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A Statistical Investigation of the Earthquake Predictions Using LURR |
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| Authors: | Keyin Peng Xiangchu Yin Lang-Ping Zhang |
| Institution: | 1. China Earthquake Networks Center, CEA (China Earthquake Administration), Beijing, 100036, China 2. LNM (Laboratory for Non-linear Mechanics), Institute of Mechanics, CAS, Beijing, 100080, China 3. Institute of Geophysics, CSB, Beijing, 100084 |
| Abstract: | In terms of the spatial scanning of LURR (Load-Unload Response Ratio), we have been predicting the seismic tendency within the next year for the mainland of China from 1995 to 2003. In order to make the quantitative retrospective assessment of LURR method, we compare the results with Poisson null hypothesis. The results show that the prediction by LURR method is much better than Poisson hypothesis. |
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