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For a century or so, the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) has been providing temperature forecast for the whole of Hong Kong with
the HKO Headquarters as the reference location. In recent decades, due to spreading of population from the main urban center
to satellite towns, there is an increasing demand for regional temperature forecasts. To support such provision, the HKO has
developed a regression model to provide objective guidance to forecasters in formulating forecasts of maximum and minimum
temperatures for the next day at various locations in Hong Kong. In this paper, the regression model is presented, together
with the assessment of its performance. Based on the verification of one year of forecasts, it is found that the root mean
square errors (RMSEs) of maximum (minimum) temperature forecasts are from about 1.3 to 2.1 (1.1 to 1.4) degrees, respectively.
The regression model is shown to have generally out-performed the operational regional spectral model then operated by HKO.
Regional temperature forecast methods of other meteorological or research centers are also surveyed. Equipped with the regression
model, the HKO has launched an online regional temperature forecast service for the next day in Hong Kong since March 2008. 相似文献
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Hilda Cornejo-Garrido Pilar Fernández-Lomelín Javiera Cervini-Silva 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》2008,72(12):2754-2766
Microorganisms and higher plants produce biogenic ligands, such as siderophores, to mobilize Fe that otherwise would be unavailable. In this paper, we study the stability of arsenopyrite (FeAsS), one of the most important natural sources of arsenic on Earth, in the presence of desferrioxamine (DFO-B), a common siderophore ligand, at pH 5. Arsenopyrite specimens from mines in Panasqueira, Portugal (100-149 μm) that contained incrustations of Pb, corresponding to elemental Pb as determined by scanning electron microscopy-electron diffraction spectroscopy (SEM-EDX), were used for this study. Batch dissolution experiments of arsenopyrite (1 g L−1) in the presence of 200 μM DFO-B at initial pH (pH0) 5 were conducted for 110 h. In the presence of DFO-B, release of Fe, As, and Pb showed positive trends with time; less dependency was observed for the release of Fe, As, and Pb in the presence of only water under similar experimental conditions. Detected concentrations of soluble Fe, As, and Pb in suspensions containing only water were found to be ca. 0.09 ± 0.004, 0.15 ± 0.003, and 0.01 ± 0.01 ppm, respectively. In contrast, concentrations of soluble Fe, As, and Pb in suspensions containing DFO-B were found to be 0.4 ± 0.006, 0.27 ± 0.009, and 0.14 ± 0.005 ppm, respectively. Notably, the effectiveness of DFO-B for releasing Pb was ca. 10 times higher than that for releasing Fe. These results cannot be accounted for by thermodynamic considerations, namely, by size-to-charge ratio considerations of metal complexation by DFO-B. As determined by SEM-EDX, elemental sample enrichment analysis supports the idea that the Fe-S subunit bond energy is limiting for Fe release. Likely, the mechanism(s) of dissolution for Pb incrustations is independent and occurs concurrently to that for Fe and As. Our results show that dissolution of arsenopyrite leads to precipitation of elemental sulfur, and is consistent with a non-enzymatic mineral dissolution pathway. Finally, speciation analyses for As indicate variability in the As(III)/As(V) ratio with time, regardless of the presence of DFO-B or water. At reaction times <30 h, As(V) concentrations were found to be 50-70%, regardless of the presence of DFO-B. These results are interpreted to indicate that transformations of As are not imposed by ligand-mediated mechanisms. Experiments were also conducted to study the dissolution behavior of galena (PbS) in the presence of 200 μM at pH0 5. Results show that, unlike arsenopyrite, the dissolution behavior of galena shows coupled increases in pH with decreases in metal solubility at t > 80 h. Oxidative dissolution mechanisms conveying sulfur oxidation bring about the production of {H+}. However, dissolution data trends for arsenopyrite and galena indicate {H+} consumption. It is plausible that the formation of Pb species is dependent on {H+} and {OH−}, namely, stable surface hydroxyl complexes of the form (pH50 5.8) and for pH values 5.8 or above. 相似文献
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Daniel Cortázar Hilda A. Larrondo Patricio A.A. Laura Daniel R. Avalos 《Ocean Engineering》1996,23(2):193-199
Methods for evaluating the structural health of mechanical cables and detecting their imminent failure could prevent the loss of valuable equipment and, more importantly, the possible loss of human life.The non-destructive test methods available are: thorough visual examination and measurement of the external diameter; X-rays; (induced) wave propagation; acoustic emission; magnetostrictive sensors; infrared detection.A new method which employs a commercial optical fiber for detecting the breakage of individual wires in a rope is proposed in the present paper. 相似文献
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Hilda E Kurtz 《Area》2005,37(1):79-88
