| 西部地区的经济发展模式与碳排放量增长关系的实证研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 焦兵,杨凤明.西部地区的经济发展模式与碳排放量增长关系的实证研究[J].资源与生态学报（英文版）,2013(1):56-62. |
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| 作者姓名： | 焦兵 杨凤明 |
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| 作者单位： | 西安财经学院资源环境与区域经济研究中心 |
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| 基金项目： | Humanity and Social Science Youth foundation of Ministry of Education of China (12YJC790082);National Social Science Fund Key Project (11AJL007) |
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| 摘 要： | 随着“西部大开发”战略的深入实施，西部地区已经成为我国经济发展最快的区域，然而西部经济的快速增长已经造成了碳排放量的犬幅增加，严重影响了我国节能减排目标的实现。为了有效地控制西部地区碳排放量的急速增加，我们必须全面分析引致西部碳排放量增加的主要因素。本文在已有研究的基础上，从西部地区产业转型和消费升级的视角出发，利用1991—2009年的省际面板数据对西部地区的经济发展模式与碳排放量增长之间的相关关系及其传导机制进行了实证检验。检验结果表明：自进入上世纪90年代以来，西部地区的经济发展与碳排放量增长之间存在显著的正相关关系，而且在西部大开发战略实施以后，这种关系更加显著。同时，检验还发现西部地区的消费升级和产业转型对碳排放量增加产生重要影响，其中三次产业间结构变动的影响系数达到16．4，二次产业内部采掘业和重工业比重上升的影响系数达到14．3，人均居住支出和人均交通支出的影响系数也分别达到5．6和6．5，而传统的人口规模、收入规模则对西部地区碳排放量的影响微弱。影响系数仅为0．73和0．86。因此在制定西部地区“十二五”节能减排战略时，需要更多的从消费升级和产业转型的视角出发。
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| 关 键 词： | 经济发展模式 碳排放量 消费升级 产业转型 |
The Relationship between Patterns of Economic Development and Increasing Carbon Emissions in Western China |
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| JIAO Bing and YANG Fengming.The Relationship between Patterns of Economic Development and Increasing Carbon Emissions in Western China[J].Journal of Resources and Ecology,2013(1):56-62. |
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| Authors: | JIAO Bing and YANG Fengming |
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| Institution: | JIAO Bing and YANG FengmingResearch Center of Resources Environment and Regional Economics, Xi’an University of Finance and Economics, Xi’an 710100, China |
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| Abstract: | With the implementation of the ＂Development of Western China＂ strategy, this region has become the fastest growing economic area in China. However, rapid economic growth has resulted in a substantial increase in carbon emissions and affected energy reduction goals. In order to effectively control the rapid increase in carbon emissions across western China, we need a comprehensively analyze the main factors causing these increases. Here, we analyze the relationship between economic development patterns and carbon emissions. The findings suggest that consumption upgrades and industrial transformation have a positive correlation with carbon emissions in this region. We then conducted an econometric FGLS analysis on the relationship and its transmission mechanism between economic growth and CO2 emissions with cross-province panel data from 1991 to 2009. A positive correlation was found, and the relationship is more significant after the implementation of the western development strategy. The influence coefficient of change in primary, secondary and tertiary industries is 16.4. The influence coefficient of increased share of heavy industry and extractive industry in the secondary industry is 14.3, and the influence coefficients of per-capita living expenditure and per capita traffic expenditure are 5.6 and 6.5. Traditional population size and income scale have a weak impact on carbon emissions, and the influence coefficients of population size and income scale are only 0.73 and 0.86. GDP increases have a second major impact on the carbon emissions. Energy intensity has a negative relationship with carbon emissions and urbanization level has a positive relationship （coefficients are -8.2 and 4.65）. |
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| Keywords: | economic growth pattern carbon emission consumption upgrade industrial transformation |
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