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赵云胜  张国屏  刘如民 《地球学报》1996,17(Z1):245-250
本文简述了灰色决策方法,建立了局部通风设计的灰色决策模型,获得了可应用于施工现场的设计结果  相似文献   
2.
The inherent problems of classifying or inventorying potential mineral resources (as opposed to known mineral resources) pose specific challenges. In this paper, the application of a conceptual mineral exploration model and GIS to generate mineral potential maps as input to land-use policy decision-making is illustrated. We implement the criteria provided by a conceptual exploration model for nickeliferous-laterites by using a GIS to classify the nickeliferous-laterite potential of an area in the northeastern part of the Philippines. The spatial data inputs to the GIS are geological map data, topographic map data, and stream sediment point data. Processing of these data yields derivative maps, which are used as indicators of nickeliferous-laterite potential. The indicator maps then are integrated to furnish a nickeliferous-laterite potential map. This map is compared with present land-use classification and policy in the area. The results indicate high potential for nickeliferous-laterite occurrence in the area, but the zones of potential are in places where mineral resources development is prohibited. The prohibition was imposed before the nickeliferous-laterite potential was assessed by this study. Mineral potential classification therefore is a critical input to land-use policy-making so that prospective land is not alienated from future mineral resource development.  相似文献   
3.
Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) have gained a prominent role in the climate science-policy interface. The article reconstructs the evolution of IAMs and their changing role in this interface, investigating how and why IAMs have become so prominent. Based on literature analysis, quantitative document analysis and semi-structured interviews, we describe the historic evolution of the interactions between IAMs and policy-making between 1970 and 2015. We identify five historic phases in which IAMs played distinct mediating roles between science and policy, succeeding to adjust their scenario efforts to the continuously changing demands for knowledge from the policy community. In explaining the prominent role of IAMs, we differentiate between background conditions (material and sociological) and more contextual factors, most notably the flexible, hybrid and broad nature of IAMs as well as the pro-active character of the IAM community to enhance their policy relevance. We draw on the notion of institutional work to explain this success. In light of the urgency of responding to the climate crisis, we suggest that the IAM community may expand their scope of anticipated futures and consider engaging a wider range of publics and societal stakeholders beyond the science-policy interface.  相似文献   
4.
The case of a New Jersey dune management plan demonstrates that geographers can initiate environmental policy by formulating and proposing meritorious plans. An evaluation of the plan's rejection shows the complexity of policy-making and indicates that failure to adopt useful plans may be due to distortion of information or misunderstanding of the original plan. In order to avoid failure, geographers should participate in the entire policy-making sequence and should encourage the participation of the public who will be affected by the plan.  相似文献   
5.
陈丽萍 《地质通报》2009,28(203):297-299
从历史和全球的视角,以矿产资源所有权、矿业活动经营主体、政府在矿业中的作用为重点,追索矿业政策及立法的历史沿革。全球矿业政策与立法经历了第二次世界大战前矿业政策与立法萌芽期,第二次世界大战后到20世纪70年代的国有化期,20世纪80—90年代的自由开放期,21世纪理性发展期等几个阶段。  相似文献   
6.
本系统可以随身携带,自动监视地震监测台网发布的地震信息,自动启动,在接到地震信息后1-2分钟内自动给指挥者提供地震震中行政区域位置图、地震应急方案和震害快速评估等应急辅助决策,从而避免地震应急指挥的无序性,提高地震应急指挥决策的效率,缩短地震救灾组织时间。它集成了地震应急工作的全过程辅助功能。本系统对运行设备要求低,运行速度快,维护容易,操作方法简单,通用型设计,全国(全球)适用。用其建设地震应急指挥系统,投资省,见效快,运行维护成本低,可得到物美价廉的功效。  相似文献   
7.
The case of a New Jersey dune management plan demonstrates that geographers can initiate environmental policy by formulating and proposing meritorious plans. An evaluation of the plan's rejection shows the complexity of policy-making and indicates that failure to adopt useful plans may be due to distortion of information or misunderstanding of the original plan. In order to avoid failure, geographers should participate in the entire policy-making sequence and should encourage the participation of the public who will be affected by the plan.  相似文献   
8.
胡东生 《地球学报》2016,37(5):626-636
根据卫星遥感影像特征和区域地质调查与地球应力分析的综合材料,运用遥感地质学和地球动力学及地质环境演变的分析方法,对长江三峡工程的背景构造(区域构造)-岩块构造(体域构造)-坝区构造(局域构造)进行了多层次的系统研究,查清了地质构造环境演变过程及其变化规律,发现了多级构造序次及多级构造应力场之间的相互转变关系,提出区域应力场与库区荷载应力场和周边采矿卸载应力场的共振效应,是对工程安全运行和长周期工程寿命的最大潜在威胁,为大型工程优化管理和工程灾害风险预防及国家建设合理决策等方面提供科学依据。  相似文献   
9.
倪炳卿  林永俊 《气象》1995,21(2):55-57
依据福建将乐县30年二化螟发生的历史资料,选用上年11月-当年2月极端最低气温,3月≥12℃的有效积温及雨日,上年10月-当年3月的霜日,3月极端最低气温,上年末代蛾高峰日作预报因子,运用Fuzzy综合决策模型对越冬代二化螟蛾高峰期进行预报,历史拟合率达96.67%,且精细度每3天为1级,比逐步回归分析提高3倍。  相似文献   
10.
The climate crisis demands a strong response from policy-makers worldwide. The current global climate policy agenda requires technological change, innovation, labour markets and the financial system to be led towards an orderly and rapid low-carbon transition. Yet progress has been slow and incremental. Inadequacies of policy appraisal frameworks used worldwide may be significant contributors to the problem, as they frequently fail to adequately account for the dynamics of societal and technological change. Risks are underestimated, and the economic opportunities from innovation are generally not assessed in practice. Here, we identify root causes of those inadequacies and identify them to structural features of standard analysis frameworks. We use a review of theoretical principles of complexity science and the science of dynamical systems and formulate a generalisation of existing frameworks for policy analysis and the appraisal of outcomes of proposed policy strategies, to help better identify and frame situations of transformational change. We use the term “risk-opportunity analysis” to capture the generalised approach, in which conventional economic cost-benefit analysis is a special case. New guiding principles for policy-making during dynamic and transformational change are offered.  相似文献   
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