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基于G-R关系的应变积累释放模型研究中国大陆强震的分区活动
引用本文:马宏生,刘杰,张国民,张晓东,王辉,王新岭.基于G-R关系的应变积累释放模型研究中国大陆强震的分区活动[J].地震学报,2005,27(4):355-366.
作者姓名:马宏生  刘杰  张国民  张晓东  王辉  王新岭
作者单位:中国北京,100081,中国地震局地球物理研究所;中国北京,100036,中国地震局地震预测研究所;中国北京,100036,中国地震台网中心;中国北京,100036,中国地震局地震预测研究所
基金项目:科技部社会公益研究项目,中国地震局地球物理研究所项目
摘    要:针对过去应变积累释放曲线或模型存在的不足,根据G-R关系以及能量震级经验关系, 推导出一个相对独立的应变积累速率公式. 同时在活动地块假说基础上,选取了中国大陆地震活动较为典型的几个地块分区,在考虑历史地震目录完整性基础上,利用1970年以来的小震资料,计算了各地区6级以上地震的年均应变积累速率,从而给出各地震分区相对的地震活动水平;并将之用于改进后的模型,通过对各地震分区现今所处应变状态以及目前状态在其地震轮回活动中所处阶段的研究,探讨了各地震分区的未来地震形势. 

关 键 词:G-R关系  应变积累速率  应变积累释放  应变状态
文章编号:0253-3782(2005)04-0355-12
修稿时间:2004年5月17日

SEISMICITY RESEARCH IN THE SUBREGIONS OF CHINESE MAINLAND USING STRAIN ACCUMULATING AND RELEASING MODEL BASED ON G-R RELATION
Ma Hongsheng,Liu Jie,ZHANG Guomin,Zhang Xiaodong,Wang Hui,Wang Xinling.SEISMICITY RESEARCH IN THE SUBREGIONS OF CHINESE MAINLAND USING STRAIN ACCUMULATING AND RELEASING MODEL BASED ON G-R RELATION[J].Acta Seismologica Sinica,2005,27(4):355-366.
Authors:Ma Hongsheng  Liu Jie  ZHANG Guomin  Zhang Xiaodong  Wang Hui  Wang Xinling
Abstract:According to the deficiency of the strain accumulating and releasing curves and the previous models, the strain-accumulating rate of the strain accumulating and releasing model has been deduced based on the G-R relation and the empirical formula between energy release and earthquake magnitude, where the strain-accumulating rate is relative independent of the strain-releasing rate. 5 typical areas in Chinese mainland are selected on the basis of the hypothesis on active tectonic block, and small earthquakes from 1970 are imported to calculate the annual strain-accumulating rates considering the completeness of historical seismic data. Having introduced the strain-accumulating rates into the amended model, present strain phases are got. According to the present stages in their own cycles, the future earthquake tendency of each sub-region is discussed.
Keywords:G-R relation  strain-accumulating rate  strain accumulating and releasing  strain phases
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