| 美国退出《巴黎协定》对全球气候治理的影响 |
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| 引用本文： | 张永香,巢清尘,郑秋红,黄磊.美国退出《巴黎协定》对全球气候治理的影响[J].气候变化研究进展,2017,13(5):407-414. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张永香 巢清尘 郑秋红 黄磊 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.中国气象局国家气候中心, 北京 100081;2.中国气象局气象干部培训学院, 北京 100081 |
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| 基金项目： | 科技部应急项目第九课题（2016）；教育部重大项目“构建公平合理的国际气候治理体系研究”（15JZD035）；中国CDM“IPCC第五次评估报告第一、第二工作组报告、综合报告及清单工作组报告支撑研究”（2013024）；气候变化专项（CCSF201731） |
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| 摘 要： | 自特朗普就任美国总统，美国退出《巴黎协定》已在意料中，但当特朗普正式宣布退出仍引发了国际社会的广泛关注。究其宣布退出的考虑不难看出，尽管美国政治信誉、国际合作和长远经济均受影响，但借此特朗普既可以提高其政治影响力、同时又可向国际社会重新要价。从国际应对气候变化的大形势看，美国的退出不会根本逆转全球气候治理的大方向。但美国削减国内气候变化研究、多边环境基金的资金支持和援助等政策将影响气候变化的基础研究和国际应对气候变化多边机制，以及未来应对气候变化的国际合作和长期目标的实现。《联合国气候变化框架公约》的"共同但有区别"的责任原则将受到冲击。就未来而言，全球应对气候变化的正向发展仍旧是主旋律，气候治理正进入多元主体发挥作用的时代，地方和民间组织层面将开展更多的技术创新务实合作，提高气候变化科学及认知的能力建设仍将是长期的任务。
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| 关 键 词： | 美国退约 全球气候治理 影响 |
| 收稿时间： | 2017-06-21 |
| 修稿时间： | 2017-07-03 |
The Impacts on Global Climate Governance Due to the United States Dropping off the Paris Agreement |
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| Zhang Yongxiang,Chao Qingchen,Zheng Qiuhong,Huang Lei.The Impacts on Global Climate Governance Due to the United States Dropping off the Paris Agreement[J].Advances in Climate Change,2017,13(5):407-414. |
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| Authors: | Zhang Yongxiang Chao Qingchen Zheng Qiuhong Huang Lei |
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| Institution: | 1.National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China;2.China Meteorological Administration Training Center, Beijing 100081, China |
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| Abstract: | Since Donald Trump became the president of the United States, whole world is ready for his drop on the Paris Agreement. However, the formal intervention still caused a broadly world reaction. Beside the negative influence on the political credit, international cooperation and potential effect on long term economic of the United States, Trump will not only take advantage of the political reputation building, but get another bargain chance to renegotiate of the Paris Agreement. In general, the United State withdrawal from the Paris Agreement will not change the low-carbon pathway and transformation trend of the global climate regime, but the long-term goal and the international cooperation on climate change will be impacted due to the budget cut on domestic climate change research and the donation cancelation on the multilateral environmental fund from the United States. As long as there is a renegotiation of the Paris Agreement, the common but differentiated principle of responsibility of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change will be challenged again. In future, the climate change governance is still one of the main themes for the sustainable development. Instead of the governments, the multiple roles will improve their acting on climate change governance and local, non-governmental organizations will carry out more technical innovation and pragmatic cooperation. The capacity building on climate change research and awareness should be enhanced as a long-term work. |
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| Keywords: | the United States withdrawl from the Paris Agreement global climate change governance impact |
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