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Flood probability analysis for un-gauged watersheds by means of a simple distributed hydrologic model
Authors:Giorgio Boni  Luca Ferraris  Francesca Giannoni  Giorgio Roth  Roberto Rudari
Institution:1. Centro di Ricerca Interuniversitario in Monitoraggio Ambientale, Università degli Studi di Genova e della Basilicata, Cadorna 7, 17100 Savona, Italy;2. Dipartimento di Informatica, Sistemistica e Telematica, Università degli Studi di Genova, Italy;3. Centro Funzionale Meteo Idrologico di Protezione Civile, Agenzia Regionale per la Protezione dell’Ambiente Ligure, Genova, Italy
Abstract:A methodology is proposed for the inference, at the regional and local scales, of flood magnitude and associated probability. Once properly set-up, this methodology is able to provide flood frequencies distributions at gauged and un-gauged river sections pertaining to the same homogeneous region, using information extracted from rainfall observations. A proper flood frequency distribution can be therefore predicted even in un-gauged watersheds, for which no discharge time series is available.
Keywords:Regional analysis  Flood frequency distribution  Hydrological modeling
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