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中国环境库兹涅茨曲线与环境一经济空间格局——基于全国省级面板数据的协整分析(英文)
引用本文:董锁成,李飞,李泽红,金贤锋.中国环境库兹涅茨曲线与环境一经济空间格局——基于全国省级面板数据的协整分析(英文)[J].资源与生态学报(英文版),2010,1(2):169-176.
作者姓名:董锁成  李飞  李泽红  金贤锋
作者单位:1. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京,100101
2. 中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京,100101;中国科学院研究生院,北京,100049
基金项目:the State Basic Science and Technology Key Project of China,the National Natural Science Foundation of China,the Project of the Chinese Academy of Science Action-plan for West development (the Second Phase),the China Meteorological Administration Research Project on Climate Change and the Innovation Project of the Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research
摘    要:基于中国1985~2007年30个省级行政区环境污染与经济增长面板数据,运用面板协整工具和动态最小二乘法(DOLS)对环境库兹涅茨曲线进行了实证检验。结果显示我国工业废气污染、工业废水污染和工业固体废弃物污染变量与经济增长变量之间存在长期协整关系,且变量间均呈现出显著的倒U形环境库兹涅茨曲线关系,而EKC转折点并没有出现在过低的水平上;其后基于检验结果探讨了我国环境-经济空间格局,部分东部发达省区已经越过或接近3种污染物EKC的转折点,然而我国大部分的中西部省区并未越过EKC转折点甚至距离较远。目前我国仍面临巨大的环境压力,在减排方面需要花费巨大的经济成本。我国环境经济政策的制定应根据各种不同情况因地因时制宜。

关 键 词:环境库兹涅茨曲线  环境-经济空间格局  面板协整  DOLS

The Environmental Kuznets Curve and Spatial Pattern of Environmental-Economy in China:Evidence from a Panel Cointegration Test
DONG Suocheng,LI Fei,LI Zehong,JIN Xianfeng.The Environmental Kuznets Curve and Spatial Pattern of Environmental-Economy in China:Evidence from a Panel Cointegration Test[J].Journal of Resources and Ecology,2010,1(2):169-176.
Authors:DONG Suocheng  LI Fei  LI Zehong  JIN Xianfeng
Institution:1,2 1 Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,CAS,Beijing 100101,China;2 Graduate University of the Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China
Abstract:This paper applies the panel unit root,heterogeneous panel cointegration test and panel-based dynamic OLS recently developed to re-investigate the Environmental Kuznets Curves for 30 provinces in mainland China from 1985 to 2007.The empirical results show that there is a positive long-term cointegrated relationship between economic growth and three types of environmental pollution.The relationships take on inverted U-shaped EKCs,but the turning points in these curves differ from those found in previous studies.We then analyze the spatial pattern of environmental-economy in China based on the estimations of this study.Most provinces in central and western China are not above the turning points of the EKCs,where industrial pollution emissions show an increasing trend.At present,China is subject to tremendous environmental pressures,and will need to meet enormous cost for pollution emissions reduction.However,environmental economic policies should differ over time and region.
Keywords:Environmental Kuznets Curve  spatial pattern of environmental-economy  Panel Cointegration Test  DOLS
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