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This paper proposes a simple and powerful optimal integration (OPI) method for improving hourly quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPFs, 0-24 h) of a single-model by integrating the benefits of different bias- corrected methods using the high-resolution CMA-GD model from the Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology of China Meteorological Administration (CMA). Three techniques are used to generate multi-method calibrated members for OPI: deep neural network (DNN), frequency-matching (FM), and optimal threat score (OTS). The results are as follows: (1) The QPF using DNN follows the basic physical patterns of CMA-GD. Despite providing superior improvements for clear-rainy and weak precipitation, DNN cannot improve the predictions for severe precipitation, while OTS can significantly strengthen these predictions. As a result, DNN and OTS are the optimal members to be incorporated into OPI. (2) Our new approach achieves state-of-the-art performances on a single model for all magnitudes of precipitation. Compared with the CMA-GD, OPI improves the TS by 2.5%, 5.4%, 7.8%, 8.3%, and 6.1% for QPFs from clear-rainy to rainstorms in the verification dataset. Moreover, OPI shows good stability in the test dataset. (3) It is also noted that the rainstorm pattern of OPI relies heavily on the original model and that OPI cannot correct for deviations in the location of severe precipitation. Therefore, improvements in predicting severe precipitation using this method should be further realized by improving the numerical model’s forecasting capability. 相似文献
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This paper presents the overall sinkhole distributions and conducts hypothesis tests of sinkhole distributions and sinkhole formation using data stored in the Karst Feature Database (KFD) of Minnesota. Nearest neighbor analysis (NNA) was extended to include different orders of NNA, different scales of concentrated zones of sinkholes, and directions to the nearest sinkholes. The statistical results, along with the sinkhole density distribution, indicate that sinkholes tend to form in highly concentrated zones instead of scattered individuals. The pattern changes from clustered to random to regular as the scale of the analysis decreases from 10–100 km2 to 5–30 km2 to 2–10 km2. Hypotheses that may explain this phenomenon are: (1) areas in the highly concentrated zones of sinkholes have similar geologic and topographical settings that favor sinkhole formation; (2) existing sinkholes change the hydraulic gradient in the surrounding area and increase the solution and erosional processes that eventually form more new sinkholes. 相似文献
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Within the field of seismic data acquisition with active sources, the technique of acquiring simultaneous data, also known as blended data, offers operational advantages. The preferred processing of blended data starts with a step of deblending, that is separation of the data acquired by the different sources, to produce data that mimic data from a conventional seismic acquisition and can be effectively processed by standard methods. Recently, deep learning methods based on the deep neural network have been applied to the deblending task with promising results, in particular using an iterative approach. We propose an enhancement to deblending with an iterative deep neural network, whereby we modify the training stage of the deep neural network in order to achieve better performance through the iterations. We refer to the method that only uses the blended data as the input data as the general training method. Our new multi-data training method allows the deep neural network to be trained by the data set with the input patches composed of blended data, noisy data with low amplitude crosstalk noise, and unblended data, which can improve the ability of the deep neural network to remove crosstalk noise and protect weak signal. Based on such an extended training data set, the multi-data training method embedded in the iterative separation framework can result in different outputs at different iterations and converge to the best result in a shorter iteration number. Transfer learning can further improve the generalization and separation efficacy of our proposed method to deblend the simultaneous-source data. Our proposed method is tested on two synthetic data and two field data to prove the effectiveness and superiority in the deblending of the simultaneous-source data compared with the general training method, generic noise attenuation network and low-rank matrix factorization methods. 相似文献
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海表盐度（Sea Surface Salinity,SSS）是研究海洋对全球气候影响的重要参量,欧洲航天局（European Space Agency,ESA）设计研发的SMOS(Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity)是专用于探测海水盐度的卫星之一。受射频干扰（Radio Frequency Interference, RFI）等因素的影响,SMOS卫星盐度产品的精度难以达到预期效果。为了提高SMOS卫星海表盐度产品精度,本文提出一种基于深度神经网络的海表盐度反演算法。以太平洋中部海域（150°E～180°,5°～30°N）为研究区域,利用Argo浮标实测盐度数据为参考真值,将SMOS卫星L1C、L2级产品与Argo盐度数据进行时空匹配。并根据海洋遥感和辐射传输理论,选取亮温（Brightness Temperature,TB）、海表温度（Sea Surface Temperature,SST）、降雨率（Rain Rate,RR）、波高（Significant Wave Height,SWH）、纬向风速（Zonal Wind Speed,ZWS）、经向风速（... 相似文献
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Current deep neural networks (DNN) used for seismic phase picking are becoming more complex, which consumes much computing time without significant accuracy improvement. In this study, we introduce a cascaded classification and regression framework for seismic phase picking, named as the classification and regression phase net (CRPN), which contains two convolutional neural network (CNN) models with different complexity to meet the requirements of accuracy and efficiency. The first stage of the CRPN are shallow CNNs used for rapid detection of seismic phase and picking P and S arrival times for earthquakes with magnitude larger than 2.0, respectively. The second stage of CRPN is used for high precision classification and regression. The regression is designed to reduce the time difference between the probability maximum and the real arrival time. After being trained using 500,000 P and S phases, the CRPN can process 400 hours’ seismic data per second, whose sampling rate is 1 Hz and 25 Hz for the two stages, respectively, on a Nvidia K2200 GPU, and pick 93% P and 89% S phases with the error being reduced by 0.1s after regression correction. 相似文献
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利用1961—2019年江苏省67个站降水量和气候指数数据集等资料,选取大气环流、海温和积雪等先兆信号的不同组合作为预测因子方案,通过对比不同机器学习方法对江苏省夏季降水开展预测试验。结果表明,深度神经网络（Deep Neural Network,DNN）较传统统计方法和其他机器学习方法有一定优势,深度神经网络结合动态权重集合因子方案对江苏省夏季降水的预测技巧最高,其独立样本检验结果稳定,2015—2019年的平均PS评分为76.0,距平符号一致率为0.62,距平相关系数达0.35,尤其对江苏省中南部的预测技巧更高,具有业务应用价值。不同预测因子方案对比分析表明,大气环流因子在江苏省夏季降水预测中做主要贡献,而海温因子和积雪等其他因子也有正贡献,说明使用综合性预测因子以及集合方案有助于提升季节预测准确率。 相似文献
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