| 数值预报产品在桂林暴雨预报中的应用研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 周文志,薛荣康.数值预报产品在桂林暴雨预报中的应用研究[J].气象研究与应用,2004,25(1):1-3. |
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| 作者姓名： | 周文志 薛荣康 |
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| 作者单位： | 桂林市气象局,广西,桂林,541001;桂林市气象局,广西,桂林,541001 |
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| 基金项目： | 桂林气象局布置的业务攻关课题 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用1998～2002年4～7月间欧洲、日本,2002年5～7月我国数值预报产品进行统计分析,总结出以数值预报产品为主的暴雨预报模式指标。这一模式指标,为日常预报工作中以天气学预报为主转向以数值预报为主奠定良好基础,也为预报员提供客观简捷的预报方法。通过一年的试报探索和一年的实际业务应用,其预报准确率较为理想。
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| 关 键 词： | 数值产品应用 暴雨预报 桂林 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-5191(2004)01-0004-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2003年10月25 |
Application of Numerical Forecast Products in Storm Forecast in Guilin |
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| ZHOU Wen-zhi,XUE Rong-kang.Application of Numerical Forecast Products in Storm Forecast in Guilin[J].Journal of Guangxi Meteorology,2004,25(1):1-3. |
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| Authors: | ZHOU Wen-zhi XUE Rong-kang |
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| Abstract: | The statistics analysis by using numerical forecast products of European and Japanese during April ~ July from 1998 to 2002, and of Chinese during May ~ July in 2002 concludes the storm forecast mode index based on numerical forecast products, which lays a good foundation for transferring the daily forecast emphasis from synoptic meteorological forecast to numerical forecast, and provides a simple and objective forecast method for weather forecasters. The one-year trial forecasting and practical forecasting proves its satisfactory accuracy. |
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| Keywords: | application of numerical forecast product storm forecast Guilin |
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