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Simulation of the hydrological impacts of climate change on a restored floodplain
Authors:Julian R Thompson  Honeyeh Iravani  Hannah M Clilverd  Carl D Sayer  Catherine M Heppell  Jan C Axmacher
Institution:1. UCL Department of Geography, University College London, London, UKj.r.thompson@ucl.ac.uk;3. UCL Department of Geography, University College London, London, UK;4. Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Management, University of Hawai?i, Mānoa, Honolulu, Hawai?i, USA;5. School of Geography, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK
Abstract:Thirty UK Climate Projections 2009 (UKCP09) scenarios are simulated using a MIKE SHE/MIKE 11 model of a restored floodplain in eastern England. Annual precipitation exhibits uncertainty in direction of change. Extreme changes (10 and 90% probability) range between ?27 and +30%. The central probability projects small declines (
Keywords:climate change  river/floodplain restoration  hydrological/hydraulic modelling  MIKE SHE  UKCP09
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