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Transient pressures generated by earthquake shaking in hydrotechnical tunnels are evaluated by the discrete Fourier transform technique. The effects of the horizontal ground motion accelerating the closed downstream tunnel gate, as well as the upstream dam face, and the influence of the vertical motion of the reservoir floor are considered in this analysis. An example of a typical bottom outlet is analysed by subjecting it to several computed accelerograms. It is shown that high hydrodynamic pressures can be developed, several times larger than the hydrostatic pressure. 相似文献
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The spatial and temporal consistency of seasonal air temperature and precipitation in eight widely used gridded observation-based climate datasets (CANGRD, CRU-TS3.1, CRUTEM4.1, GISTEMP, GPCC, GPCP, HadCRUT3, and UDEL) and eight reanalyses (20CR, CFSR, ERA-40, ERA-Interim, JRA25, MERRA, NARR, and NCEP2) was evaluated over the Canadian Arctic for the 1950–2010 period. The evaluation used the CANGRD dataset, which is based on homogenized temperature and adjusted precipitation from climate stations, as a reference. Dataset agreement and bias were observed to exhibit important spatial, seasonal, and temporal variability over the Canadian Arctic with the largest spread occurring between datasets over mountain and coastal regions and over the Canadian Arctic Archipelago. Reanalysis datasets were typically warmer and wetter than surface observation-based datasets, with CFSR and 20CR exhibiting biases in total annual precipitation on the order of 300?mm. Warm bias in 20CR exceeded 12°C in winter over the western Arctic. Analysis of the temporal consistency of datasets over the 1950–2010 period showed evidence of discontinuities in several datasets as well as a noticeable increase in dataset spread in the period after approximately 2000. Declining station networks, increased automation, and the inclusion of new satellite data streams in reanalyses are potential contributing factors to this phenomenon. Evaluation of trends over the 1950–2010 period showed a relatively consistent picture of warming and increased precipitation over the Canadian Arctic from all datasets, with CANGRD giving moistening trends two times larger than the multi-dataset average related to the adjustment of the station precipitation data. The study results indicate that considerable care is needed when using gridded climate datasets in local or regional scale applications in the Canadian Arctic. 相似文献
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Geochemical background in soils: a linear process domain? An example from Istria (Croatia) 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
Definition of geochemical background in exploration and environmental geochemistry has always been regarded as contingent
upon scale and investigated locality but mostly under assumption that hosts of processes that produce the data more or less
conform individually to Gaussian law of “central tendencies”. Recently, understanding of pedogenesis as synergetic process
being characterized by non-linear dynamics renders thermodynamic approach directly applicable in assessment of geochemical
thresholds, with concepts of linearity and normality set alongside in solving the problems of soil geochemistry. Seen from
this perspective the work is an attempt to relate conceptual fundamentals of non-linear dynamical theory to basic statistical
methods in order to elucidate the nature and origins of element subpopulations hidden in the original geochemical data from
the soils of Istrian Peninsula (western Croatia). To this purpose the two major groups of soils were selected for analysis
depending on the type of bedrock as one of the main soil-forming factors. Geochemical data were subjected to the trimming
procedure by which the outliers were removed from the total data collective and attributed to non-linear causes precluding
simple cause-and-effect relationships as the sine qua non of Gaussian distribution. Geochemical background is then defined as the normal range of data of the remaining (trimmed) dataset
indicating the “thermodynamic branch” of the specific soil processes as opposed to outliers being described as dissipative
structures. 相似文献
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Ivana Tošić Ivana Hrnjak Milivoj B. Gavrilov Miroslava Unkašević Slobodan B. Marković Tin Lukić 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2014,117(1-2):331-341
Annual and seasonal variability of precipitation observed at 92 stations in Vojvodina (Serbia) were analyzed during the period 1946–2006. The rainfall series were examined by means of the empirical orthogonal functions (EOF). The first set of singular vectors explains from 68.8 % (in summer) to 81.8 % (in winter) of the total variance. The temporal variability of the time series associated with the main EOF configurations (the principal components, PCs) was examined using the Mann–Kendall test and the spectral analysis. The time series of PC1 revealed decreasing trend in the winter and spring precipitation and increasing trend in the autumn, summer, and annual precipitation. The relationships between the first PC and circulation patterns, such as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the East Atlantic (EA) pattern, and East Atlantic/West Russia pattern, were also investigated. The PC1, displaying temporal behavior of the first mode, demonstrated evident correspondence with the NAO index in analysis of the annual, winter, and autumn precipitation. Power spectra of the PC1 show statistically significant oscillations of about 3.3 years for the spring precipitation and about 8 and 15 years for the winter precipitation. Comparisons with spectral analysis of authors for some regions in Europe, most of them in the Mediterranean domain, show that similar periodicities are detected. 相似文献
