Mediterranean warm-core cyclones in a warmer world |
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| Authors: | Kevin Walsh Filippo Giorgi Erika Coppola |
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| Institution: | 1. School of Earth Sciences, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, 3010, Australia
2. International Centre for Theoretical Physics, Trieste, Italy
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| Abstract: | Regional climate model projections over the Mediterranean region are analysed for the presence of intense, warm-core lows that share some of the characteristics of tropical cyclones. The results indicate that the number of such systems decreases in a warmer world, particularly in winter. Comparison of the simulated numbers to changes in relevant climate diagnostics suggests that numbers decrease due to an increasingly hostile environment for storm formation, combined with a general poleward shift in the incidence of wintertime lows over western Europe. |
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