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Seasonal trends in Romanian streamflow
Authors:Marius‐Victor Birsan  Liliana Zaharia  Viorel Chendes  Emilia Branescu
Institution:1. Meteo Romania (National Meteorological Administration), Bucharest, Romania;2. Faculty of Geography, University of Bucharest, Bucharest, Romania;3. National Institute for Hydrology and Water Management, Bucharest, Romania
Abstract:Mean daily streamflow records from 44 river basins in Romania with an undisturbed runoff regime have been analyzed for trends with the nonparametric Mann‐Kendall test for two periods of study: 1961–2009 (25 stations) and 1975–2009 (44 stations). The statistical significance of trends was tested for each station on an annual and seasonal basis, for different streamflow quantiles. In order to account for the presence of serial correlation that might lead to an erroneous rejection of the null hypothesis, a trend‐free prewhitening was applied to the original data series. The regional field significance of trends is tested by a bootstrap procedure. Changes in the streamflow regime in Romania are demonstrated. The main identified trends are an increase in winter and autumn streamflow since 1961 and a decrease in summer flow since 1975. The streamflow trends are well explained by recent changes in temperature and precipitation that occurred in the last 50 years. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Keywords:streamflow  trend analysis  Romania  Mann‐Kendall  quantile analysis  field significance
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