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洪洞临汾大震震源断层的相互作用和地震趋势分析
引用本文:刁桂苓,胡新亮,张骁,李光,马利军,王成亮,路正.洪洞临汾大震震源断层的相互作用和地震趋势分析[J].华北地震科学,2007,25(2):1-4.
作者姓名:刁桂苓  胡新亮  张骁  李光  马利军  王成亮  路正
作者单位:1. 河北省地震局,河北,石家庄,050021
2. 唐山市地震局,河北,唐山,063000
3. 河北省地震局张家口地震中心台,河北,张家口,075000
4. 邯郸市地震局,河北,邯郸,056014
5. 石家庄市地震局,河北,石家庄,050051
基金项目:“十一五”国家科技支撑计划重点课题《强震动力动态图像预测技术研究》2006BAC01B02-01-01资助
摘    要:山西临汾地区1303年和1695年发生了洪洞(M8)和临汾(M7 3/4)两次相距最近特大地震。地震所在区域至今仍有持续不断的小震活动。我们根据1670次中、小地震精确震源定位结果和149个小地震的震源机制。通过震源三维空间分布和震源机制解的分析,认为洪洞地震和临汾地震的强相互作用是解锁,因此导致临汾地震提前发生;此外,2者之间还存在弱相互作用,并且和随机发生的地震达到一种平衡。2次大地震对区域所积累的应变基本释放完毕,难以再形成与应力场一致的大破裂,使得临汾地区连续的地震活动以中小地震的形式体现,连续300多年都没有5级以上地震发生。估计今后临汾地区的这种低水平活动将继续下去,发展趋势是安全的。

关 键 词:震源断层  洪洞地震  临汾地震  相互作用  趋势估计
文章编号:1003-1375(2007)02-0001-04
收稿时间:2006-12-26
修稿时间:2006年12月26

Analysis on the interaction between the focal fault of Hongtong and Linfen earthquake and its earthquake tendency
DIAO Gui-linga,HU Xin-liang,ZHANG Xiao,LI Guang,MA Li-jun,WANG Cheng-liang,LU Zheng.Analysis on the interaction between the focal fault of Hongtong and Linfen earthquake and its earthquake tendency[J].North China Earthquake Sciences,2007,25(2):1-4.
Authors:DIAO Gui-linga  HU Xin-liang  ZHANG Xiao  LI Guang  MA Li-jun  WANG Cheng-liang  LU Zheng
Institution:1. Earthquake Administration of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050021, China; 2. Earthquake Administration of Tangshan City, Tangshan 063000, Hebei province, China; 3.Zhangjiakou Seismostation, Zhangjiakou 075000, Hebei Province, China; 4. Eartquake Administration of Handan city, Handan 056014, Hebei Province; China; 5. Earthquake Administration of Shijiazhuang City, Shijiazhuang 050051, China
Abstract:In 1303 and 1695,two near strong earthquakes occurred at Hongtong(M8) and Linfen(M73/4) in Linfen area of Shanxi Province,where small earthquakes have been continually occurring till now.Through analysis on the distribution of 1670 medium and small earthquakes and 149 focal mechanisms,we concluded that the strong interaction between Hongtong and Linfen earthquakes is deblocking,which caused Linfen earthquake occurred early.Moreover,there was a kind of weak interaction between the two earthquakes,which got a balance with the occurrence of random earthquakes.As the regional stress accumulated had been released completely after the two large earthquakes,it is unlikely to form a new large fracture that matches the stress field.Therefore,the earthquakes in the area have been mainly medium and small ones,and there have been no over 5 earthquake for 300 years.This phenomenon will continue,and the area is safe at present.
Keywords:focal fault  Hongtong Earthquake  Linfen Earthquake  Interaction  tendency estimation
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