Analyzing hydrologic uncertainty and its impact upon decision making in water resources |
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| Authors: | Eric F Wood |
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| Institution: | Department of Civil Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, N.J. 08540 USA |
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| Abstract: | Bayesian Inference and Decision Theory tools are applied to the problem of synthetic hydrology when model and parameter uncertainty exist. Issues such as optimal parameter estimation, use of synthetic generation in design problems, and the effects of parameter uncertainty on statistical estimation are discussed and applied to the problem of reservoir slorage-yield analysis. |
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