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An avalanche occurrence is a result of the structural collapse of the snow cover in the upper reaches of mountain slopes in the snowbound belt. They take a heavy toll, year after year and property worth millions is destroyed. Besides loss of lives, the avalanches also destroy forest and disrupt road communication, thereby hindering the hill area development and affecting the Defense of the nation.The paper brings out the cause of avalanche formation, magnitude of their destruction power and the techniques being followed in India by Snow and Avalanche Study Establishment (SASE), a DRDO Laboratory, for mitigating the avalanche disasters in Western Himalayan Region for the Defense forces. The authors suggest that for mitigating the avalanche disasters, an integrated plan at national level involving Defense forces and state governments should be drawn. 相似文献
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Shib Sankar Ganguli Nimisha Vedanti Idar Akervoll V. P. Dimri 《Journal of the Geological Society of India》2016,88(3):273-280
The utilization of anthropogenic CO2 for enhanced oil recovery (EOR) can significantly extend the production life of an oil field, and help in the reduction of atmospheric emission of anthropogenic CO2 if sequestration is considered. This work summarizes the prospect of EOR and sequestration using CO2 flooding from an Indian mature oil field at Cambay basin through numerical modelling, simulation and pressure study based on limited data provided by the operator. To get an insight into CO2-EOR and safe storage process in this oil field, a conceptual sector model is developed and screening standard is proposed keeping in mind the major pay zone of the producing reservoir. To construct the geomodel, depth maps, well positions and coordinates, well data and well logs, perforation depths and distribution of petrophysical properties as well as fluid properties provided by the operator, has been considered. Based on the results from the present study, we identified that the reservoir has the potential for safe and economic geological sequestration of 15.04×106 metric ton CO2 in conjunction with a substantial increase in oil recovery of 10.4% of original oil in place. CO2-EOR and storage in this mature field has a bright application prospect since the findings of the present work could be a better input to manage the reservoir productivity, and the pressure field for significant enhancement of oil recovery followed by safe storage. 相似文献
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Ghulam Jeelani Rouf Ahmad Shah Rajendrakumar D. Deshpande Ashok P. Dimri Suraj Mal Anupam Sharma 《水文研究》2021,35(11):e14406
Western disturbances (WDs) and Indian summer monsoon (ISM) led precipitation play a central role in the Himalayan water budget. Estimating their contributions to water resource is although a challenging but essential for hydrologic understanding and effective water resource management. In this study, we used stable water isotope data of precipitation and surface waters to estimate the contribution of ISM and WDs to the water resources in three mountainous river basins - Indus, Bhagirathi and Teesta river basins of western, central and Eastern Himalayas. The study reveals distinct seasonality in isotope characteristics of precipitation and surface waters in each river basin is due to changes in moisture source, hydrometeorology and relief. Despite steady spatial variance in the slope and intercept of regression lines from the Teesta to Indus and the Bhagirathi river basins, the slope and intercept are close to the global meteoric water line and reported local meteoric water line of other regions in the Himalayas and the Tibetan Plateau. The two-component end-member mixing method using d-excess as tracer were used to estimate the contribution from ISM and WD led precipitation to surface water in aforementioned river basins. The results suggest that the influence of the ISM on the water resources is high (>72% to annual river flow) in Teesta river basin (eastern Himalayas), while as the WDs led precipitation is dominantly contributing (>70% average annual river flow) to the surface waters in the Indus river basin (western Himalayas). The contribution of ISM and WD led precipitation in Bhagirathi river basin is 60% and 40%, respectively. The findings demonstrate that the unusual changes in the ISM and WD moisture dynamics have the potential to affect the economy and food security of the region, which is dependent on the availability of water resources. The obtained results are of assistance to policy makers/mangers to make use of the information for better understanding hydrologic response amid unusual behaviour of the dual monsoon system over the region. 相似文献
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A. P. Dimri 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2006,163(8):1679-1698
Surface and upper air circulation features associated with extreme precipitation years are demonstrated during winter season
viz., December, January, February and March (DJFM) to examine winter weather affecting the western Himalayas. These circulations
are studied over the domain 15°S–45°N and 30°E–120°E. This domain is considered particularly to illustrate the distribution
of precipitation due to a wintertime eastward moving synoptic weather system called western disturbances. Surplus and deficient
years of seasonal (DJFM) precipitation are identified using ± 20% departure from mean from uninitialized daily reanalysis
data of forty (1958–1997) years of the National Center For Environmental Prediction (NCEP), US. The years 1965–1969, 1973
