| AIS船舶污染风险定量评估模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 柴田,熊德琪.AIS船舶污染风险定量评估模型[J].测绘科学,2013,38(3):137-139. |
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| 作者姓名： | 柴田 熊德琪 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 大连海事大学环境科学与工程学院,辽宁大连116026;集美大学航海学院,福建厦门361021
2. 大连海事大学环境科学与工程学院,辽宁大连,116026 |
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| 基金项目： | 李尚大集美大学学科建设基金资助项目，交通运输部海事局科技项目，福建省教育厅基金资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对目前海上船舶污染风险评估模型的不足,本文提出一种基于船舶自动识别系统(AIS)的海上船舶污染风险定量评估数学模型。该模型的特点是对特定海域船舶污染历史事故进行统计分析,通过AIS中的信息对船舶事故频率进行建模及数值计算;并且模型考虑到事故海域资源类型,船舶种类、大小、风险程度以及污染事故等级等因素,使污染风险评估更科学化和定量化。
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| 关 键 词： | 船舶污染风险 船舶自动识别系统(AIS) 定量评估模型 高风险船舶 |
Model of maritime vessels pollution quantitative risk assessment based on AIS |
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| CHAI Tian,XIONG De-qi.Model of maritime vessels pollution quantitative risk assessment based on AIS[J].Science of Surveying and Mapping,2013,38(3):137-139. |
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| Authors: | CHAI Tian XIONG De-qi |
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| Institution: | ①(①College of Environmental Science and Engineering,Dalian Maritime University,Liaoning Dalian 116026,China;②Navigation Institute,Jimei University,Fujian Xiamen 361021,China) |
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| Abstract: | In order to overcome the defects of the present risk assessment model of the pollution from ships,a mathematic model of quantitative risk assessment based on AIS was set forth in the paper.The model is characterized by the specific sea area historical analysis of pollution vessels accidents statistics.Based on getting the information of vessels traffic,vessels types and ship size etc from AIS,the model calculated the frequency of vessels accidents.Taking into account various factors such as water of sea,classification of accidents,vessels risk ranking and so on,the results of the model could be more scientific and quantitative. |
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| Keywords: | maritime pollution risk Automatic Identification System(AIS) model of quantitative assessment high risk vessels |
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