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太阳活动11年周期对ENSO事件海温异常演变和东亚降水的影响
引用本文:周群,陈文.太阳活动11年周期对ENSO事件海温异常演变和东亚降水的影响[J].大气科学,2012,36(4):851-862.
作者姓名:周群  陈文
作者单位:1. 中国科学院大气物理研究所季风系统研究中心,北京 100190;中国科学院研究生院,北京 100049
2. 中国科学院研究生院,北京,100049
基金项目:国家重点基础研究发展规划项目2010CB428603,国家自然科学基金资助项目 41025017
摘    要:本文利用美国NCEP/NCAR再分析资料、海温、降水和反映太阳活动强弱的太阳10.7 cm射电流量资料,研究了1952~2010年太阳活动11年周期对ENSO年海温异常演变以及与之相联系的东亚降水的影响,在此基础上着重分析了ENSO发展期秋季东亚地区降水异常对太阳射电流量高(HS)/低(LS)的不同响应以及相关的物理过...

关 键 词:太阳活动  海温演变  ENSO  东亚降水  大气环流异常
收稿时间:2011/9/13 0:00:00
修稿时间:2011/12/21 0:00:00

Influence of the 11-Year Solar Cycle on the Evolution of ENSO-Related SST Anomalies and Rainfall Anomalies in East Asia
ZHOU Qun and CHEN Wen.Influence of the 11-Year Solar Cycle on the Evolution of ENSO-Related SST Anomalies and Rainfall Anomalies in East Asia[J].Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences,2012,36(4):851-862.
Authors:ZHOU Qun and CHEN Wen
Institution:Center for Monsoon System Research, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190;Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049;Center for Monsoon System Research, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100190
Abstract:By using NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, the SST data, the rainfall data, and the 10.7 cm solar flux data which reflects the intensity of the solar activity, the impacts of solar activity on the seasonal SST anomalies and the related rainfall anomalies in East Asia during different phases of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are investigated in this paper. Particularly the authors focus on the different responses of the rainfall anomalies in East Asia in the fall of an ENSO developing year and the corresponding physical processes between the High Solar (HS) years and the Low Solar (LS) years. The SST analysis reveals that during the HS (LS) years, the intensity and scope of the SST anomalies in both the equatorial eastern Pacific and the tropical western Pacific are decreasing (increasing) in the developing phase of ENSO, and the positive correlation in the equatorial eastern Pacific weakens slowly (rapidly) in the following spring to summer. Especially in the HS phase, with the warming in the equatorial eastern Pacific, the Indian Ocean SST is found to have no apparent warming in the fall of an ENSO developing year and the Indian Ocean positive SST anomalies is significantly weaker in the following winter. The reverse situation tends to occur in the LS phase. According to the rainfall analysis results, the ENSO exerts its influence on the rainfall in China mostly in the preceding fall and the next spring. To put the solar activity in perspective, the main differences of the rainfall anomalies in East Asia occur in the preceding fall. The rainfall anomaly signals are insignificant in most of China during the preceding fall in the HS years, whereas in the LS years the reverse precipitation signals between the south and north of the Yangtze River are noticeable. Further research indicates that the rainfall differences originate from the differences of the two important circulation systems in the lower troposphere. During the LS years, the anticyclonic anomalies near the Philippines region tend to be stronger and thus intensify the supply of water vapor in the south of China. At the same time, the intensified northerly winds on the west side of the cyclone around the northern part of North China result in the less rainfall in the north of the Yangtze River. In contrast, both these two circulation systems are weaker and the associated rainfall anomalies are not significant during the HS years. The different circulation responses in the fall of an ENSO developing year may be attributed to the influences of the solar activity on the tropical SST. The results indicate that a La Niña (El Niño)-like SST pattern in the Pacific tends to be forced in the HS (LS) years, which is consistent with previous studies. Therefore, the anomalous Walker cell that rises in the tropical eastern Pacific and sinks in the tropical western Pacific is shown to be obviously weaker (stronger) in the HS (LS) phase. Compared with the HS years, in the LS years the divergence in the lower troposphere is strong in the tropical western Pacific and the induced anticyclonic circulation by the diabatic cooling is also strong.
Keywords:solar activity  SST evolution  ENSO (El Niñ  o/Southern Oscillation)  rainfall in East Asia  atmospheric circulation anomalies
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