| 灰色系统理论在地下水动态预报中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 张建国.灰色系统理论在地下水动态预报中的应用[J].吉林地质,1990(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 张建国 |
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| 作者单位： | 吉林省环境水文地质研究所 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文扼要介绍了灰色系统的基本理论、建模方法和检验精度的分析方法。并以四平市地下水动态特征为例,建立GM(1,1)包络模型,进行了地下水位拟合和外推预报。结果表明,GM(1,1)模型计算简单,是一种实用的预报方法,预报结果比较可靠。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色系统 包络模型 预报 |
THE APPLICATION OF THE GREY SYSTEMATIC THEORY IN THE PREDICTION OF FLUCTUATION OF GROUND WATER LEVEL |
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| Zhang Jianguo.THE APPLICATION OF THE GREY SYSTEMATIC THEORY IN THE PREDICTION OF FLUCTUATION OF GROUND WATER LEVEL[J].Jilin Geology,1990(3). |
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| Authors: | Zhang Jianguo |
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| Institution: | Insitute of Enviornmental Hydrogology of Jilin Province |
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| Abstract: | The basic theory of the grey system and the method of establishing model as well as the analytical method of test precision are briefly described in this paper, aking the fluctuation characteristics of ground wa er in Siping city as an example, the envelope model GM (1, 1) is established, and he simulation and extrapolting prediction of ground water level is conducted. The results show that the model GM (1, 1) is a practical method of prediction with simple calculation and reliable results. |
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| Keywords: | Grey system Envelope model Prediction |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
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