| 基于大数据架构的国家海洋创新指标及其预测方法研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘大海,李晓璇,王春娟,李先杰.基于大数据架构的国家海洋创新指标及其预测方法研究[J].海洋开发与管理,2016,33(3):9-13. |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘大海 李晓璇 王春娟 李先杰 |
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| 作者单位： | 国家海洋局第一海洋研究所,国家海洋局第一海洋研究所,国家海洋局第一海洋研究所,国家海洋局第一海洋研究所 |
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| 基金项目： | 海洋公益性行业科研专项经费项目“海洋强国建设的评价体系研究及应用”（２０１４４１８０２９）；国家海洋局项目“海洋科技创新评估与预测研究”（Ａ２０１５４７）；基本科研业务费专项资金项目“海洋科技创新战略研究”（ＧＹ０２１４Ｔ０８）；基本科研业务费专项资金项目“我国海洋创新评估体系及预测技术研究与应用”（２０１５Ｔ０９）；国家海洋局项目“海洋科技创新指数及企业创新能力研究” |
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| 摘 要： | 基于国家创新体系理论和大数据思想,探讨国家海洋创新体系定义和范围;根据国家海洋创新体系的具体内容,选取对外海洋技术依存度、海洋仪器设备国有化率、海洋关键技术自主化率、海洋科技进步贡献率、海洋科技成果转化率等作为国家海洋创新预测指标;在Bigtable+MapReduce框架内讨论适用于海洋创新指标的预测方法,探索国家海洋创新指标预测技术思路,为建立支撑海洋创新战略制定的预测体系做了有益尝试。
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| 关 键 词： | 海洋创新指标 大数据架构 预测方法 |
On the National Marine Innovation Index and Marine Innovation Forecasting Method Based on Big Data Architecture |
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| LIU Dahai,LI Xiaoxuan,WANG Chunjuan and LI Xianjie.On the National Marine Innovation Index and Marine Innovation Forecasting Method Based on Big Data Architecture[J].Ocean Development and Management,2016,33(3):9-13. |
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| Authors: | LIU Dahai LI Xiaoxuan WANG Chunjuan and LI Xianjie |
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| Abstract: | Based on the theory of National Innovation System and the theory of big data, this paper explored the definition and scope of national marine innovation system. According to the specific contents of national marine innovation system, it put forward the national marine innovation forecasting indexes including foreign dependence of marine technology, marine equipment nationalization rate, the autonomization rate of marine key technology, the contribution rate of marine science and technology progress, marine science and technology transfer rate and so on. In addition, in the framework of Bigtable+MapReduce, it discussed the forecasting methods that were suitable for marine innovation index and explored the thought of national marine innovation index forecasting technology, which made attempts to establish the forecasting system for better marine innovation strategy making. |
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