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排序方式: 共有206条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
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2.
Dlamini Simangele Tesfamichael Solomon G. Shiferaw Yeganew A. Mokhele Tholang 《GeoJournal》2022,87(1):35-51
GeoJournal - Determinants of place attachment have been extensively explored in the world now characterised by increased globalisation and mobility. Apart from some studies analysing attachment to... 相似文献
3.
Mandal Prantik Srinagesh D. Vijayaraghavan R. Suresh G. Naresh B. Raju P. Solomon Devi Aarti Swathi K. Singh Dhiraj K. Srinivas D. Saha Satish Shekar M. Sarma A. N. S. Murthy YVVBSN 《Natural Hazards》2022,111(3):2241-2260
Natural Hazards - Since the initial collision at 55 Ma, rocks of the Indian crust below the Himalayas have undergone modification chemically and compositionally due to the ongoing... 相似文献
4.
The Las Vegas Valley Water District in Nevada, USA, has operated an artificial recharge (AR) program since 1989. In summer 2001, observations of gas exsolving from tap water prompted a study that revealed total dissolved gas (TDG) pressures approaching 2?atm with a gas composition that it is predominantly air. Measurements of TDG pressure at well heads and in the distribution system indicated two potential mechanisms for elevated TDG pressures: (1) air entrainment during AR operations, and (2) temperature changes between the winter recharge season and the summer withdrawal season. Air entrainment during pumping was investigated by intentionally allowing the forebay (upstream reservoir) of a large pumping station to drawdown to the point of vortex formation. This resulted in up to a 0.7?atm increase in TDG pressure. In general, the solubility of gases in water decreases as the temperature increases. In the Las Vegas Valley, water that acquired a modest amount of dissolved gas during winter artificial recharge operations experienced an increase in dissolved gas pressure (0.04?atm/°C) as the water warmed in the subsurface. A combination of air entrainment during AR operations and its amplification by temperature increase after recharge can account for most of the observed amounts of excess gas at this site. 相似文献
5.
Christophe Béné Louisa Evans David Mills Solomon Ovie Aminu Raji Ahmadu Tafida Amaga Kodio Famory Sinaba Pierre Morand Jacques Lemoalle Neil Andrew 《Global Environmental Change》2011,21(4):1173-1184
Resilience thinking is an important addition to the range of frameworks and approaches that can be used to understand and manage complex social–ecological systems like small-scale fisheries. However, it is yet to lead to better environmental or development outcomes for fisheries stakeholders in terms of food security, improved livelihoods and ecological sustainability. This paper takes an empirical approach by focusing on the fundamentals of resilience thinking to evaluate its usefulness in developing relevant management interventions in small-scale fisheries in the Niger River Basin in West Africa. The paper presents the outputs of a participatory assessment exercise where both fishery communities and local experts were involved at two different scales. The resilience frame used was designed to facilitate the identification of socially defined thresholds that help delineate the desirability of the current system configuration and provides a diagnosis framework that tailors management solutions to problems in local context. The analysis highlights some key contributions from resilience thinking to the challenge of diagnosis in small-scale fisheries management in developing countries, as well as important contributions that emerge from taking a pragmatic and critical approach to its application. 相似文献
6.
L. Goddard A. Kumar A. Solomon D. Smith G. Boer P. Gonzalez V. Kharin W. Merryfield C. Deser S. J. Mason B. P. Kirtman R. Msadek R. Sutton E. Hawkins T. Fricker G. Hegerl C. A. T. Ferro D. B. Stephenson G. A. Meehl T. Stockdale R. Burgman A. M. Greene Y. Kushnir M. Newman J. Carton I. Fukumori T. Delworth 《Climate Dynamics》2013,40(1-2):245-272
Decadal predictions have a high profile in the climate science community and beyond, yet very little is known about their skill. Nor is there any agreed protocol for estimating their skill. This paper proposes a sound and coordinated framework for verification of decadal hindcast experiments. The framework is illustrated for decadal hindcasts tailored to meet the requirements and specifications of CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5). The chosen metrics address key questions about the information content in initialized decadal hindcasts. These questions are: (1) Do the initial conditions in the hindcasts lead to more accurate predictions of the climate, compared to un-initialized climate change projections? and (2) Is the prediction model’s ensemble spread an appropriate representation of forecast uncertainty on average? The first question is addressed through deterministic metrics that compare the initialized and uninitialized hindcasts. The second question is addressed through a probabilistic metric applied to the initialized hindcasts and comparing different ways to ascribe forecast uncertainty. Verification is advocated at smoothed regional scales that can illuminate broad areas of predictability, as well as at the grid scale, since many users of the decadal prediction experiments who feed the climate data into applications or decision models will use the data at grid scale, or downscale it to even higher resolution. An overall statement on skill of CMIP5 decadal hindcasts is not the aim of this paper. The results presented are only illustrative of the framework, which would enable such studies. However, broad conclusions that are beginning to emerge from the CMIP5 results include (1) Most predictability at the interannual-to-decadal scale, relative to climatological averages, comes from external forcing, particularly for temperature; (2) though moderate, additional skill is added by the initial conditions over what is imparted by external forcing alone; however, the impact of initialization may result in overall worse predictions in some regions than provided by uninitialized climate change projections; (3) limited hindcast records and the dearth of climate-quality observational data impede our ability to quantify expected skill as well as model biases; and (4) as is common to seasonal-to-interannual model predictions, the spread of the ensemble members is not necessarily a good representation of forecast uncertainty. The authors recommend that this framework be adopted to serve as a starting point to compare prediction quality across prediction systems. The framework can provide a baseline against which future improvements can be quantified. The framework also provides guidance on the use of these model predictions, which differ in fundamental ways from the climate change projections that much of the community has become familiar with, including adjustment of mean and conditional biases, and consideration of how to best approach forecast uncertainty. 相似文献
7.
