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GMDH-GEP to predict free span expansion rates below pipelines under waves
Authors:Mohammad Najafzadeh  Farid Saberi-Movahed
Institution:1. Department of Water Engineering, Faculty of Civil and Surveying Engineering, Graduate University of Advanced Technology, Kerman, Iranmoha.najafzadeh@gmail.com m.najafzadeh@kgut.ac.ir;3. Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Modern Technology, Graduate University of Advanced Technology, Kerman, Iran
Abstract:ABSTRACT

In this research, group method of data handling (GMDH) as a one of the self-organized approaches is utilized to predict three-dimensional free span expansion rates around pipeline due to waves. The GMDH network is developed using gene-expression programming (GEP) algorithm. In this way, GEP was performed in each neuron of GMDH instead of polynomial quadratic neuron. Effective parameters on the three-dimensional scour rates include sediment size, pipeline geometry, and wave characteristics upstream of pipeline. Four-dimensionless parameters are considered as input variables by means of dimensional analysis technique. Furthermore, scour rates along the pipeline, vertical scour rate, and additionally scour rates in the left and right of pipeline are determined as output parameters. Results of the proposed GMDH-GEP models for the training stages and testing ones are evaluated using various statistical indices. Performances of the GMDH-GEP models are compared with artificial neural network (ANN), GEP, GMDH, and traditional equations-based regression models. Moreover, sensitivity analysis and parametric study are conducted to perceive influences of different input parameters on the three-dimensional scour rates.
Keywords:Free span expansion  gene-expression programming  group method of data handling  pipeline  scour rate
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