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Evaluation of numerical earthquake forecasting models |
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| Authors: | Zhongliang Wu |
| Institution: | Institute of Earthquake Forecasting, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100036, China |
| Abstract: | Evaluation of numerical earthquake forecasting models needs to consider two issues of equal importance: the application scenario of the simulation, and the complexity of the model. Criterion of the evaluation-based model selection faces some interesting problems in need of discussion. |
| Keywords: | numerical earthquake forecasting model selection Akaike information criteria (AIC) |
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