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Robert Shcherbakov Jordan Van Aalsburg John B. Rundle Donald L. Turcotte 《Tectonophysics》2006,413(1-2):53
Correlations in space and time play a fundamental role in earthquake processes. One direct manifestation of the effects of correlations is the occurrence of aftershocks due to the stress transfer in the vicinity of a main shock. Less obvious and more speculative changes in correlations may occur in the background seismicity before large earthquakes. Using statistical physics it is possible to introduce a measure of spatial correlations through a correlation length. This quantity characterizes how local fluctuations can influence the occurrence of earthquakes over distances comparable with the correlation length. In this work, the physical basis of spatial correlations of earthquakes is discussed in the context of critical phenomena and the percolation problem. The method of two-point correlation function is applied to the seismicity of California. Well defined variations in time of the correlation length are found for aftershock sequences and background seismicity. The scaling properties of our obtained distributions are analyzed with respect to changes in several scaling parameters such as lower magnitude cutoff of earthquakes, the maximum time interval between earthquakes, and the spatial size of the area considered. This scaling behavior can be described in a unified manner by utilizing the multifractal fit. Utilizing the percolation approach the time evolution of clusters of earthquakes is studied with the correlation length defined in terms of the radius of gyration of clusters. This method is applied to the seismicity of California. 相似文献
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Khaled S. Balkhair 《Hydrogeology Journal》2006,14(7):1380-1382
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F. S. Turalioglu H. Bayraktar 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2005,19(1):41-47
In the assessment of air quality, regional distribution and dispersion with distance are important, together with the variations of pollutants in time. On this occasion, the point cumulative semi-variogram (PCSV) method is used in order to find simply regional distribution of pollutants of Erzurum urban centre. This method is based simply on the summation of square differences in air pollutant concentrations between different sites. Monthly regional variation maps of Erzurum are constructed by finding radius of influence (for SO2, from 1000 m to 3500 m and, for TSP, 1000–2000 m) and PCSV scattering diagram data at different levels by using monthly average sulphur dioxide (SO2) and total suspended particulate (TSP) matter concentrations in 2001–2002 winter season. Consequently, the air pollution distribution of Erzurum is assessed. 相似文献
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基于案例推理的海洋涡旋特征信息空间相似性研究 总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5
目前对海洋涡旋的分析主要采用水团、近海海流分析和数值模拟方法,这些方法结合不同的区域资料已经有过很多成功的研究。但面对日益增长的多源、大面积海洋遥感数据,在快速自动化提取海洋涡旋的空间信息方面还存在很多难题。因此该文针对海洋涡旋空间信息的快速定量分析问题,提出了基于案例推理(Case-Based Reasoning,CBR)的海洋涡旋空间相似性研究方法。该方法首先采用多源数据(遥感数据、遥感反演数据、观测数据等)进行历史涡旋案例定量分析,并构建基于CBR的海洋涡旋案例表达模型和历史案例库;继而采用“基于重心矢径的序列分析方法”进行历史涡旋空间相似性分析,并结合典型的海洋涡旋区域给出具体实例。研究结果表明该方法是可行的。 相似文献
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由于海洋业务化预报模式对中尺度涡等海洋中、小尺度物理过程的准确预报仍然具有较大困难,因此,区域台风-海洋耦合模式初始化采用稳定基态的海洋数据是当前的有效手段。本文通过对两组台风个例的模拟,检验了基于稳定基态海洋数据的区域台风-海洋耦合模式的模拟效果,并通过6组敏感性试验,研究了初始台风最大风速半径（Radius of maximum wind speed,RMWS）对耦合模式模拟结果的影响。结果表明:初始台风RMWS的影响贯穿整个模拟阶段,RMWS越大,下垫面热通量输送量级越大,台风强度越强。在台风强烈的风场作用下,海温反馈也越显著,从而引起热通量降低幅度增大。RMWS作为与台风结构密切相关的物理量在度量台风强度中起到了重要作用。 相似文献
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1 ＩＮＴＲＯＤＵＣＴＩＯＮ Ａｍｏｎｇｔｈｅｄｉｖｅｒｓｉｔｙｏｆｅｘｉｓｔｉｎｇｒｉｖｅｒｃｈａｎｎｅｌｐｒｏｃｅｓｓｅｓ,ｍｅａｎｄｅｒｉｎｇｉｓｔｈｅｍｏｓｔｃｏｍｍｏｎａｎｄｆｒｅｑｕｅｎｔｏｎｅ.Ｉｔｉｓｔｙｐｉｃａｌｌｙｔｈｅｃｏｍｍｏｎ?.. 相似文献
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利用1979~2015年JTWC(Joint Typhoon Warning Center)最佳路径资料(2001~2015年资料用于台风风圈结构分析)及ERA-interim(0.5°×0.5°)再分析数据,统计分析我国海南岛附近区域(15.5°N~23.5°N,106°E~116°E)热带气旋(Tropical Cyclone,简称TC)低层风场的变化特征。结果表明:(1)年均5.5个TC于4~12月主要以西偏北路径进入该区域,其中海南岛东南侧海域TC出现频率最高且强TC比例最多,而岛西北区域出现频率最低,强TC比例最少。(2)TC中心位于海南岛不同方位时,其外围低层风场分布具有不同的非对称特征,且大风出现比率也各有差异;TC中心位于海南岛上时出现大风比率最高,位于岛南侧时次之,位于岛北侧时最小。(3)该区域TC平均最大风速半径(RMW)为58.3 km;TC位于岛上时RMW最大,而位于岛西南侧最小。(4)TC近中心最大风速由海上向陆地急剧减小,其高值中心主要位于雷州半岛东侧及西侧海域。(5)研究区域内TC的34节风圈半径在TC环流的东侧大而西侧小,强TC大而弱TC小。(6)不同区域TC变形程度有所差异。平均而言,位于岛西南侧TC变形最大而位于岛东南侧时变形最小。 相似文献
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Mark E. Perry Daniel S. Kahan Olivier S. Barnouin Carolyn M. Ernst Sean C. Solomon Maria T. Zuber David E. Smith Roger J. Phillips Dipak K. Srinivasan Jürgen Oberst Sami W. Asmar 《Planetary and Space Science》2011,59(15):1925-1931
The MErcury Surface, Space ENvironment, GEochemistry, and Ranging (MESSENGER) spacecraft completed three flybys of Mercury in 2008–2009. During the first and third of those flybys, MESSENGER passed behind the planet from the perspective of Earth, occulting the radio-frequency (RF) transmissions. The occultation start and end times, recovered with 0.1 s accuracy or better by fitting edge-diffraction patterns to the RF power history, are used to estimate Mercury's radius at the tangent point of the RF path. To relate the measured radius to the planet shape, we evaluate local topography using images to identify the high-elevation feature that defines the RF path or using altimeter data to quantify surface roughness. Radius measurements are accurate to 150 m, and uncertainty in the average radius of the surrounding terrain, after adjustments are made from the local high at the tangent point of the RF path, is 350 m. The results are consistent with Mercury's equatorial shape as inferred from observations by the Mercury Laser Altimeter and ground-based radar. The three independent estimates of radius from occultation events collectively yield a mean radius for Mercury of 2439.2±0.5 km. 相似文献
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作为1种成熟的网络接入技术,越来越多的用户开始使用802.11。随着无线技术的发展,支持基于web的无线用户认证方式存在的用户规模可扩展性问题也逐渐的突出。文中整合多种标准的协议,通过引入Vlan pool的概念,动态分配用户的Vlan成员关系,给出了1个解决上述问题的方案。 相似文献