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Dejan Vasović Srđan Kostić Marina Ravilić Slobodan Trajković 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2014,72(10):3915-3928
In present paper, the blast-induced ground motion and its effect on the neighboring structures are analyzed at the limestone quarry "Drenovac" in central part of Serbia. Ground motion is examined by means of existing conventional predictors, with scaled distance as a main influential parameter, which gave satisfying prediction accuracy (R > 0.8), except in the case of Ambraseys–Hendron predictor. In the next step of the analysis, a feed-forward three-layer back-propagation neural network is developed, with three input units (total charge, maximum charge per delay and distance from explosive charge to monitoring point) and only one output unit (peak particle velocity). The network is tested for the cases with different number of hidden nodes. The obtained results indicate that the model with six hidden nodes gives reasonable predictive precision (R ≈ 0.9), but with much lower values of mean-squared error in comparison to conventional predictors. In order to predict the influence level to the neighboring buildings, recorded peak particle velocities and frequency values were evaluated according to United States Bureau of Mines, USSR standard, German DIN4150, Australian standard, Indian DMGS circular 7 and Chinese safety regulations for blasting. Using the best conventional predictor, the relationship between the allowable amount of explosive and distance from explosive charge is determined for every vibration standard. Furthermore, the effect of air-blast overpressure is analyzed according to domestic regulations, with construction of a blasting chart for the permissible amount of explosive as a function of distance, for the allowable value of air-blast overpressure (200 Pa). The performed analysis indicates only small number of recordings above the upper allowable limit according to DIN4150 and DMGS standard, while, for all other vibration codes the registered values of ground velocity are within the permissible limits. As for the air-blast overpressure, no damage is expected to occur. 相似文献
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Many regions of the world are experiencing an increase in frequency and intensity of floods. There has been increasing understanding among emergency preparedness and natural disaster planners that rapid urbanization is enhancing the risk from river flooding in urban areas. Many regions of Canada have been exposed to particularly severe floods over the course of the last few years, much of this due to land-use change. This study aims at understanding the risk of flooding for the City of Metro Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, which is located in the Fraser River Delta. The paper presents a fast, efficient and reliable method that can be used to produce vegetation maps from advanced very high resolution radiometer images and SPOT vegetation maps. A 10-day maximum normalized difference vegetation index maps were produced to assess the dynamics of the urbanization process in Vancouver. Remotely sensed data show a significant decrease in vegetation cover in the Metro Vancouver City between 1984 and 2012. The proposed method can be used as an effective tool for raising early land-use change awareness and assist with flood risk management. Flood risk management has a substantial impact on human health and well-being in urban areas, and this flood risk information will be used to assess the impact of flooding and explore the complex relationship between land-use change, urbanization, flooding and impact on urban dwellers. 相似文献
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Long‐term variations and temporal scaling of hydroclimatic time series with focus on the German part of the Elbe River Basin 
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下载免费PDF全文 Long‐term variations and temporal scaling of mean monthly time series of river flow, precipitation, temperature, relative humidity, air pressure, duration of bright sunshine, degree of cloud cover, short wave radiation, wind speed and potential evaporation within or in vicinity of the German part of the Elbe River Basin are analyzed. Statistically significant correlations between the 2–15 year scale‐averaged wavelet spectra of the hydroclimatic variables and the North Atlantic Oscillation‐ and Arctic Oscillation index are found which suggests that such long‐term patterns in hydroclimatic time series are externally forced. The Hurst parameter estimates (H) based on the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) indicate persistence for discharge, precipitation, wind speed, air pressure and the degree of cloud cover, all having an annual cycle and a broad low‐frequency distribution. Also, DFA H parameter estimates are higher for discharge than for precipitation. The major long‐term quasi‐periodic variability modes of precipitation detected using Singular Spectrum Analysis coincide with those detected in the discharge time series. Upon subtraction of these low‐frequency quasi‐periodic modes, the DFA H parameter estimates suggest absence of the persistence for both precipitation and discharge. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献