The United States environmental justice movement has grown in the last 20 years from tactical cooperation between civil rights and environmental activists on hazardous waste issues into a broad-based movement for social change. As dozens of organizations invest resources in an environmental justice agenda, it is important to examine how such organizations portray their stance toward the goals of the larger movement in order to better understand tensions within the movement between social justice and environmental protection, diversity and commonality, and localized and broader movement agendas. This paper explores what contemporary environmental justice imagery tells us about this social movement through a critical discourse analysis of environmental justice organizations' logos. The conceptual approach used here links a tradition of critical discourse analysis of textual materials with elements of a critical visual methodology. The paper examines how the social grievance of environmental injustice is constructed in relation to the social and natural world, and considers what these images tell us about the identities, relationships and modes of authority that constitute the contemporary environmental justice movement. 相似文献
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The species of Ophiuroidea that commonly occur on coral reefs can be found on different substrates and associated with other organisms including algae, sponges, and corals. This study evaluated the temporal variability of the ophiuroid fauna associated with the alga Amphiroa fragilissima on the Ponta Verde coral reef on the coast of Maceió in Alagoas, Northeastern Brazil. Replicate samples of algal substrate were collected at low tide during in the dry and rainy seasons, over a 10‐year period, from 1998–2007. Eight species of Ophiuroidea were identified, with a total of 8736 individuals associated with A. fragilissima. The most dominant and frequent species of Ophiuroidea were Amphipholis squamata and Ophiactis savignyi; all other species were rare. Cluster analysis and nMDS detected four groups, with two groups each occurring only in summer or winter periods, as well as other groups occurring in both periods. 相似文献
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de Oliveira AJ Hollnagel HC Lima Mesquita Hde S Fontes RF 《Marine pollution bulletin》2007,54(7):921-927
Physical and chemical characteristics of intertidal sediments and their relationships with bacteria and cyanobacteria were analyzed at four stations at Pereque Beach. Granulometric analysis showed that Pereque beach has sediment that is classified as sand. The lowest value of the sediment C/N rates (6.08), mainly due to a higher concentration of organic nitrogen, was found at the northern part of Pereque Beach, where organic matter of marine source was more prominent. In this area, density (9.6x10(6)cells cm(-3)), biomass (1992.04ngC cm(-3)) and activity of bacteria were higher than at the southern end. In contrast, cyanobacteria density varied from 2.0 to 4.0x10(5)cells cm(-3), with biomass and total chlorophyll a of the sediment being higher at the southern part, where there are water input from Pereque River and higher organic matter of continental origin. The variability in the microbial population is discussed in the light of the sediment granulometry, organic matter quality, fresh water inflow and pollution. 相似文献
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Invasive species and climate change: an agronomic perspective 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
Lewis H. Ziska Dana M. Blumenthal G. Brett Runion E. Raymond Hunt Jr Hilda Diaz-Soltero 《Climatic change》2011,105(1-2):13-42
In the current review we wish to draw attention to an additional aspect of invasive species and climate change, that of agricultural productivity and food security. We recognize that at present, such a review remains, in part, speculative, and more illustrative than definitive. However, recent events on the global stage, particularly in regard to the number of food riots that occurred during 2008, even at a time of record harvests, have prompted additional interest in those factors, including invasive species, which could, through climatic uncertainty, alter food production. To that end, as agricultural scientists, we wish to begin an initial evaluation of key questions related to food production and climate change including: how vulnerable is agriculture to invasive species?; are current pest management strategies sufficient to control invasive outbreaks in the future?; what are the knowledge gaps?; can we provide initial recommendations for scientists, land managers and policy makers in regard to available resources? Our overall goals are to begin a synthesis of potential impacts on productivity, to identify seminal research areas that can be addressed in future research, and to provide the scientific basis to allow agronomists and land managers to formulate mitigation and adaptation options regarding invasive species and climate change as a means to maintain food security. 相似文献
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Castillo-Sandoval Isaí Fuentes-Cobas Luis E. Pérez-Cazares Bernardo E. Esparza-Ponce Hilda E. Fuentes-Montero María E. Castillo-Michel Hiram Eichert Diane Reyes-Cortes Ignacio Carreño-Márquez Iván J. Napoles-Duarte José M. Montero-Cabrera María E. 《Mineralogy and Petrology》2018,112(6):865-879
Mineralogy and Petrology - The Cave of Swords was discovered in 1910 at Naica, Chihuahua, México. During the last century, human presence has changed the microclimate conditions inside this... 相似文献
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Hilda E. Kurtz 《The Professional geographer》2019,71(1):179-183
This article responds to Alderman and Inwood's call for geographers to engage in public intellectualism. Geographers have long been underrepresented among the ranks of public intellectuals, even as the discipline has fostered many and diverse traditions of robust critical explanation. The lens of assemblage theory on civic engagement efforts in Athens, Georgia, offers insight into how a democratically inclined public intellectualism might be temporarily achieved. 相似文献