| 陕西省农业用水需求预测模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 熊义杰.陕西省农业用水需求预测模型研究[J].地下水,2006,28(1):10-13. |
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| 作者姓名： | 熊义杰 |
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| 作者单位： | 西安理工大学工商管理学院,陕西,西安,710048 |
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| 摘 要： | 农业用水是一个地区总用水量中的重要组成部分.论文通过对影响农业用水需求的因素进行分析,运用经济计量学方法,模拟了农业用水量与各影响因素之间的关系,在此基础上构建了农业用水需求的多元线性预测模型,并据此对陕西省2005年和2010年的农业用水需求进行了点预测.
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| 关 键 词： | 农业用水需求 预测模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1004-1184（2006）01-0010-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-06-02 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-06-02 |
Research on the Forecast Models for Agricultual Water Demand in the Shaanxi Province |
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| XIONG Yijie.Research on the Forecast Models for Agricultual Water Demand in the Shaanxi Province[J].Groundwater,2006,28(1):10-13. |
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| Authors: | XIONG Yijie |
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| Abstract: | The agricultural water demand is an important component in the total water application for a region. The paper analyzes the influenced factors of water demand in agriculture, applied the method of economic metrology and simulated the relationship between agricultural water demand and various influenced factors, on this basis established the multivariate linear forecast model for agricultural water demand, and forecasted the agricultural water demand of Shaanxi province in the year 2005 and 2010. |
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| Keywords: | agricultural water demand and forecast model |
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