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The standards for skill assessment of operational marine forecast system
作者姓名:张爱军  范文静  纪风颖
作者单位:National Marine Data and Information Service Tianjin 300171 China Coast Survey Development Laboratory NOS/NOAA 1315 East-West Highway Silver Spring MD 20910 USA,National Marine Data and Information Service Tianjin 300171 China,National Marine Data and Information Service Tianjin 300171 China
摘    要:To support navigational and environmental applications in coastal waters, marine opera- tional forecast models must be developed and implemented. A forecast model must guarantee that it is scientifically sound and practically robust for performance and must meet or excel all target frequencies or durations before being released to the public. This paper discusses the standard policies and procedures for evaluation of operational marine forecast models. The primary variables to be evaluated are water lev- els, currents and water density (water temperature and salinity).

关 键 词:海洋水文学  水温  密度  水力模型
收稿时间:2005-08-08
修稿时间:2006-06-16

The standards for skill assessment of operational marine forecast system
Zhang?Aijun,Fan?Wenjing,Ji?Fengying.The standards for skill assessment of operational marine forecast system[J].Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology,2007,25(1):27-35.
Authors:Zhang Aijun  Fan Wenjing  Ji Fengying
Institution:(1) National Marine Data and Information Service, Tianjin, 300171, China;(2) Coast Survey Development Laboratory, NOS/NOAA, 1315 East-West Highway, Silver Spring, MD 20910, USA
Abstract:To support navigational and environmental applications in coastal waters, marine opera- tional forecast models must be developed and implemented. A forecast model must guarantee that it is scientifically sound and practically robust for performance and must meet or excel all target frequencies or durations before being released to the public. This paper discusses the standard policies and procedures for evaluation of operational marine forecast models. The primary variables to be evaluated are water lev- els, currents and water density (water temperature and salinity).
Keywords:skill assessment  hydrodynamic models  forecast
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