and 1991 are found to be surplus years and the years 1962, 1963, 1971, 1977, and 1985 are found to be deficient years. Comparative
study between composites of these two categories is made using students t-test of significance. Significant differences in
sea-level pressure, zonal and meridional component of wind at surface and upper levels, total precipitable water content,
geopotential height and temperature are observed in the two contrasting seasons. 相似文献
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M.?M.?NageswararaoEmail author U.?C.?Mohanty S.?S.?V.?S.?Ramakrishna A.?P.?Dimri 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2018,131(1-2):181-200
Development of downscaling models for each calendar month using the data of predictors specifically selected for each calendar month may assists in better capturing the time-varying nature of the predictor-predictand relationships. Such approach will not allow the explicit modelling of the persistence of the predictand (e.g. lag-1 correlation). However, downscaling at an annual time step and subsequent disaggregation to monthly values can explicitly consider the modelling of the persistence of the predictand. This study investigated the potential of annual downscaling of a predictand and subsequent disaggregation of annual values to monthly values, in comparison to the potential of downscaling models separately developed for each calendar month. In the case study, annual and monthly downscaling models were developed for precipitation and evaporation at two stations located in Victoria, Australia. The output of the annual downscaling models was then disaggregated into monthly values using four different methods based on the method of fragments. It was found that the annual to monthly disaggregation methods and monthly downscaling models are able to reproduce the average of monthly observations with relatively higher accuracy in comparison to their ability in reproducing standard deviation, skewness and lag-1 serial correlation. Downscaling models separately developed for each calendar month were able to show relatively smaller root mean square errors for their time series indicating better overall agreement with observations in comparison to their counterpart annual to monthly disaggregation methods. Furthermore, it was found that not only the bias in the output of an annual downscaling model but also the presence of annual totals in the records of observations of a predictand that are very similar in magnitude, but having significantly different sets of fragments, can largely contribute to the poor performance of an annual to monthly disaggregation method. 相似文献
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Climate Dynamics - The potential of the RegCM4–CLM4.5 model for value addition over the MIROC5 GCM for Indian Summer Monsson (ISM) simulation for the present climate (1975–2005) has... 相似文献
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Western Himalayas (WH) is characterized by variable topography and heterogeneous land use. During winter, it receives enormous amount of precipitation due to eastward moving extratropical cyclones, called western disturbances (WDs), in Indian parlance. This variable altitude and orientation of orographic barriers has a complex interplay with WDs in defining precipitation over the WH. To understand such complexities, three WDs are considered to study interaction with the Himalayan orography using the advanced regional prediction system. Two simulation strategies are performed and presented??first to illustrate the impact of different initial and boundary conditions and second to illustrate the impact of different horizontal model resolution with same model configuration. In the first strategy, three different initial and boundary conditions??the National Center for Environmental Prediction?CGlobal Forecast System, USA (NCEP?CGFS) (1) analysis (2) 0000UTC forecast and the National Center for Medium Range Weather Forecast, India?CT80 spectral model (NCMRWF?CT80) (3) 0000UTC forecast??are provided to the same model configuration. In the second strategy, outputs from model simulated with NCMRWF??T80 spectral model forecast at coarser horizontal model resolution of 30?km (hereafter called Experiment I) are used as input initial and boundary conditions for simulation at finer horizontal model resolution of 10?km (hereafter called Experiment II). Though there are many other dynamical factors, but in the present study, it is shown that model-simulated precipitation is sensitive to the initial and boundary conditions. Simulations at coarse resolution could capture the weather system, but detailed spatial distribution along the orography is better illustrated at finer resolution model simulation. Also, Experiment II could simulate precipitation over different ranges of the western Himalayas depicting orographic forcings. 相似文献
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Bombay (latitude: 19.1°N, longitude: 72.9°E, altitude: 14 m asl) received unprecedented amount of rainfall, 94.4 cm in 24 h,
from 26 to 27 Jul 2005. Observational and model simulation, based on Advanced Regional Prediction System, study of this extreme
event is made. The thermodynamical assessment is made using vertical sounding in model simulation. Artificial thermal perturbation
is introduced to initiate the instability for generation of vertical convection with assumption that convection is initiated
due to the thermal forcings and neglecting the effect of mechanical perturbation (orographic forcings). Model could simulate
the thermal nature of the storm as observed. Also, simulation shows the vigorous nature of thunderstorm with heavy downpour
at the rate of 10 cm/h, which is close to the observed. 相似文献