The oceanographic conditions of the Mackenzie River plume in the Arctic Ocean were examined during a 12-day period in August 2007. Field observations in the river channel and the delta region (2–6 m depth), ship-based observations on the shelf and satellite observations of sea surface temperatures indicate that movements of plume density fronts cause changes in water temperatures of over 10 C over a few days. We used a 1D model to compare the strength of stratification versus surface wind stress, and a 3D numerical model to simulate the plume motions under forcing from the river flows, local wind and water level variations from tides and wind-driven surge. The results indicate that the coastal region is stratified with a ∼2 m thick surface plume even in water depths of 3–4 m, resulting in strong vertical variation of horizontal currents. Moderate easterly winds of 5–10 m/s are sufficient to induce offshore transport of the surface plume and onshore transport of the deeper shelf water, leading to large fluctuations in temperature and salinity in the coastal region. This study examined a period of offshore transport and mean water level set-down, and indicates the rapid response of the plume to wind over the shallow delta. 相似文献
8.
This study experimentally investigates the nonlinear response stability and transition behaviour of a submerged, moored ocean structural system which consists of a spherical buoy and attached multi-point mooring lines. The system is excited by a periodic wave field in a closed channel. System nonlinearities include complex geometric restoring (stiffness) force and coupled fluid-system interaction exciting forces. Experimental set-up, operating procedures and analysis of the measured results are presented. Characteristic motions observed include harmonic, subharmonic and ultraharmonic responses, which demonstrate a signature of the intricate pattern of the nonlinear global behaviour. Good agreements between the measured and most predicted responses are demonstrated in both time and frequency domains. These results confirm the validity of the analytical model presented and calibrate the accuracy of the existing numerical predictions. Primary and secondary resonances in the response are identified via frequency response curves. Response bifurcation cascades are observed in the experimental results and the possible existence of higher-order nonlinear responses is inferred. 相似文献
9.
Rehan Sadiq Solomon Tesfamariam 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2008,22(4):495-505
Environmental indices (EI) constitute a common communication tool that is often used to describe the overall status of environmental
systems (air, water and soil). EI development entails the use of mathematical operators to aggregate various non-commensurate
input parameters in a logical manner. The ordered weighted averaging (OWA) operator is a general mean type operator that provides
flexibility in the aggregation process such that the aggregated value is bounded between minimum and maximum values of the
input parameters. This flexibility of the OWA operator is realized through the concept of orness, which is a surrogate for
decision maker’s attitude. The type of input parameters also affects the choice of aggregation operators. If the input parameters
are linguistic or fuzzy, the aggregation through OWA operators is not possible, and the use of fuzzy arithmetic is warranted.
The concept of fuzzy number OWA (FN-OWA) operators is explored to handle situations in which one or more input parameter has
fuzzy (or linguistic) values. The proposed approach is demonstrated using data provided in an earlier study by Swamee and
Tyagi (ASCE J Environ Eng 126(5):451–455, 2000) for establishing water quality indices. Multiple hypothetical scenarios are also generated to highlight the utility and
sensitivity of the proposed approach. 相似文献
10.
Environmental decision-making under uncertainty using intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (IF-AHP) 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Rehan Sadiq Solomon Tesfamariam 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2009,23(1):75-91
Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is a utility theory based decision-making technique, which works on a premise that the decision-making
of complex problems can be handled by structuring them into simple and comprehensible hierarchical structures. However, AHP
involves human subjective evaluation, which introduces vagueness that necessitates the use of decision-making under uncertainty. The vagueness is commonly handled through fuzzy sets theory, by assigning degree of membership. But, the environmental decision-making
problem becomes more involved if there is an uncertainty in assigning the membership function (or degree of belief) to fuzzy pairwise comparisons, which is referred to as ambiguity (non-specificity). In this paper, the concept of intuitionistic fuzzy set is applied to AHP, called IF-AHP to handle both vagueness and ambiguity
related uncertainties in the environmental decision-making process. The proposed IF-AHP methodology is demonstrated with an
illustrative example to select best drilling fluid (mud) for drilling operations under multiple environmental criteria. 相似文献