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中尺度业务预报试验数值模式系统
引用本文:王鹏云 潘在桃 徐宝新,任荣彩.中尺度业务预报试验数值模式系统[J].应用气象学报,1992,3(3):257-265.
作者姓名:王鹏云 潘在桃 徐宝新  任荣彩
作者单位:1.中国气象科学研究院 北京100081 (王鹏云,潘在桃),河北省气象台 石家庄050021 (徐宝新),河北省气象台 石家庄050021(任荣彩)
摘    要:以引进的美国Penn State/NCAR中尺度模式(MM2和MM4)为基础,按照实时业务预报需要和我国资料特点,在PC/386微机上研制了中尺度业务预报试验数值模式系统。在1989—1990年进行的实时业务预报试验中,该系统运行稳定,预报时效能满足实时业务预报要求,预报结果对12—24小时短期天气预报具有参考价值,适合于省(市)级气象台站等业务单位使用。

关 键 词:中尺度  短期  预报  天气  数值模式

Mesoscale Operational Forecast Experimental Model System
Institution:1) (Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, SMA, Beijing, 100081); 2) (Meteorological Observatory, Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang, 050021)
Abstract:A 3-D mesoscale operational numerical model system (MOMS) is developed on a microcomputer PC-386 according to the requirements of real-time operational forecast and data availability. The system including data input, objective analysis, forecast processing and results output is run automatically. It can provide prognosis and precipitation forecast at any given interval within 24-hour period. The results are displayed on terminal with color graphics. The system was in operation in the summer experiments of Beijing-Tianjing-Hebei mesoscale experimental base during 1989 to 1990, and provided numerical forecast product services during the period of 11th Asian Games. The experimental operational forecast with this system was also carried out in weather forecast stations of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region and Hebei Province in 1990. The results show that the model system operates steadily and can meet, with regard to timelyness, the requirements of real-time operational forecast. The forecasts provided by the system contribute positively to making 12-24 hours short range forecast
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