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基于可靠度理论的滑坡稳定性分析
引用本文:李 松,尚瑾瑜,李新生.基于可靠度理论的滑坡稳定性分析[J].甘肃地质学报,2011(4):76-79.
作者姓名:李 松  尚瑾瑜  李新生
作者单位:[1]甘肃省地质环境监测院,甘肃兰州730050 [2]长安大学地质工程与测绘学院,陕西西安710054
摘    要:基于可靠度理论,利用可靠度理论中的概率矩点估计法对延安市宝塔区卧虎山滑坡的稳定系数、可靠度和破坏概率进行了计算、分析。计算结果表明,基于可靠度理论滑坡稳定性计算能克服客观存在的土性参数的空间离散性、时间变异性,并把计算结果与传统稳定性计算结果进行了分析比较,证明了基于可靠度理论的滑坡稳定性计算方法的可靠性和可行性。

关 键 词:可靠度理论  概率矩点估计法  边坡稳定性分析  破坏概率

STABILITY ANALYSIS OF LANDSLIDES BASED ON RELIABILITY THEORY
LI Song,SHANG Jin-yu and LI Xin-sheng.STABILITY ANALYSIS OF LANDSLIDES BASED ON RELIABILITY THEORY[J].Acta Geologica Gansu,2011(4):76-79.
Authors:LI Song  SHANG Jin-yu and LI Xin-sheng
Institution:1.Gansu Institute of Geological Environment Monitoring,Lanzhou 730050,China; 2.School of Geological Engineering and Surveying,Chang'an University,Xi'an 710054,China)
Abstract:It is by means of Rosenblueth method based on reliability theory according to calculate stability coefficient,reliability and failure probability of Wohushan landslide in Baota District in Yan-An.The calculation results show that stability calculation of the landslide based on reliability theory can overcome divergence in space and time variation of the soil parameters existing objectively.In addition,compared with traditional stability calculation methods,stability calculation of the landslide based on reliability theory is more reliable.
Keywords:reliability theory  Rosenblueth  slop stability  failure probability
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