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渤,黄海冬季强冷空气智能预报决策系统
引用本文:何翔,毕超.渤,黄海冬季强冷空气智能预报决策系统[J].海洋预报,1996,13(2):29-34.
作者姓名:何翔  毕超
作者单位:海军气象中心,青岛市气象局,北海舰队气象区台
摘    要:冬季强冷空气造成的大风对海上船只影响较大,所以对于强冷空气影响的时间和强度的预报至为重要。本文借鉴了决策支持系统的研制方法,建立了渤、黄海冬季强冷空气智能预报决策系统。该系统拥有数据库及其管理系统、模型库及其管理系统、知识库和内部通讯系统;该系统采用了定量预报加定性分析的方法,把数学模型与预报员的经验有机地结合到一起。

关 键 词:决策支持系统  知识库  冷空气  智能预报  渤海

A INTELLIGENT DECISION SYSTEM FOR THEFORECASTING OF STRONG COLD AIR OVERBO HAI AND HUANG HAI SEA IN WINTER
He Xiang,Bi Chao.A INTELLIGENT DECISION SYSTEM FOR THEFORECASTING OF STRONG COLD AIR OVERBO HAI AND HUANG HAI SEA IN WINTER[J].Marine Forecasts,1996,13(2):29-34.
Authors:He Xiang  Bi Chao
Abstract:In winter, gale caused by cold air has a great influence upon naval vessels. So it is important to forecast when cold air comes and how strong wind the cold air brings. We consideredthe methodology of developing DSS as a reference, built a intellectual decision system for theforecasting of strong cold air over Bo Hat and Huang Hat sea in winter. The system isconsisting of data base, model base, knowledge base and a internal communication component.It combines quantitative with qualitative prediction, and mathematical models with forecasterexperience.
Keywords:Decision support systems  Knowledge base  Model base
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