Impacts of different climate stabilisation scenarios on plant species in Europe |
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| Institution: | Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (RIVM-MNP), P.O. Box 303, 3720 AH Bilthoven, The Netherlands |
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| Abstract: | With the use of goals from the Convention on Biological Diversity we evaluated two climate stabilisation profiles on their merits for conservation of biodiversity, comparing them with a baseline profile. Focusing on plant ecosystems at the pan-European level, we concluded that although a maximum global-mean temperature increase of 2 °C is likely to be met in a 550 ppmv CO2-equivalent stabilisation profile, large areas of ecosystems in Europe will be affected. Most of the impacts manifest themselves in northern countries, with a high net increase of plant species, and in Mediterranean countries, with a decrease in the number of plant species and stable area. Other impacts are less robust, given the regional variation in climate results for different climate models. |
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