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Samuel Kinsley 《Geoforum》2011,42(2):231-240
Visions of the future predict spaces apparently teaming with ever more novel and pervasive technologies. Significant amongst such forecasts is the notion of ‘ubiquitous computing’ (ubicomp), understood as an affordance or capacity tied (in)to people, places and things. This article stages an encounter between the futurity of ubicomp and recent debates in geography around anticipation. So, first, the future orientation in ubicomp research and development (R&D) is investigated as a mode of anticipation. ‘Knowledges’, and ‘logics’ of anticipation are subsequently, and second, discussed as the conceptual apparatus that constructs and perpetuates the ‘proximate future’ of ubicomp. This analysis connects recent discussion about ‘anticipation’ in social sciences research with the methods of ubicomp research, which fits with an emergent agenda around futurity in human geography. Third, the conceptual articulation of ‘anticipatory logic’ is applied to the analysis of empirical investigations of ubicomp R&D to identify the specific logics of anticipation at play. This article accordingly examines the logics of anticipation that both support and destabilise the certainty with which the future is imagined within ubicomp. In conclusion, the multiple ways of anticipating a future world and the ways in which they discipline understandings of futurity are framed as a politics of anticipation. 相似文献
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Security and the future: Anticipating the event of terror 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Ben Anderson 《Geoforum》2010,41(2):227-235
This paper explores the relation between processes of security and futurity in the context of efforts to govern the complexity and contingency of events of terror. It argues that processes of securing function by generating a dangerous or promissory supplement to the present that thereafter propels the extension of forms of security. The paper develops this argument through an example of how an event of terror was anticipated: a RAND exercise into the aftermath of a ‘ground burst’ nuclear explosion in Long Beach, California on March 14th 2005. It argues that exercises (in)secure through three quasi-causal operations, each of which render events of terror actionable and result in specific relations between the present and future. First, ‘hypothetically possible’ generic events are named. The future takes place as a threatening horizon. Second, the defined phases of an event’s happening are staged (an advent, its multiplication into a crisis in the context of a milieu, and a response/recovery phase). The here and now is suspended between an ‘as if’ future and the present. Third, the consequences of the event are played. The future is both an intensified ‘practical’ presence embodied by exercise participants and an outside that exceeds attempts to definitively know it. The conclusion summarises the implications of the paper for work on futurity, security and the event. 相似文献
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本文在我国大规模开展地震测深工作的基础上,提出了地震测深数据文件系统,其目的在于在测深资料解释中引进数字处理技术,增加地震记录可用的信息量,建立地震测深数据库,从而促进我国深部研究工作中资料的相互交流. 在IBM-PC/XT微型计算机上,与本文的数据文件系统相应的数据采集、文件组织、绘制地震记录截面图以及对数字记录进行预处理等方面软件设计已经完成,从而建立了较完善的地震测深数据处理软件包.这个软件包在野外的使用表明,它具有效率高、使用方便的优点. 相似文献
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There is an urgent need to understand how anticipation processes such as scenario planning impact governance choices in the present. However, little empirical research has been done to analyze how anticipation processes frame possibilities for action. This paper investigates how assumptions about the future open up or close down anticipatory governance actions in a large number of climate-focused anticipation processes. We focused on four Global South regions: West Africa, South Asia, Southeast Asia and Central America. We apply an analytical framework that identifies four diverse approaches to anticipatory governance and connect this to the notion of opening up or closing down of possibility spaces for action. Across the four regions, we find that many anticipation processes open up dialogue about deep uncertainties and pluralistic worldviews but end up informing mostly technocratic and linear planning actions in the present. We also observe that anticipation processes in the Central American context more often break this trend, particularly when transformative ambitions are formulated. The focus on more technocratic futures and linear planning strategies and reliance on a mostly North-based global futures industry may close down more culturally, socially and politically diverse and regionally relevant future worldviews in anticipation processes. 相似文献
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本文阐明了模式识别方法的原理及其在水库诱发地震危险性预测研究中应用的可行性和实用性。以国内22个水库为样本(其中11个是有震样本),提取水库诱发地震有关的地质、地震、水文等方面的因素及特征,对拟建长江三峡三斗坪和清江隔河岩高坝水库进行预测。初步判定这两个水库区存在着水库诱发地震的危险性背景,并且清江隔河岩高坝水库区都镇湾以西地段,不存在诱发地震的背景,而其以东库,存在着水库诱发地震的背景。 相似文献
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