve the mismatch between climate projections and disease projections at the scale of public health interventions. In the time horizon of seasons to years, early warning systems should benefit from current developments on multi-model ensemble climate prediction systems, particularly in areas where high skill levels of climate models coincide with regions where large epidemics take place. A better understanding of the role of climate extremes on infectious diseases is urgently needed.  相似文献   

Global distribution of electron temperature and density fluctuations measured by AEROS-B     

Ch. Münther  K. Spenner  E. Neske 《地球物理与天体物理流体动力学》2013,107(1):141-150

Abstract

Between July 1974 and September 1975 aboard AEROS-B the electron temperature and the electron density have been measured by the Retarding Potential Analyses and the Impedance Probe respectively in the altitude range 200–870 km. Temperature and density fluctuations along satellite paths have been analysed by digital filtering. The large amount of data allows the mean fluctuations at different heights and latitude intervals to be evaluated. The resulting two-dimensional arrays are presented for some time periods. The global distributions show different patterns in the polar and equatorial regions, and seasonal variations. Mean temperature fluctuations and fluctuations of electron density in general occur simultaneously though with different amplitudes. At high latitudes a seasonal dependence in the strength of the fluctuations of both quantities was observed.  相似文献   

Role of sea surface temperature and rainfall in determining the stock and fishery of the common octopus (Octopus vulgaris,Mollusca, Cephalopoda) in Tunisia     

Jabeur Chédia  Khoufi Widien  Bakhrouf Amina 《Marine Ecology》2010,31(3):431-438

Octopus (Octopus vulgaris, Mollusca, Cephalopoda) is an important and valuable fishery resource on the eastern and southern coasts of Tunisia, but its landings are highly variable. This paper explores the effect of environment on octopus catch per unit effort (CPUE) during a 12‐year period, through correlation analyses and the incorporation into surplus production models of sea surface temperature (SST) and rainfall data collected during cold (January–May) and hot (August–October) seasons. CLIMPROD software was used to select the appropriate model and fit it to the fishery and environment data. In both seasons, SST significantly contributed to CPUE variability; fishery production was influenced positively by cold season SST but negatively by hot season SST. Due to a poor fit with cold season data, the impact of rainfall was analysed only for the hot season, during which it has a positive effect on production. Results are discussed in view of the life‐cycle of octopus and the dynamics of the Tunisian fishery. This first study of octopus variability in Tunisia highlights the necessity to incorporate environmental influence into stock assessment and management advice.  相似文献   

Genesis of platinum-group minerals in the Las Aguilas mafic-ultramafic rocks, San Luis Province, Argentina: textural, chemical and mineralogical evidence     

A. Mogessie  Ch. A. Hauzenberger  G. Hoinkes  A. Felfernig  E. F. Stumpfl  E. A. Bjerg  J. Kostadinoff 《Mineralogy and Petrology》2000,68(1-3):85-114

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Detailed seismicity analysis revealing the dynamics of the southern Dead Sea area     

B. Braeuer  G. Asch  R. Hofstetter  Ch. Haberland  D. Jaser  R. El-Kelani  M. Weber 《Journal of Seismology》2014,18(4):731-748

Within the framework of the international DESIRE (DEad Sea Integrated REsearch) project, a dense temporary local seismological network was operated in the southern Dead Sea area. During 18 recording months, 648 events were detected. Based on an already published tomography study clustering, focal mechanisms, statistics and the distribution of the microseismicity in relation to the velocity models from the tomography are analysed. The determined b value of 0.74 leads to a relatively high risk of large earthquakes compared to the moderate microseismic activity. The distribution of the seismicity indicates an asymmetric basin with a vertical strike-slip fault forming the eastern boundary of the basin, and an inclined western boundary, made up of strike-slip and normal faults. Furthermore, significant differences between the area north and south of the Bokek fault were observed. South of the Bokek fault, the western boundary is inactive while the entire seismicity occurs on the eastern boundary and below the basin-fill sediments. The largest events occurred here, and their focal mechanisms represent the northwards transform motion of the Arabian plate along the Dead Sea Transform. The vertical extension of the spatial and temporal cluster from February 2007 is interpreted as being related to the locking of the region around the Bokek fault. North of the Bokek fault similar seismic activity occurs on both boundaries most notably within the basin-fill sediments, displaying mainly small events with strike-slip mechanism and normal faulting in EW direction. Therefore, we suggest that the Bokek fault forms the border between the single transform fault and the pull-apart basin with two active border faults.  相似文献