An application of Markov Chain Model for wet and dry spell probabilities at Juba in Southern Sudan |
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| Authors: | Abdel Malik Gasm El-Seed PhD |
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| Institution: | (1) Geography Department, College of Arts, King Saud University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia |
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| Abstract: | The theoretical probabilities of wet and dry spells derived from the Markov Chain Model were found to fit very closely the observed probabilities of various sequence lengths at Juba, S Sudan. Monthly variation in the probability values does not seem to follow a secular trend. Anomogram relating observed sequence length frequency of wet and dry spells versus those computed by Markov model is presented. |
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